Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 459

June 27, 20079 counties in Colorado

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 27, 2007, 4:08 PM MDT for 9 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 27, 2007, 4:08 PM MDT (22:08 UTC)
Expired
Jun 27, 2007, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso56 min
Jun 27, 4:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBChaffee, Fremont94 min
Jun 27, 4:38 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBEl Paso37 min
Jun 27, 5:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso64 min
Jun 27, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas59 min
Jun 27, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas49 min
Jun 27, 5:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBFremont56 min
Jun 27, 5:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCuster, Pueblo84 min
Jun 27, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBFremont28 min
Jun 27, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano60 min
Jun 27, 6:46 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBCuster, Pueblo3 hr
Jun 27, 7:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo90 min
Jun 27, 7:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas61 min
Jun 27, 9:05 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBCrowley, Otero55 min
Jun 27, 9:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2007-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 878 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2007-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
878 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-272 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
829 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 7:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Huerfano, Kiowa, Otero, Prowers2 hr
Jun 27, 3:03 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Clear Creek, Custer and 14 more117 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.