Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 581

August 10, 200711 counties in Minnesota; 8 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 10, 2007, 3:04 PM CDT for 11 counties in Minnesota; 8 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2007, 3:04 PM CDT (20:04 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2007, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Beltrami County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Steele County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks46 min
Aug 10, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMarshall, Pennington, Polk58 min
Aug 10, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 258 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2007-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 234 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2007-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
234 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-177 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
979 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 2:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKittson, Marshall, Roseau87 min
Aug 10, 6:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeltrami, Clearwater, Lake of the Woods, Mahnomen64 min
Aug 10, 2:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Grant, Kidder, LaMoure and 5 more116 min
Aug 10, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDickey, Emmons, Foster, Kidder, LaMoure, Logan and 4 more8 hr
Aug 10, 4:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDivide, Golden Valley, Williams2 hr
Aug 10, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Billings, Bottineau, Bowman, Burke, Burleigh and 20 more9 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.