Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 168

February 14, 20077 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 14, 2007, 2:49 AM EST for 7 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2007, 2:49 AM EST (07:49 UTC)
Expired
Feb 14, 2007, 7:45 AM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 99 counties

New Castle County, DE, Baltimore County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Washington County, MD, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Morgan County, WV

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2007-02-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2007-02-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 493 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
527 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
493 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1153 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 2:03 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Feb 14, 2:04 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Feb 14, 7:34 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC4 hr
Feb 13, 8:52 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGarrett5 hr
Feb 13, 8:08 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung and 19 more5 hr
Feb 14, 12:57 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chenango, Cortland, Erie and 27 more5 hr
Feb 14, 1:15 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chenango, Clinton, Columbia, Delaware and 17 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.