Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 516
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 14, 2007, 5:32 PM CDT for 49 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Cimarron County, Texas County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 14, 2007, 5:32 PM CDT (22:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 14, 2007, 9:43 PM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 52 counties
Barton County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clark County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Geary County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morris County, KS, Morton County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Ness County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 6:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Meade | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 6:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Geary | 27 min |
| Jul 14, 7:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Morris | 39 min |
| Jul 14, 7:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Jackson | 38 min |
| Jul 14, 8:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Jackson, Jefferson, Shawnee | 27 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 15 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 304 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -183 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1505 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 21 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 84 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 3:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Chase, Clark, Comanche, Dickinson, Edwards and 27 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 5:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Doniphan | 96 min |
| Jul 14, 6:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atchison, Doniphan, Johnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.