Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 660

August 28, 2007Delta County, Dickinson County, Menominee County, Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 28, 2007, 5:49 PM EDT for Delta County, Dickinson County, Menominee County, Michigan. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 28, 2007, 5:49 PM EDT (21:49 UTC)
Expired
Aug 28, 2007, 7:58 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Delta County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Menominee County, MI

The radar

The Marquette radar (KMQT), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 28, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDickinson, Menominee71 min
Aug 28, 6:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDelta57 min
Aug 28, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTMenominee18 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2007-08-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 386 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2007-08-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 274 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
386 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-330 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1066 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 28, 5:17 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCMenominee4 hr
Aug 28, 9:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcona, Alpena, Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford and 7 more35 min
Aug 28, 4:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelta, Dickinson, Iron, Menominee, Schoolcraft66 min
Aug 27, 10:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Bayfield, Douglas55 min
Aug 28, 2:50 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Dunn, Polk, Saint Croix55 min
Aug 28, 2:56 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarron, Chippewa, Dunn, Eau Claire, Pepin, Pierce and 3 more3 hr
Aug 28, 4:48 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChippewa, Clark, Dunn, Eau Claire, Forest, Langlade and 8 more87 min
Aug 28, 12:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Buffalo, Chippewa, Clark, Dunn, Eau Claire and 24 more62 min
Aug 28, 1:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Barron, Brown, Buffalo, Calumet, Chippewa and 34 more8 hr
Aug 28, 7:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Richland, Vernon3 hr
Aug 28, 7:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Crawford, Fond du Lac and 9 more62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.