Alert archive / Montana / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 447

June 24, 200720 counties in Montana; Campbell County, Crook County, Sheridan County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 24, 2007, 4:06 PM MDT for 20 counties in Montana; Campbell County, Crook County, Sheridan County, Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2007, 4:06 PM MDT (22:06 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2007, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
4 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 23 counties

Big Horn County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, McCone County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT, Campbell County, WY, Crook County, WY, Sheridan County, WY

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 6:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZGolden Valley, Wheatland58 min
Jun 24, 7:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZGolden Valley24 min
Jun 24, 7:51 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZMusselshell24 min
Jun 24, 7:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus38 min
Jun 24, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Phillips, Valley61 min
Jun 24, 8:14 PM MDTTornado WarningBYZMusselshell31 min
Jun 24, 8:33 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGGWGarfield, Valley3 hr
Jun 24, 8:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZMusselshell, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone60 min
Jun 24, 8:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus75 min
Jun 24, 8:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Valley62 min
Jun 24, 9:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus, Judith Basin44 min
Jun 24, 9:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud, Treasure53 min
Jun 24, 9:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus64 min
Jun 24, 9:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Valley62 min
Jun 24, 10:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud61 min
Jun 24, 10:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Roosevelt, Valley63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2007-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2007-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2158 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
85 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 242209
SEL7  
SPC WW 242209
MTZ000-WYZ000-250500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 447
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
405 PM MDT SUN JUN 24 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       LARGE PART OF EASTERN MONTANA
       SMALL PART OF NORTHEAST WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
BILLINGS MONTANA TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BAKER MONTANA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...EXTREME INSTABILITY  WITH MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 3500
J/KG COUPLED WITH STRONGLY VEERING SHEAR PROFILES  ARE IN PLACE
ACROSS MUCH OF WATCH AREA ATTM.  THE CAP IS WEAKENING OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN AND EXPECT RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
 TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACCOMPANIED BY VERY LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE WATCH
THRU THE EVENING TOWARD THE DAKOTA BORDER WHERE SIMILAR CONDITIONS
ARE PRESENT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 2:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River, Prairie and 3 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Montana, 2007Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.