Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 207
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 1, 2007, 3:48 PM CDT for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 1, 2007, 3:48 PM CDT (20:48 UTC)
- Expired
- May 1, 2007, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 35 counties
Austin County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Llano County, TX, Madison County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
28 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 3:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | McCulloch, San Saba | 49 min |
| May 1, 4:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson | 55 min |
| May 1, 4:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | McCulloch, Mason, San Saba | 50 min |
| May 1, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Llano | 53 min |
| May 1, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson, Grimes, Madison | 62 min |
| May 1, 5:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Mason | 33 min |
| May 1, 5:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Llano | 3 hr |
| May 1, 5:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Madison, Walker | 64 min |
| May 1, 5:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Mason | 58 min |
| May 1, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Llano | 37 min |
| May 1, 6:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | HGX | Burleson | 29 min |
| May 1, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Williamson | 26 min |
| May 1, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Llano | 52 min |
| May 1, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Burleson | 63 min |
| May 1, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Mason | 67 min |
| May 1, 6:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 53 min |
| May 1, 7:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Travis | 36 min |
| May 1, 7:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 21 min |
| May 1, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Mason | 65 min |
| May 1, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 43 min |
| May 1, 7:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Travis | 25 min |
| May 1, 7:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Llano | 3 hr |
| May 1, 8:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 3 hr |
| May 1, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bastrop | 33 min |
| May 1, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie | 50 min |
| May 1, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kerr | 23 min |
| May 1, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina | 46 min |
| May 1, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 260 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2016 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -115 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 704 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 148 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 207 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 012047
SEL7
SPC WW 012047
TXZ000-020400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 207
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
JUNCTION TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLLEGE STATION TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...WW 206...
DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH MLCAPES TO 3000 J/KG COUPLED
WITH 20-30KT OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS. STORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
ALONG E/W BOUNDARY AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY SEWD. VERY LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 1:03 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coke and 31 more | 2 hr |
| May 1, 6:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Burnet, Coryell, Falls, Lampasas, Limestone and 5 more | 2 hr |
| May 1, 3:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco and 47 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.