Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 1439

July 10, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 10, 2007, 11:45 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 10, 2007, 11:45 AM EDT (15:45 UTC)
Expired: Jul 10, 2007, 2:15 PM EDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center

All 93 counties

Charles County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Davie County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Person County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Albemarle County, VA, Alleghany County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Craig County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Greene County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henry County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Jefferson County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 153 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 636 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -64 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1038 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 57 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2007 Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2007 Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2007 Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.