Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 207

May 1, 200735 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 1, 2007, 3:48 PM CDT for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2007, 3:48 PM CDT (20:48 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2007, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Austin County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Madison County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 3:56 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTMcCulloch, San Saba49 min
May 1, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson55 min
May 1, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTMcCulloch, Mason, San Saba50 min
May 1, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano53 min
May 1, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson, Grimes, Madison62 min
May 1, 5:27 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTMason33 min
May 1, 5:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLlano3 hr
May 1, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXMadison, Walker64 min
May 1, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMason58 min
May 1, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano37 min
May 1, 6:01 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXBurleson29 min
May 1, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXWilliamson26 min
May 1, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano52 min
May 1, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBurleson63 min
May 1, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMason67 min
May 1, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie53 min
May 1, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXTravis36 min
May 1, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXGillespie21 min
May 1, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Mason65 min
May 1, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie43 min
May 1, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Travis25 min
May 1, 7:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXLlano3 hr
May 1, 8:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXGillespie3 hr
May 1, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop33 min
May 1, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie50 min
May 1, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKerr23 min
May 1, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Medina46 min
May 1, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 260 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2016 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2016 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-115 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
704 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 012047
SEL7  
SPC WW 012047
TXZ000-020400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 207
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
JUNCTION TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLLEGE STATION TEXAS. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...WW 206...

DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH MLCAPES TO 3000 J/KG COUPLED
WITH 20-30KT OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS.  STORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
ALONG E/W BOUNDARY AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY SEWD.  VERY LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 1:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coke and 31 more2 hr
May 1, 6:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Burnet, Coryell, Falls, Lampasas, Limestone and 5 more2 hr
May 1, 3:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 47 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.