Flash Flood Warning 80, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 250941
FFSSJT

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
434 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2007

TXC081-083-399-251230-
COKE TX-RUNNELS TX-COLEMAN TX-
434 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CDT FOR
WESTERN COLEMAN...RUNNELS AND EASTERN COKE COUNTIES...

AT 430 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLOODING OF 
ROADS AROUND WINTERS.  RANCH ROAD 1770 EAST OF WINTERS ON ELM CREEK 
IS ALSO FLOODED.  THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING CONTINUE 
OVER THE WARNED AREA.  SINCE MIDNIGHT...ISOLATED AREAS ACROSS 
NORTHERN RUNNELS COUNTY HAVE RECEIVED OVER SIX INCHES OF RAIN. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN 
THE WARNED AREA.  EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL 
CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND 
UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO 
FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3208 10047 3207 9949 3159 9951 3161 10021
      3171 10022 3172 10048

$$

JMJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1157 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2007

.AVIATION...
STORMS STILL HOLDING TOGETHER TONIGHT OVER BOTH ABI AND SJT
AREAS...AND EXPECT STORMS TO BE AT/NEAR THE AIRPORTS FOR AT LEAST
A COUPLE MORE HOURS. SOME HEAVY RAIN WITH LOWERED VISIBILITIES FOR
A SHORT TIME POSSIBLE AT BOTH AIRPORTS. OTHERWISE...LOW CLOUDS
STARTING TO MOVE INTO SONORA AREA AND SOUTHERN KIMBLE COUNTY
TOWARD JCT. EXPECT MVFR CEILINGS TO BUILD IN OVERNIGHT AND LINGER
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING. RAIN POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY
EVENING...BUT LOCATIONS DEPENDENT ON OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
TONIGHT/S ACTIVITY...SO WILL NOT INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 626 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2007/

AVIATION...
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING THIS
EVENING NEAR INTERSTATE 20 AND THE ABI AIRPORT. EXPECT THIS
ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE AT LEAST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS WEAK UPPER
LOW REMAINS PARKED NEAR THE AREA. HAVE INCLUDED VCTS FOR KABI AND
KBBD TAFS AS A FEW SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING CLOSE TO THOSE
AREAS. EACH SHOWER IS SHORT-LIVED...BUT MORE FORM OFF THE OUTFLOW
FROM PREVIOUS STORMS. COULD SEE STORMS LINGER OVERNIGHT ALONG OLD
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS THE LOW LEVEL JET PICKS UP NEAR MIDNIGHT...BUT
WILL MONITOR RADAR TRENDS BEFORE INSERTING STORMS THROUGH THE
NIGHT. MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2007/

SHORT TERM...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS
OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A LITTLE MORE COVERAGE
THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS UP WITH A MCV
REMNANT LEFT OVER FROM LAST NIGHTS CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...SPINNING
AROUND ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BIG COUNTRY. BUMPED UP POPS UP THERE
FOR THIS TONIGHT. AREA ALSO EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROAD UPPER
TROUGH...WHICH WILL NOT BE GOING ANYWHERE FAST OVER THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

FORECAST WISE...TROUGH WILL BE AROUND AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL CONTINUE. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE VERY WEAK NATURE OF THE
SYSTEMS WE ARE TALKING ABOUT AND THEIR SPORADIC MOVEMENT...
CONFIDENCE IN ANY PARTICULAR SOLUTION IS ALMOST NON EXISTENT. IN
OTHER WORDS...MAY WELL SEE A DAY OR TWO OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS...BUT CONFIDENCE IN NAILING DOWN
WHAT PERIOD OR PERIODS THE RAIN FALLS IN LOW. HAVE UPPED THE
CHANCES SLIGHTLY FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS...WITH MODELS
INDICATING A SOMEWHAT STRONGER LOW LEVEL JET. WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH STILL OVERHEAD...AND ESPECIALLY IF ANOTHER MCV IS ROAMING
AROUND...A STRONGER LOW LEVEL JET MAY WELL AID MORE WIDESPREAD
DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE...WILL RUN LOW CHANCE POPS PRETTY MUCH ALL PERIODS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

LONG TERM...
NOT ENTIRELY SURE WE CAN GET THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD IN
ENOUGH TO END THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS BY NEXT
WEEKEND...BUT CLIMATOLOGY SAYS IT HAS GOT TO STOP RAINING AROUND
HERE AT SOME POINT. WILL LEAVE IT DRY FOR NOW...INSTEAD OF RUNNING
LOW CONFIDENCE LOW POPS FOR THE ENTIRE EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 68  84  70  86 /  50  40  30  40
SAN ANGELO 	 70  86  71  86 /  40  40  30  30
JUNCTION 	 70  83  74  84 /  40  50  40  40

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
224 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2007

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-251930-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
224 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE REGION... WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A DISTURBANCE ALOFT IS FORECAST TO BECOME SITUATED OVER THE REGION
TUESDAY THRIOUGH THURSDAY OF THIS WEEK. THIS WILL INCREASE THE
CHANCE AND COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1216 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2007

TXZ072-250615-
TOM GREEN TX-
1216 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR TOM GREEN
COUNTY...
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL TOM GREEN COUNTY
UNTIL 215 PM...

AT 1214 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANGELO...
MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SAN ANGELO BY 1240 AM CDT
  GRAPE CREEK BY 115 AM CDT

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA
ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
THE PROPER ACTIONS SHOULD A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING BE ISSUED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1234 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1223 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S SAN ANGELO          31.37N 100.45W
06/25/2007                   TOM GREEN          TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            TOOL SHED WAS KNOCKED DOWN IN THE BENTWOOD COUNTRY CLUB
            SUBDIVISION.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
106 AM CDT MON JUN 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SAN ANGELO              31.45N 100.45W
06/25/2007                   TOM GREEN          TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED WATER OVER THE ROAD UP TO
            THE FLOOR BOARD JUST OFF THE 306 LOOP ON THE SOUTHWEST
            SIDE OF TOWN. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A WATER
            RESCUE ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF TOWN.

&&

HG