Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 652

August 25, 20075 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 25, 2007, 5:58 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 25, 2007, 5:58 PM EDT (21:58 UTC)
Expired
Aug 25, 2007, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 153 counties

Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Perry County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Washington County, OH, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Berkeley County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Grant County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mason County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pendleton County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Preston County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Webster County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 25, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin47 min
Aug 25, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAugusta, City of Staunton, City of Waynesboro62 min
Aug 25, 6:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXWood28 min
Aug 25, 6:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCarroll, Howard54 min
Aug 25, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPPotter97 min
Aug 25, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon58 min
Aug 25, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCoshocton15 min
Aug 25, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh63 min
Aug 25, 6:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXWashington32 min
Aug 25, 6:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonroe57 min
Aug 25, 6:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Northumberland55 min
Aug 25, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXPrince William, Stafford, City of Manassas, City of Manassas Park40 min
Aug 25, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPYork61 min
Aug 25, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle49 min
Aug 25, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland61 min
Aug 25, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, City of Baltimore60 min
Aug 25, 7:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPTioga42 min
Aug 25, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXGreene49 min
Aug 25, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill75 min
Aug 25, 7:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin39 min
Aug 25, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster81 min
Aug 25, 7:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXMadison49 min
Aug 25, 7:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXPrince George's47 min
Aug 25, 7:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon65 min
Aug 25, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLebanon48 min
Aug 25, 7:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Rappahannock28 min
Aug 25, 7:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHILehigh67 min
Aug 25, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGreene55 min
Aug 25, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks60 min
Aug 25, 8:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXGreene41 min
Aug 25, 8:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel51 min
Aug 25, 8:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIChester58 min
Aug 25, 8:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill79 min
Aug 25, 8:40 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPSchuylkill3 hr
Aug 25, 8:55 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICarbon4 hr
Aug 25, 8:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Lehigh65 min
Aug 25, 9:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, City of Charlottesville42 min
Aug 25, 9:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonroe, Northampton55 min
Aug 25, 9:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax23 min
Aug 25, 10:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFairfax, City of Alexandria, City of Fairfax, City of Falls Church44 min
Aug 25, 10:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXPrince George's51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2007-08-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 519 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2007-08-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 147 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
519 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-133 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1428 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 25, 2:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery and 3 more95 min
Aug 25, 12:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Cortland and 23 more90 min
Aug 25, 1:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Allegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chemung and 31 more8 hr
Aug 25, 4:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Clinton, Cortland and 24 more94 min
Aug 25, 7:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Essex and 16 more96 min
Aug 25, 2:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Ashland, Athens, Belmont, Brown, Butler and 53 more93 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.