Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 577

April 25, 200741 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 25, 2007, 1:14 AM CDT for 41 counties in Texas. It was in force for 91 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 25, 2007, 1:14 AM CDT (06:14 UTC)
Expired
Apr 25, 2007, 2:45 AM CDT
In force
91 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 41 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Duval County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kinney County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Real County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Washington County, TX, Webb County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-04-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2037 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-04-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 172 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2037 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-328 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
785 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 250615
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250614 
TXZ000-250745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0577
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 AM CDT WED APR 25 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...TX HILL COUNTRY EWD TO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TX
COAST

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 183...

VALID 250614Z - 250745Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 183 CONTINUES.

POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE
TORNADOES IS FORECAST TO SPREAD EWD THROUGH ERN PORTIONS OF WW 183
THROUGH 07-08Z...PRIOR TO MOVING E OF WW AREA.  CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL...DOWNSTREAM WW.

AS OF 06Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A RELATIVELY INTENSE
MCS FROM JUST E OF SAT TO NEAR COT...THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF
WHICH WAS SITUATED OVER COMAL...GUADALUPE...AND WILSON COUNTIES WITH
A GENERAL MOTION OF 265/40-45 KT.  AMBIENT INFLOW AIR MASS REMAINS
QUITE MOIST EARLY THIS MORNING WITH DEWPOINTS AROUND 70 F...WHICH
COUPLED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WERE CONTRIBUTING TO
MLCAPES OF AROUND 2000 J/KG.  WHILE 25/00Z CRP OBSERVED SOUNDING
INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A STRONG CAP AROUND 850 MB...THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG ASCENT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF SYSTEM COLD POOL
AND LARGER-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO UPPER TROUGH OVER
WRN TX ARE LIKELY ERODING THIS CAP.

AS SUCH...EXPECT ONGOING MCS TO LIKELY CONTINUE THIS MORNING EWD
TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TX COAST.  RELATIVELY STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR OBSERVED ON LOCAL PROFILERS AND RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN AN ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.

..MEAD.. 04/25/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...BRO...SJT...

31339841 30219631 29119654 28569764 27959784 27819813
27139818 27159972 29130083 30519971

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 24, 7:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Collin, Dallas, Delta and 25 more117 min
Apr 24, 10:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar and 65 more83 min
Apr 24, 10:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Bowie, Camp, Cass and 37 more5 hr
Apr 24, 10:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 28 more7 hr
Apr 24, 11:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 20 more92 min
Apr 25, 1:40 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria, Brazos, Burleson and 30 more7 hr
Apr 25, 2:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSabine, San Augustine, Shelby65 min
Apr 25, 4:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria, Brazos and 35 more91 min
Apr 25, 7:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria, Calhoun, Chambers and 28 more84 min
Apr 25, 9:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 9 more60 min
Apr 25, 9:13 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAransas, Brazoria, Calhoun, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston and 8 more8 hr
Apr 25, 3:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGalveston55 min
Apr 25, 6:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Nacogdoches, Panola, Polk, San Augustine, Shelby and 2 more90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.