Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 63

March 21, 200737 counties in Iowa; 24 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 21, 2007, 10:24 AM CDT for 37 counties in Iowa; 24 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 21, 2007, 10:24 AM CDT (15:24 UTC)
Expired
Mar 21, 2007, 3:28 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adair County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 10:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXStory46 min
Mar 21, 11:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMarshall29 min
Mar 21, 11:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWapello36 min
Mar 21, 1:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLouisa15 min
Mar 21, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLinn31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2007-03-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2007-03-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 261 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
699 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
261 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
275 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 6:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Butler and 36 more113 min
Mar 21, 9:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Clarke, Dallas, Davis and 24 more2 hr
Mar 21, 12:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Scott90 min
Mar 21, 12:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Davis, Lee, Van Buren62 min
Mar 21, 1:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Jackson, Scott64 min
Mar 21, 4:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Mills, Monona and 3 more63 min
Mar 21, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 34 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.