Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 31
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 24, 2007, 11:15 AM CST for 39 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 24, 2007, 11:15 AM CST (17:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 24, 2007, 5:10 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 50 kt
All 39 counties
Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Labette County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Morris County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS
The radar
The Topeka radar (KTWX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 11:51 AM CST | Tornado Warning | ICT | Chase, Marion | 24 min |
| Feb 24, 12:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Marion | 23 min |
| Feb 24, 12:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TOP | Dickinson | 30 min |
| Feb 24, 12:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Saline | 23 min |
| Feb 24, 1:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Ottawa | 13 min |
| Feb 24, 1:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Woodson | 23 min |
| Feb 24, 1:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Russell | 40 min |
| Feb 24, 2:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Russell | 36 min |
| Feb 24, 3:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Cloud | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1073 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 396 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 392 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 241719
SEL1
SPC WW 241719
KSZ000-250000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 31
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1115 AM UNTIL
600 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 60 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF
RUSSELL KANSAS TO 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHANUTE KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 30...
DISCUSSION...INTENSIFYING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED NEXT
FEW HOURS ALONG/NORTH OF DRY LINE EAST OF SURFACE CYCLONE...WHICH
WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DEEPEN AS IT MIGRATES EAST SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. A FEW LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS APPEAR LIKELY IN
CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...AND AMBIENT VERTICAL VORTICITY
ALREADY PRESENT WILL SUPPORT RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...IN
ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/GUSTY WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18030.
...KERRSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 6:15 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Comanche, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Kiowa and 2 more | 90 min |
| Feb 23, 6:45 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Cloud, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Hodgeman and 18 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 23, 7:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Harper, Kingman, Pratt, Sedgwick, Sumner | 85 min |
| Feb 23, 8:29 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 31 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 23, 10:31 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cloud, Decatur, Graham, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton and 6 more | 119 min |
| Feb 23, 11:21 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clay, Cloud, Coffey and 30 more | 114 min |
| Feb 24, 6:49 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Sherman | 4 hr |
| Feb 24, 9:40 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Butler, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Cowley and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 24, 1:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace | 5 hr |
| Feb 24, 2:33 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Clay, Coffey, Dickinson, Franklin and 9 more | 87 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.