Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 321

June 1, 200729 counties in Illinois; 12 counties in Iowa; 14 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 1, 2007, 12:35 PM CDT for 29 counties in Illinois; 12 counties in Iowa; 14 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2007, 12:35 PM CDT (17:35 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2007, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 55 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Walworth County, WI

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 12:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Scott43 min
Jun 1, 12:53 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNCedar, Scott52 min
Jun 1, 1:05 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNRock Island40 min
Jun 1, 1:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNMcDonough, Warren59 min
Jun 1, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNRock Island47 min
Jun 1, 1:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNWhiteside55 min
Jun 1, 1:58 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNJackson47 min
Jun 1, 2:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry55 min
Jun 1, 2:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll57 min
Jun 1, 2:36 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNJo Daviess54 min
Jun 1, 2:57 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXLafayette67 min
Jun 1, 3:14 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNWhiteside61 min
Jun 1, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXGreen57 min
Jun 1, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle79 min
Jun 1, 3:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee68 min
Jun 1, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNStephenson61 min
Jun 1, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXIowa39 min
Jun 1, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane31 min
Jun 1, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTWinnebago73 min
Jun 1, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXGreen57 min
Jun 1, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock51 min
Jun 1, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau64 min
Jun 1, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle67 min
Jun 1, 4:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee43 min
Jun 1, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTWinnebago34 min
Jun 1, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLaSalle44 min
Jun 1, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb29 min
Jun 1, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTKendall46 min
Jun 1, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTKane31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2007-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 259 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2007-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 47 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
259 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
871 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 011736
SEL1  
SPC WW 011736
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-020000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 321
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN IOWA
       NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
       SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF LONEROCK
WISCONSIN TO 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOLINE ILLINOIS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...WELL-DEFINED MCV IN IA WILL LIFT NNEWD TOWARD WI THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN A
BROKEN ARC FROM NE TO SE OF THE MID LEVEL VORTICITY CENTER. 
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS HAVE INCREASED INTO THE UPPER 60S NEAR THE
MS RIVER IN ADVANCE OF THE DEVELOPING STORMS...WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR
IS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS IN A SMALL AREA E/NE OF THE MCV. 
GIVEN THE INCREASING MOISTURE/MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...ADDITIONAL SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 11:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 29 more2 hr
Jun 1, 2:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Henry, Jo Daviess and 11 more85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2007Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2007Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.