Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 862

May 22, 20078 counties in Minnesota; 8 counties in Nebraska; 26 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 22, 2007, 7:50 PM CDT for 8 counties in Minnesota; 8 counties in Nebraska; 26 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2007, 7:50 PM CDT (00:50 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2007, 9:15 PM CDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 42 counties

Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Swift County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Antelope County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Holt County, NE, Knox County, NE, Rock County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, Aurora County, SD, Bon Homme County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clark County, SD, Clay County, SD, Codington County, SD, Davison County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, McCook County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Turner County, SD, Yankton County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2007-05-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 916 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2007-05-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -32 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
916 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
673 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.2
Supercell composite
-1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 230050
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230050 
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-NEZ000-230215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0862
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 PM CDT TUE MAY 22 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SD...NERN NEB AND WRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 288...

VALID 230050Z - 230215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 288
CONTINUES.

OVERALL SEVERE THREAT APPEARS MARGINAL IN REMAINING PORTIONS OF WW
287. STRONGEST STORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER N CNTRL NEB AND THIS
ACTIVITY MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS. OTHER STORMS ARE DEVELOPING FARTHER NE FROM NERN SD INTO
W CNTRL MN...BUT THIS ACTIVITY DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE PARTICULARLY
ORGANIZED ATTM.

STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG AND E OF COLD FRONT FROM ERN SD
INTO WRN MN AND SWWD INTO N CNTRL NEB. THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE FROM NERN NEB INTO SERN SD WITH MLCAPE AROUND
1500 J/KG. INSTABILITY IS INCREASINGLY MARGINAL WITH NEWD EXTENT
INTO SD AND WRN MN. THE ENVIRONMENT DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WHERE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING
OVER SD WITH MODEST DEEP SHEAR AND INSTABILITY FROM NERN SD INTO WRN
MN. FARTHER SE FROM NERN NEB...SERN SD AND SWRN MN...THE LOW LEVEL
JET WILL STRENGTHEN AND STORMS OVER N CNTRL NEB MAY SPREAD INTO THIS
REGION LATER THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...LOW CLOUDS HAVE LIMITED
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION...AND THIS ALONG WITH NOCTURNAL
COOLING MAY SERVE AS A POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTORS.

..DIAL.. 05/23/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...

45109542 42749700 41729889 42289967 46239710

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 12:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Carver, Dakota, Dodge, Faribault, Fillmore and 19 more3 hr
May 23, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChisago, Dakota, Dodge, Fillmore, Freeborn, Goodhue and 9 more6 hr
May 23, 5:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDodge, Fillmore, Freeborn, Goodhue, Mower, Olmsted and 3 more2 hr
May 22, 9:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Greeley and 10 more94 min
May 22, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Butler, Clay, Colfax, Fillmore, Franklin and 13 more5 hr
May 23, 2:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Colfax, Dodge, Fillmore, Jefferson, Platte and 6 more93 min
May 23, 12:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGage, Jefferson, Johnson, Lancaster, Nemaha, Otoe and 3 more83 min
May 23, 1:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJohnson, Nemaha, Otoe, Pawnee, Richardson7 hr
May 23, 3:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNemaha, Pawnee, Richardson94 min
May 23, 5:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Douglas, Fillmore, Gage, Jefferson, Johnson and 11 more86 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.