Severe Thunderstorm Warning 345, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1014 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007

.UPDATE...
COMPLEX OF TSTMS STILL HANGING ON ACROSS THE HEARTLAND...MAINLY
SAN SABA COUNTY. HAVE KEPT CHC POPS GOING TONIGHT ACROSS MAINLY
THE HEARTLAND AND NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY...WITH SLGT CHC POPS
SOUTH OF I-20.  21

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007/

UPDATE...
SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG WEAK LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY FROM
WEST OF BROWNWOOD TO JUST EAST OF SAN ANGELO. HAVE UPDATED ZONES
TO ADD SLGT CHC POPS FOR THIS EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 2/3 OF
THE CWFA.  21

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007/

SHORT TERM...
ONGOING SHOWERS OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
SOUTHERN BOUNDARY OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF A MID LEVEL
LOW. SHOWERS HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN
SOUTHWEST TEXAS ALONG THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES. ANOTHER AREA OF
SHOWERS IS MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ALSO ALONG
THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS...HAVE INCLUDED POPS IN THIS AREA
THROUGH THIS EVENING...ACTIVITY SHOULD QUICKLY WEAKEN WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEARING. THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH THAT HAS DOMINATED
THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES WILL BUILD SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF THE COMING WEEK...THIS SHOULD KEEP THE BEST CHANCE OF
ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NORTH AND EAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER CLOSE TO
SEASONAL NORMS.

LONG TERM...
UPPER HIGH BEGINS TO WEAKEN OVER THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF THE
COMING WEEK AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH DRIFTS BACK TO THE WEST.
THIS SCENARIO WILL ALLOW A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO DROP IN
NORTHERN TEXAS AND INCREASE THE POSSIBILITY OF ASSOCIATED SHOWERS
DEVELOPING OVER THE FORECAST AREA AT THE END OF THE WEEK
CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN CLOSE TO
CLIMO THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 72  92  72  92 /  10  10  10  20
SAN ANGELO 	 71  95  74  92 /  20  10  10  10
JUNCTION 	 72  91  74  88 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
203 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-091915-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
203 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...ALONG AND SOUTH OF AN OZONA
TO BROWNWOOD LINE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WHILE THE STORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO 1/2 INCH ARE POSSIBLE.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.