Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007

Flash Flood Warning 62, NWS San Angelo, TX

May 29, 2007Jones County, Taylor County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at May 29, 2007, 1:53 AM CDT for Jones County, Taylor County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2007, 1:53 AM CDT (06:53 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2007, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Whole counties

Counties Jones County, TX, Taylor County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 862 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 27 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
862 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-56 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2262 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 29, 12:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 12:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1205 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...FROM SONORA TO SAN ANGEO TO
COLORADO CITY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH AT 5Z. HEAVIEST RAIN IN
SCURRY COUNTY LOOKS TO BE NORTH OF I-20...ACROSS FISHER JONES AND
HASKELL COUNTIES. OTHERWISE MVFR CIGS AND IFR CIGS MOVING IN FROM
EAST TO WEST. KBBD ACTUALLY IFR AT 900 FT. OTHERWISE IFR/MVFR
SHOULD TO VFR 17-18Z AS CLOUDS SCATTER OUT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 717 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2007/

UPDATE...
MADE CHANGES TO FORECAST...MAINLY TIMING ISSUES. WRF MODEL INDICATES
BEST CHANCE OF STORMS TONIGHT...NEAR CENTER OF SE NEW MEXICO UPPER
LOW...AS IT MOVES EAST INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OVERNIGHT.
WILL MAINTAIN THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES THIS EVENING...MAINLY CROCKETT
COUNTY...PORTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY AND WESTERN BIG COUNTRY.
RAIN CHANCES IN EASTERN SECTIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 659 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2007/

AVIATION...
SCATTERED TSRA IN A LINE FROM THE BIG BEND...TO THE STOCKTON
PLATEAU...THEN BACK TO THE NORTHWEST INTO SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
ARE HAVING A HARD TIME SURVIVING AS THEY MOVE EAST TOWARD OUR ARA.
WILL GO AHEAD AND MENTION A TEMPO FOR POSSIBLE TSRA OVERNIGHT FOR
KSJT AND KABI...BUT WILL NOT HAVE A PREVAILING GROUP AS THESE
STORMS WILL SOON LOSE DAYTIME HEATING AND INSTABILITY AND WILL
LIKELY HAVE A HARDER TIME MAKING IT INTO THE AREA. LLJ IS
EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER TONIGHT...SO EXPECT TO SEE
ANOTHER BRIEF ROUND OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS. HAVE TAKEN MOST SITES
DOWN TO LOW MVFR HEIGHTS AROUND 1 THSD FEET. EXPECT THESE CEILINGS
TO MIX OUT BY MID TO LATE MORNING. CHANCE FOR SHRA AND TSRA LESS
THAN TODAY FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON. EASTERN TAF SITES COULD SEE
ISOLATED ACTIVITY. 20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 62  86  66  86 /  30  20  20  20
SAN ANGELO 	 63  89  66  88 /  30  20  20  20
JUNCTION 	 62  87  67  87 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

99/99/04
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 2:49 PM CDT, 11 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
249 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2007

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-292000-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
249 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH PLAINS AND PERMIAN BASIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND WORK INTO
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH NONE OF THESE STORMS WILL
LIKELY REACH SEVERE LEVELS...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM
THE STRONGER STORMS. WITH AREA SOILS SATURATED FROM RECENT
RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINFALL OVER A SMALL PERIOD OF TIME MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE WEAK UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR MUCH OF THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONLY SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARDS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH MID WEEK. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 28, 11:01 PM CDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1101 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2007

TXZ071-290430-
IRION TX-
1101 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR IRION
COUNTY...

AT 1057 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MERTZON...MOVING
EAST NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MERTZON BY 1120 PM CDT
  SHERWOOD BY 1125 PM CDT

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.
Special weather statement, May 28, 11:13 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1113 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2007

TXZ072-077-290515-
TOM GREEN TX-SCHLEICHER TX-
1113 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR TOM
GREEN AND SCHLEICHER COUNTIES...

AT 1110 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 13 MILES SOUTH OF CHRISTOVAL...OR ABOUT
11 MILES NORTHEAST OF ELDORADO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  US-277 NEAR THE SCHLEICHER-TOM GREEN COUNTY LINE BY 1130 PM CDT
  CHRISTOVAL BY 1155 PM CDT

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.
Special weather statement, May 29, 12:03 AM CDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1203 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

TXZ064>066-072-290600-
STERLING TX-COKE TX-RUNNELS TX-TOM GREEN TX-
1203 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
STERLING...COKE...RUNNELS AND TOM GREEN COUNTIES...

AT 1201 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 5 MILES EAST OF BROOME...OR ABOUT 14
MILES EAST OF STERLING CITY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 158 AND RANCH ROAD 2059 BY 1215 AM CDT
  SPENCE RESERVOIR NEAR PAINT CREEK RECREATION AREA BY 1225 AM CDT
  ROBERT LEE BY 1240 AM CDT
  BRONTE...TENNYSON AND MAVERICK BY 100 AM CDT

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.
Special weather statement, May 29, 12:31 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1231 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

TXZ049-054-113-127-290630-
NOLAN TX-JONES TX-FISHER TX-TAYLOR TX-
1231 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 130 AM CDT FOR NOLAN...
JONES...FISHER AND TAYLOR COUNTIES...

AT 1230 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS INDICATED BY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8
MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTAN TO SYLVESTER TO ROSCOE...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES WEST OF HAMLIN TO 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HAMLIN TO ROSCOE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MCCAULLEY BY 1240 AM CDT
  SWEETWATER AND HITSON BY 1245 AM CDT
  THE INTERSECTION OF US-180 AND RANCH ROAD 126 BY 1255 AM CDT
  LAKE SWEETWATER...NEINDA AND HAMLIN BY 100 AM CDT
  TUXEDO AND NOODLE BY 120 AM CDT
  TRENT BY 125 AM CDT

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.
Local storm report, May 29, 1:16 AM CDT, 37 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 29, 1:41 AM CDT, 12 minutes before
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
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        Please try again in a few minutes.
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The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCrockett, Irion, Schleicher34 min
May 29, 12:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Tom Green39 min
May 29, 1:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Runnels, Tom Green63 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2007Every flash flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.