Alert archive / Montana / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 447
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 24, 2007, 4:06 PM MDT for 20 counties in Montana; Campbell County, Crook County, Sheridan County, Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 24, 2007, 4:06 PM MDT (22:06 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 24, 2007, 11:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 4 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 23 counties
Big Horn County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, McCone County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT, Campbell County, WY, Crook County, WY, Sheridan County, WY
The radar
The Billings radar (KBLX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 80%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 6:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Wheatland | 58 min |
| Jun 24, 7:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley | 24 min |
| Jun 24, 7:51 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Musselshell | 24 min |
| Jun 24, 7:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 38 min |
| Jun 24, 7:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Phillips, Valley | 61 min |
| Jun 24, 8:14 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Musselshell | 31 min |
| Jun 24, 8:33 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GGW | Garfield, Valley | 3 hr |
| Jun 24, 8:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Musselshell, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone | 60 min |
| Jun 24, 8:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 75 min |
| Jun 24, 8:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone, Valley | 62 min |
| Jun 24, 9:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus, Judith Basin | 44 min |
| Jun 24, 9:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud, Treasure | 53 min |
| Jun 24, 9:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 64 min |
| Jun 24, 9:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone, Valley | 62 min |
| Jun 24, 10:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud | 61 min |
| Jun 24, 10:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Roosevelt, Valley | 63 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2158 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 85 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 32 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 204 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 242209
SEL7
SPC WW 242209
MTZ000-WYZ000-250500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 447
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
405 PM MDT SUN JUN 24 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF EASTERN MONTANA
SMALL PART OF NORTHEAST WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
BILLINGS MONTANA TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BAKER MONTANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...EXTREME INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 3500
J/KG COUPLED WITH STRONGLY VEERING SHEAR PROFILES ARE IN PLACE
ACROSS MUCH OF WATCH AREA ATTM. THE CAP IS WEAKENING OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN AND EXPECT RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACCOMPANIED BY VERY LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE WATCH
THRU THE EVENING TOWARD THE DAKOTA BORDER WHERE SIMILAR CONDITIONS
ARE PRESENT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2:46 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River, Prairie and 3 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Montana, 2007Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.