Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430

June 20, 200740 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 20, 2007, 4:22 PM CDT for 40 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2007, 4:22 PM CDT (21:22 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Isanti32 min
Jun 20, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXStearns53 min
Jun 20, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago34 min
Jun 20, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Sherburne59 min
Jun 20, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMeeker, Wright66 min
Jun 20, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti53 min
Jun 20, 6:09 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXWright36 min
Jun 20, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMille Lacs, Sherburne34 min
Jun 20, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXCarver, McLeod59 min
Jun 20, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago54 min
Jun 20, 6:24 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXCarver51 min
Jun 20, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXHennepin62 min
Jun 20, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWright26 min
Jun 20, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXScott63 min
Jun 20, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXCarver49 min
Jun 20, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Rice58 min
Jun 20, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXScott48 min
Jun 20, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLe Sueur55 min
Jun 20, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSibley38 min
Jun 20, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRice50 min
Jun 20, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue48 min
Jun 20, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXScott36 min
Jun 20, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLe Sueur53 min
Jun 20, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSteele59 min
Jun 20, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRice63 min
Jun 20, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWashington55 min
Jun 20, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWaseca55 min
Jun 20, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLe Sueur32 min
Jun 20, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Ramsey24 min
Jun 20, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSteele33 min
Jun 20, 10:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWashington23 min
Jun 20, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXLe Sueur37 min
Jun 20, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRice43 min
Jun 20, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota44 min
Jun 20, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFreeborn, Steele, Waseca47 min
Jun 20, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue46 min
Jun 20, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Nicollet56 min
Jun 20, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Goodhue40 min
Jun 20, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFreeborn, Steele, Waseca38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 355 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 952 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
952 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-116 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1187 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
215 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 202123
SEL0  
SPC WW 202123
MNZ000-210500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 430
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
425 PM CDT WED JUN 20 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 425 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES EAST OF
MINNEAPOLIS MINNESOTA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF ORTONVILLE MINNESOTA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 428...WW 429...

DISCUSSION...E/W FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS CENTRAL MN WILL BE FOCUS FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WITH MLCAPES TO 1500 J/KG AND
40-50KT OF SHEAR...SUPERCELLS WILL BE LIKELY. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 1:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Big Stone, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago and 31 more23 min
Jun 20, 4:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Big Stone, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago and 22 more60 min
Jun 20, 2:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshland, Barron, Bayfield, Brown, Buffalo, Burnett and 38 more8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.