Flash Flood Warning 111, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
317 PM CDT SAT JUL 28 2007

.SHORT TERM...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE SATURATED
ATMOSPHERE...SOME OF THESE SHOWERS ARE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL IN
SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS ARE MOVING VERY
SLOWLY...SO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS MAY RESULT FROM THESE
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE WX
WITH ANY OF THE STORMS. EXPECT MOST OF THE ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ONCE THE SUN SETS AND DAYTIME HEATING IS
LOST. EXPECTING SIMILAR TEMPERATURES TO WHAT WAS SEEN OVERNIGHT...
FALLING INTO THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
WITH AN EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT.

.LONG TERM...
THE CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING FAIRLY CONSISTENT AS
WELL WITH UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS AND LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70. WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE
AROUND THE WEAK MID/UPPER LOW AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TO THE
WEST/SOUTHWEST AND WEAKENS AT THE SAME TIME. WITH AS SATURATED AND
WEAKLY CAPPED AS THE ENVIRONMENT IS...THE STORMS HAVE INITIATED
FAIRLY EASILY. WITH THAT IN MIND...WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS GOING FOR
MAINLY THE SOUTHERN 2/3 OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MONDAY AND
COOLER DAYTIME HIGHS FOR THIS AREA AS ADDITIONAL CLOUDCOVER AND
POSSIBLE RAINFALL MAY MODERATE TEMPERATURES.

RIDGING WILL TRY TO BUILD IN FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS
TEXAS STARTING TUESDAY. THIS SHOULD KEEP CHANCES TO SLIGHT AT BEST
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES ALSO INCREASING
INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRY TO
MOVE SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. WILL KEEP AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA IN THE
FORECAST FOR THAT TIME PERIOD AND CONTINUE TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES COOLER THAN NORMAL WITH A CONTINUED MOIST ATMOSPHERE AND
POSSIBLE CLOUDCOVER/RAIN COOLED AIR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 69  88  70  88 /  30  30  20  20
SAN ANGELO 	 68  88  69  87 /  30  40  30  40
JUNCTION 	 68  89  71  87 /  30  50  40  40

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

20

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
217 PM CDT SAT JUL 28 2007

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-291930-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
217 PM CDT SAT JUL 28 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING...MOST OF THESE WILL BE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.
THESE WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND WILL CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN
PERSIST OVER ANY GIVEN LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN...
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING THAT IS OBSERVED.