Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 224

May 3, 20079 counties in Colorado; 11 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 3, 2007, 6:43 PM MDT for 9 counties in Colorado; 11 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2007, 6:43 PM MDT (00:43 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2007, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 6:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Kimball, Scotts Bluff59 min
May 3, 6:50 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld40 min
May 3, 7:04 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan41 min
May 3, 7:21 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld24 min
May 3, 7:27 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWeld48 min
May 3, 7:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff66 min
May 3, 7:41 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan49 min
May 3, 8:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan, Weld48 min
May 3, 8:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUMorgan47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2007-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 394 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2007-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 209 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
394 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-118 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2658 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
338 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 040044
SEL4  
SPC WW 040044
COZ000-NEZ000-040600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 224
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM MDT THU MAY 3 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHEAST COLORADO
       THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT FROM 645 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF CHADRON
NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF AKRON COLORADO.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 218...WW 219...WW
220...WW 221...WW 222...WW 223...

DISCUSSION...SMALL MCS WITH EMBEDDED SUSTAINED STORMS/POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS NOW E/SE OF CYS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD THIS
EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ON SRN END AS
UPSTREAM NEG TILT SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES ENEWD.  MCS WILL SOON
ENCOUNTER LESS DEEPLY MIXED/SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS NE CO/THE NEB PANHANDLE...WHERE LOW LEVEL WINDS
WILL REMAIN BACKED TO SELY.  THUS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
POSSIBLE TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO BOWING SEGMENTS WITH STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS/HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 6:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Weld26 min
May 3, 8:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Morgan and 4 more93 min
May 4, 4:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Lincoln and 4 more83 min
May 4, 5:36 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCCheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Morgan and 4 more7 hr
May 4, 12:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boone, Boyd, Buffalo, Burt, Butler and 32 more86 min
May 4, 1:24 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Buffalo and 22 more7 hr
May 4, 5:20 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Cedar, Custer and 16 more85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.