Flash Flood Warning 88, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1249 AM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

.AVIATION...
CURRENTLY...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEST TEXAS TOWARD WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS
LINE HAS NOT SHOWN MANY SIGNS OF WEAKENING...ALTHOUGH THE
STRONGEST PART OF THE LINE MAY SLIP SOUTH OF OUR AREA TO THE WEST
OF OUR TERMINALS. THE SITES WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF
EXPERIENCING SEVERE WEATHER LATER TONIGHT AT THIS POINT ARE KSJT
AND KSOA. HAVE INCLUDED TSRA IN TEMPO GROUPS FOR EACH OF THESE TAF
SITES...MAY HAVE TO UPDATE KSJT/S TAF TO INCLUDE STRONGER WIND
GUSTS IF THE LINE INDEED MAINTAINS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO DEVELOPING TO THE NORTH OF KABI
THAT WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE KABI SITE TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH THESE
APPEAR TO BE MAINLY HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS AT THE
MOMENT. THESE TWO AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY END UP MERGING INTO
ONE MCS AND THEN MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
REGION. WILL UPDATE TAFS AS NEEDED. 20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE  83  69  87  68 /  70  50  30  10
SAN ANGELO  87  69  88  67 /  50  50  30  10
JUNCTION  86  71  88  67 /  50  50  40  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR BROWN-CALLAHAN-
COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-HASKELL-JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-
RUNNELS-SAN SABA-SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-SUTTON-TAYLOR-
THROCKMORTON-TOM GREEN.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
345 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-271100-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
345 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A HASKELL...
ABILENE...SAN ANGELO...SONORA LINE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COULD ALSO BECOME SEVERE...WITH
THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD ALSO BECOME
SEVERE WITH SMALL HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1235 AM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

TXZ064-071-076-270745-
STERLING-IRION-CROCKETT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STERLING CITY...MERTZON...OZONA
1235 AM CDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD THE AREA...

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM MONAHANS TO
ODESSA TO MIDLAND...ON TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN.
A WIND GUST OF 93 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT AT 1219 AM. ALSO...THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS REPORTS OF
WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 70 MPH WITH THIS LINE OF SEVERE STORMS.
THE LINE OF STORMS WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THE STORMS WILL
MOVE INTO IRION...STERLING AND CROCKETT COUNTIES AFTER 1 AM...AND
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY HAVE TO ISSUED.

PERSONS SHOULD TO BE PREPARED FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY
RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.