Severe Thunderstorm Warning 14, NWS San Diego, CA

000 
WWUS56 KSGX 022144 RRA
SVSSGX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
244 PM PDT SUN SEP 2 2007

CAC073-022154-
/O.EXP.KSGX.SV.W.0014.000000T0000Z-070902T2145Z/
SAN DIEGO CA-
244 PM PDT SUN SEP 2 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL SAN DIEGO COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 245 PM PDT...

LAT...LON 3260 11659 3258 11680 3263 11694 3288 11706
      3315 11710 3320 11682 3271 11658
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 041DEG 3KT 3268 11674

$$

SCV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 2 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AND MONSOON MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE THE HOT
HUMID WEATHER THROUGH LABOR DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE HEAT MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS AND MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS THROUGH LABOR DAY. SOME STORMS
WILL DRIFT WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS. THE HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS TUESDAY
TO START A COOLING AND DRYING TREND THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE
WEEK...BUT MORE MOISTURE WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR ANOTHER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

MUCH LIKE SATURDAY THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ERUPTED IN THE PENINSULAR
RANGE AND HAVE BEEN DRIFTING WESTWARD INTO THE VALLEYS. THE STORMS
ARE HEAVY ENOUGH TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO
DECREASE BY SUNSET IF NOT SOONER. THE MOISTURE AND THE HEAT WILL
CONTINUE ON THE HOLIDAY JUST LIKE TODAY...SO EXPECT ONE MORE DAY
JUST LIKE THE LAST FEW. THE UPPER HIGH BREAKS DOWN A LITTLE AS A
WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE INTERIOR WEST TO OUR
NORTH ON TUE AND WED. THE COOLING TREND WILL BE SOMEWHAT NOTICEABLE
ON TUE...BUT EVEN MORE ON WED. THE MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE WILL
RETURN PRODUCING SOME COASTAL CLOUDS...BUT NOT EXTENSIVE COVERAGE.
THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE ARE STILL PAINTING A FUZZY
PICTURE LATER THIS WEEK. AS IT IS CURRENTLY TRACKED BY MODELS...THE
UNORGANIZED LOW MOVES INTO THE REGION LATE THU AND FRI BRINGING WITH
IT DEEP AND COPIOUS MOISTURE THAT COULD MEAN SHOWERS FOR EVERYONE.
BUT THE DETAILS CHANGE WITH EACH MODEL RUN AND FROM MODEL TO
MODEL...AND SURE ENOUGH THE LATEST PROGS SHOW MOISTURE THAT IS MUCH
LESS COPIOUS. THE LOW AND/OR THE MOISTURE COULD TRACK ELSEWHERE AND
LEAVE US WITH NOTHING. NEXT WEEKEND ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH PATTERN IS
SHOWN TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WEST COAST WHICH MIGHT JUST BRING TEMPS
DOWN TO NORMAL FOR A CHANGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
021935..THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT AREAS AND HIGH
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN CONCERNS THROUGH
MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AND NEAR BY VALLEY AND DESERT AREAS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
END BY SUNSET BUT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
BEFORE NOON ON MONDAY OVER THE SAME AREAS. BASES SHOULD BE AROUND
FL080 WITH TOPS TO FL450 AT TIMES.

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY AT KSAN AND KSNA SHOULD BE BETWEEN
28 AND 30 DEGREES C...NEAR 42 DEGREES C AT KONT AND BETWEEN 43 AND
45 DEGREES C AT KPSP AND KTRM.

THE MARINE LAYER REMAINS VERY SHALLOW...LESS THAN 500 FEET. MARINE
LAYER STRATUS/FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A PROBLEM AT THE COASTAL
AIRPORTS THROUGH MONDAY.  HORTON

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 AM PDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
     EVENING FOR APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS-COACHELLA VALLEY-
     RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
     SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND
     EMPIRE-SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
     SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM PDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN BERNARDINO AND
     RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-SAN DIEGO COUNTY
     VALLEYS.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PDT MONDAY FOR ORANGE
     COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY
     VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS.

&&

PUBLIC...MM
AVIATION/MARINE...HORTON

NWS ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 2 2007

CAZ042-043-048-050-055>058-060>062-030100-
ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS-
COACHELLA VALLEY-SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE VERY HOT DAYS INLAND
THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH SLOW COOLING TUESDAY. MOISTURE IN SOUTHEAST
FLOW ALOFT WILL CAUSE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERTS...DECREASING TOWARD MID WEEK THEN INCREASING AGAIN THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. A FEW STORMS WILL DRIFT WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH
LABOR DAY.

.DAY ONE... TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE MOUNTAINS...DESERTS AND INLAND VALLEYS
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SEE LAXFFASGX FOR DETAILS.

THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS HIGH FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN
DESERTS. THUNDERSTORMS WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED AND THE
THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING IS SIGNIFICANT.

THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS MODERATE FOR THE SOUTHERN
DESERTS...INLAND VALLEYS AND SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR
THE INLAND VALLEYS AND INLAND ORANGE COUNTY. SEE LAXNPWSGX FOR
DETAILS.

HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK AT THE BEACHES. SEE LAXSRFSGX FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS HIGH FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN
DESERTS MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED
AND THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING IS SIGNIFICANT.

THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS MODERATE FOR THE SOUTHERN DESERTS AND
INLAND VALLEYS MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND
ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING
MONDAY FOR THE INLAND VALLEYS AND INLAND ORANGE COUNTY. SEE
LAXNPWSGX FOR DETAILS.

HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK AT THE BEACHES FOR MONDAY. SEE LAXSRFSGX FOR
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN WEATHER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED AGAIN SUNDAY. SPOTTERS
ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

MARTIN