Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 389

June 12, 200728 counties in North Dakota; 23 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 12, 2007, 2:02 PM CDT for 28 counties in North Dakota; 23 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 12, 2007, 2:02 PM CDT (19:02 UTC)
Expired
Jun 12, 2007, 8:10 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grant County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Renville County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Ward County, ND, Wells County, ND, Bennett County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Potter County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Walworth County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 12, 2:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey, Hughes, Potter, Stanley, Sully, Walworth53 min
Jun 12, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer67 min
Jun 12, 2:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningUNRMellette6 hr
Jun 12, 2:44 PM CDTTornado WarningBISMcLean19 min
Jun 12, 2:53 PM CDTTornado WarningBISWard37 min
Jun 12, 3:29 PM CDTTornado WarningBISWard15 min
Jun 12, 3:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningABRBuffalo, Campbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds, Faulk and 10 more6 hr
Jun 12, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBottineau40 min
Jun 12, 4:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningUNRTodd6 hr
Jun 12, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Towner54 min
Jun 12, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson20 min
Jun 12, 5:32 PM CDTTornado WarningABRPotter28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 22 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2007-06-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 746 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2007-06-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
746 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-246 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
871 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 121901
SEL9  
SPC WW 121901
NDZ000-SDZ000-130200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 389
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
200 PM CDT TUE JUN 12 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       LARGE PART OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
       LARGE PART OF CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF MINOT
NORTH DAKOTA TO 80 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PHILIP SOUTH DAKOTA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 384...WW 385...WW
386...WW 387...WW 388...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALONG/AHEAD OF
N/S FRONTAL ZONE THRU WRN DAKOTAS.  WITH MLCAPES INCREASING TO
2500J/KG AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR OF 20KT...SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY. IN
ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY SUPERCELL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21025.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 9:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBottineau, Burleigh, Dunn, McHenry, McLean, Mercer and 7 more92 min
Jun 11, 11:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Burke, Divide, Dunn and 11 more5 hr
Jun 12, 3:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Burke, Divide, Dunn and 11 more57 min
Jun 12, 12:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Benson, Burleigh, Dunn, Emmons, Grant and 15 more2 hr
Jun 12, 4:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenson, Bottineau, Burleigh, Eddy, Emmons, Foster and 14 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2007Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.