Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 20, 2007, 4:22 PM CDT for 40 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 20, 2007, 4:22 PM CDT (21:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 40 counties
Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 4:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Anoka, Isanti | 32 min |
| Jun 20, 4:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Stearns | 53 min |
| Jun 20, 4:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chisago | 34 min |
| Jun 20, 5:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Sherburne | 59 min |
| Jun 20, 5:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Meeker, Wright | 66 min |
| Jun 20, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Isanti | 53 min |
| Jun 20, 6:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Wright | 36 min |
| Jun 20, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Mille Lacs, Sherburne | 34 min |
| Jun 20, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Carver, McLeod | 59 min |
| Jun 20, 6:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chisago | 54 min |
| Jun 20, 6:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Carver | 51 min |
| Jun 20, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Hennepin | 62 min |
| Jun 20, 6:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Wright | 26 min |
| Jun 20, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Scott | 63 min |
| Jun 20, 7:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Carver | 49 min |
| Jun 20, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Rice | 58 min |
| Jun 20, 7:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Scott | 48 min |
| Jun 20, 8:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Le Sueur | 55 min |
| Jun 20, 8:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Sibley | 38 min |
| Jun 20, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Rice | 50 min |
| Jun 20, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Goodhue | 48 min |
| Jun 20, 8:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Scott | 36 min |
| Jun 20, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Le Sueur | 53 min |
| Jun 20, 9:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Steele | 59 min |
| Jun 20, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Rice | 63 min |
| Jun 20, 9:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Washington | 55 min |
| Jun 20, 9:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Waseca | 55 min |
| Jun 20, 9:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Le Sueur | 32 min |
| Jun 20, 9:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Ramsey | 24 min |
| Jun 20, 9:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Steele | 33 min |
| Jun 20, 10:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Washington | 23 min |
| Jun 20, 10:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Le Sueur | 37 min |
| Jun 20, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Rice | 43 min |
| Jun 20, 10:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota | 44 min |
| Jun 20, 10:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Freeborn, Steele, Waseca | 47 min |
| Jun 20, 10:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Goodhue | 46 min |
| Jun 20, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Nicollet | 56 min |
| Jun 20, 11:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Goodhue | 40 min |
| Jun 20, 11:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Freeborn, Steele, Waseca | 38 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 355 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 952 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -116 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1187 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 207 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 215 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -1.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 202123
SEL0
SPC WW 202123
MNZ000-210500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 430
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
425 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 425 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES EAST OF
MINNEAPOLIS MINNESOTA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF ORTONVILLE MINNESOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 428...WW 429...
DISCUSSION...E/W FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS CENTRAL MN WILL BE FOCUS FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WITH MLCAPES TO 1500 J/KG AND
40-50KT OF SHEAR...SUPERCELLS WILL BE LIKELY. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 1:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Benton, Big Stone, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago and 31 more | 23 min |
| Jun 20, 4:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Benton, Big Stone, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago and 22 more | 60 min |
| Jun 20, 2:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashland, Barron, Bayfield, Brown, Buffalo, Burnett and 38 more | 8 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.