Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 224
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 3, 2007, 6:43 PM MDT for 9 counties in Colorado; 11 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 3, 2007, 6:43 PM MDT (00:43 UTC)
- Expired
- May 4, 2007, 12:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE
The radar
The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 6:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Banner, Kimball, Scotts Bluff | 59 min |
| May 3, 6:50 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Weld | 40 min |
| May 3, 7:04 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan | 41 min |
| May 3, 7:21 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Weld | 24 min |
| May 3, 7:27 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Weld | 48 min |
| May 3, 7:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Banner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff | 66 min |
| May 3, 7:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan | 49 min |
| May 3, 8:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan, Weld | 48 min |
| May 3, 8:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Morgan | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 394 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -118 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2658 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 73 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 209 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 338 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 040044
SEL4
SPC WW 040044
COZ000-NEZ000-040600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 224
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM MDT THU MAY 3 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO
THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT FROM 645 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF CHADRON
NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF AKRON COLORADO. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 218...WW 219...WW
220...WW 221...WW 222...WW 223...
DISCUSSION...SMALL MCS WITH EMBEDDED SUSTAINED STORMS/POSSIBLE
SUPERCELLS NOW E/SE OF CYS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD THIS
EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ON SRN END AS
UPSTREAM NEG TILT SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES ENEWD. MCS WILL SOON
ENCOUNTER LESS DEEPLY MIXED/SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS NE CO/THE NEB PANHANDLE...WHERE LOW LEVEL WINDS
WILL REMAIN BACKED TO SELY. THUS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
POSSIBLE TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO BOWING SEGMENTS WITH STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS/HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 6:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Weld | 26 min |
| May 3, 8:57 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Morgan and 4 more | 93 min |
| May 4, 4:07 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Lincoln and 4 more | 83 min |
| May 4, 5:36 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Morgan and 4 more | 7 hr |
| May 4, 12:19 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Antelope, Boone, Boyd, Buffalo, Burt, Butler and 32 more | 86 min |
| May 4, 1:24 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Antelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Buffalo and 22 more | 7 hr |
| May 4, 5:20 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Antelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Cedar, Custer and 16 more | 85 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.