Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 1441

July 10, 200726 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 10, 2007, 1:55 PM EDT for 26 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 95 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 10, 2007, 1:55 PM EDT (17:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2007, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
95 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 26 counties

Antrim County, MI, Charlevoix County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Clare County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Midland County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2007-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2007-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 81 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1133 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 11:29 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlger, Baraga, Delta, Dickinson, Gogebic, Iron and 3 more91 min
Jul 10, 12:55 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlger, Baraga, Delta, Dickinson, Gogebic, Houghton and 6 more5 hr
Jul 10, 3:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlger, Delta, Menominee, Schoolcraft91 min
Jul 10, 3:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcona, Allegan, Alpena, Antrim, Arenac, Bay and 45 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.