Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 416

June 18, 20079 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Minnesota; 46 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 18, 2007, 1:46 PM EDT for 9 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Minnesota; 46 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 18, 2007, 1:46 PM EDT (17:46 UTC)
Expired
Jun 18, 2007, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 63 counties

Baraga County, MI, Dickinson County, MI, Gogebic County, MI, Houghton County, MI, Iron County, MI, Keweenaw County, MI, Marquette County, MI, Menominee County, MI, Ontonagon County, MI, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Adams County, WI, Ashland County, WI, Barron County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Brown County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Door County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Florence County, WI, Forest County, WI, Iron County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Kewaunee County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marinette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Portage County, WI, Price County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Vilas County, WI, Washburn County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 2:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAshland, Bayfield54 min
Jun 18, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAshland, Iron66 min
Jun 18, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTBaraga, Houghton, Iron40 min
Jun 18, 5:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarathon49 min
Jun 18, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBFlorence, Forest, Langlade43 min
Jun 18, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDickinson, Iron, Marquette46 min
Jun 18, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMenominee, Shawano39 min
Jun 18, 6:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBFlorence, Forest, Langlade31 min
Jun 18, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOconto47 min
Jun 18, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMenominee, Shawano48 min
Jun 18, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBMarinette46 min
Jun 18, 7:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRBOconto49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2007-06-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1126 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2007-06-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 89 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1126 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1156 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 12:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaraga, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Keweenaw and 2 more54 min
Jun 18, 4:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlger, Baraga, Dickinson, Gogebic, Iron, Marquette and 2 more93 min
Jun 18, 7:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDickinson, Marquette, Menominee86 min
Jun 17, 8:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeltrami, Clay, Clearwater, Itasca, Kittson, Koochiching and 9 more91 min
Jun 17, 11:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Clay, Clearwater, Grant, Kittson and 9 more62 min
Jun 18, 1:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBecker, Beltrami, Clay, Clearwater, Grant, Hubbard and 12 more3 hr
Jun 18, 1:44 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Beltrami, Benton, Carlton, Cass, Clearwater and 14 more61 min
Jun 18, 2:09 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Cass, Crow Wing, Itasca, Koochiching3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.