Tornado Watch 295

Issued

May 23, 2007, 10:48 PM CDT (03:48 UTC)

Expired

May 24, 2007, 2:47 AM CDT

In force

4 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

3 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

50%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

30%

Ten or more severe wind reports

40%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

50%

Ten or more severe hail reports

95%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

50%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

95%

• Mesoscale Discussion 873May 23, 7:10 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 875May 23, 10:12 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 876May 23, 11:29 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 877May 24, 1:51 AM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 878May 24, 2:06 AM CDT

000
WWUS20 KWNS 240351
SEL5  
SPC WW 240351
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-240800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 295
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHWEST KANSAS
       NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA INCLUDING THE EASTERN PANHANDLE
       EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS TO 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BORGER TEXAS.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 293. WATCH NUMBER 293 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
1050 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 294...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF EJECTING MID/UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT NOW MOVING
INTO SWRN KS/CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE TONIGHT.  SLY LLJ WILL INTENSIFY
IN EXCESS OF 50 KT AND PROVIDE AMPLE LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR
INTENSE ROTATION WITH THE STRONGER CORES.  THIS WILL INCREASE THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL/SEVERE WIND GUSTS...WITH TORNADO
THREAT PERSISTING WELL INTO THE NIGHT AS STORMS REMAIN ROOTED NEAR
THE SURFACE.  LARGER MCS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
OVERNIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...EVANS

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.