Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 446

June 23, 200713 counties in Minnesota; 14 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 23, 2007, 9:24 PM CDT for 13 counties in Minnesota; 14 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 23, 2007, 9:24 PM CDT (02:24 UTC)
Expired
Jun 24, 2007, 2:51 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Beltrami County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Benson County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Steele County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCavalier61 min
Jun 24, 1:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHKoochiching, Saint Louis52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 302 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1868 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1868 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-241 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1819 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
219 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 240227
SEL6  
SPC WW 240227
MNZ000-NDZ000-241000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 446
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT SAT JUN 23 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
       NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 925 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
DEVILS LAKE NORTH DAKOTA TO 75 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BEMIDJI
MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS WITH A HISTORY OF TORNADOES OVER
SWRN MB ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SEWD OVERNIGHT INTO PORTIONS OF
NERN ND AND NWRN MN.  COMBINATION OF MLCAPES OF 1500-2500 J/KG AND
MODERATELY STRONG LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ALONG AND S OF WARM
FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SHOULD MAINTAIN STORM INTENSITY WITH A THREAT
OF A FEW TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. 
ACTIVITY MAY GROW UPSCALE INTO AN MCS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH A
CONTINUED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.


...MEAD/HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 23, 8:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKittson, Marshall, Pennington, Polk, Roseau89 min
Jun 24, 4:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKittson117 min
Jun 24, 3:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Grant and 4 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2007Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.