Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 402

June 16, 200710 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 16, 2007, 5:58 PM MDT for 10 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2007, 5:58 PM MDT (23:58 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2007, 10:20 PM MDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 7:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPennington26 min
Jun 16, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRLawrence62 min
Jun 16, 7:55 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRLawrence, Meade50 min
Jun 16, 8:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte42 min
Jun 16, 8:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRLawrence36 min
Jun 16, 8:29 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRButte31 min
Jun 16, 8:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins50 min
Jun 16, 8:55 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRMeade50 min
Jun 16, 9:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRZiebach36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 54 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
54 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-357 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 162357
SEL2  
SPC WW 162357
SDZ000-170800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM
UNTIL 200 AM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF BUFFALO
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF RAPID CITY SOUTH
DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 400...WW 401...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EWD FROM NE WY INTO WRN SD
THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG A BOUNDARY MOVING SLOWLY NWD ACROSS SW SD.  THE CAP HAS BEEN
WEAKENING GRADUALLY WITH WARMING SURFACE TEMPERATURES...AND BOUNDARY
LAYER DEWPOINTS HAVE NOW INCREASED INTO THE LOW-MID 60S ACROSS WRN
SD.  THE COMBINATION OF MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG...EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KT...AND EFFECTIVE SRH NEAR 300 M2/S2 WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS INTO TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 5:46 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMeade, Pennington89 min
Jun 16, 2:53 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Custer, Fall River, Harding, Lawrence2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.