Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283

May 21, 200724 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Weston County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 21, 2007, 1:52 PM MDT for 24 counties in South Dakota; Crook County, Weston County, Wyoming. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2007, 1:52 PM MDT (19:52 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2007, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 26 counties

Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Custer County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Potter County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Walworth County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Crook County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 3:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Lawrence56 min
May 21, 3:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade53 min
May 21, 4:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte39 min
May 21, 4:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade65 min
May 21, 4:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNR59 min
May 21, 5:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRWeston60 min
May 21, 5:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Pennington66 min
May 21, 5:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade65 min
May 21, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte32 min
May 21, 6:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPennington36 min
May 21, 6:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey57 min
May 21, 6:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson66 min
May 21, 7:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins23 min
May 21, 7:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRZiebach54 min
May 21, 7:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson, Dewey13 min
May 21, 7:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson63 min
May 21, 8:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 80 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 222 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 186 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
222 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-453 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1556 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 6:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Lawrence87 min
May 21, 12:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRoberts83 min
May 21, 1:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Haakon, Hughes, Jackson and 13 more86 min
May 21, 5:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Campbell, Corson, Custer, Dewey, Haakon and 9 more88 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.