Flash Flood Warning 24, NWS San Diego, CA

000 
WGUS76 KSGX 312027
FFSSGX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
126 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

CAC071-312200-
SAN BERNARDINO CA-
126 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM PDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY...

AT 119 PM PDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BIG BEAR LAKE
AND BIG BEAR CITY. FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOW ACROSS HIGHWAY 38 NEAR 
MILE MARKER 27. THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND LOCAL FLASH 
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 300 PM.

LAT...LON 3403 11700 3436 11714 3431 11675 3416 11662
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 180DEG 0KT 3418 11683

$$

DVA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
708 AM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BRING HOT WEATHER THROUGH THE LABOR
DAY WEEKEND. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCAL FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM SOME OF THE STORMS. COOLER AND LESS HUMID WEATHER IS
EXPECTED BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

&&

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED THIS
MORNING WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS. THIS ACTIVITY FORMED ALONG THE
LEADING EDGE OF A MUCH LARGER COMPLEX THAT DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT TO
THE SE. THE 12Z MIRAMAR SOUNDING SHOWS A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE WITH WEAK WINDS ALOFT.

EXPECT ANOTHER UNCOMFORTABLY HOT DAY...ESPECIALLY JUST INLAND FROM
THE COAST. WEAK OFFSHORE GRADIENTS WILL LIKELY DELAY SEA BREEZE
ONSET AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES OVER THE COAST AND COASTAL VALLEYS TO
CLIMB A FEW MORE DEGREES THAN YESTERDAY. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE VALLEYS...BUT ALL AREAS WILL BE QUITE WARM. LOCAL
THUNDERSTORM EFFECTS COULD CAUSE SURFACE TEMPERATURE JUMPS FOR A
TIME AS WELL TODAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY
BASED ON THE WRINGING WET ATMOSPHERE...CONSIDERABLE INSTABILITY...
AND THE SLOW EAST DRIFT OF THE WINDS ALOFT. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP OVER THE MTNS WILL LIKELY MOVE OVER THE VALLEYS AND MAY
AFFECT COASTAL AREAS AS WELL WHERE THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE COULD
ENHANCE UPDRAFTS FOR A TIME.

MODELS INDICATE A GRADUAL DRYING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK BUT A THREAT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AT
TIMES. CONTINUED HOT THROUGH AT LEAST MON...THEN COOLING AS THE
UPPER HIGH BREAKS DOWN AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A THROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NW.

&&

.AVIATION...
311400Z...MAIN ISSUE OF THE DAY WILL BE THE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
AREA. THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALREADY OCCURRING OVER THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE SUNRISE WITH ONE THUNDERSTORM
DRIFTING CLOSE ENOUGH TO KSAN TO WARRANT AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING
FOR LIGHTNING WITHIN 5 MILES OF THE AIRPORT. THIS AREA HAS
DIMINISHED IN ACTIVITY SINCE SUNRISE BUT MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE OVER THE MOUNTAINS WITH SOME DRIFTING WEST
OF THE MOUNTAINS AT TIMES. BASES SHOULD BE AT OR ABOVE FL080 WITH
TOPS TO FL400 AT TIMES. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD END AROUND
SUNSET.

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD APPROACH 30 DEGREES AT KSAN AND
KSNA...40 TO 43 DEGREES AT KONT...AND 45 TO 48 DEGREES AT KPSP.

THE MARINE LAYER IS QUITE SHALLOW AND SHOULD NOT POSE A PROBLEM TO
ANY OF THE COASTAL AIRPORTS TODAY.  HORTON

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM PDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN BERNARDINO AND
     RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-SAN DIEGO COUNTY
     VALLEYS.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF EXTREME SW CA TODAY.

PZ...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...JAD
AVIATION/MARINE...HORTON

NWS ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
725 AM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

CAZ042-043-048-050-055-056-057-058-060-061-062-010100-
ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS-
COACHELLA VALLEY-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-
725 AM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
PLEASE SEE LAXFFASGX FOR DETAILS.

THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS MODERATE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
DO DEVELOP GUSTY WINDS ...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
HAIL IS LIKELY ALSO.

EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FOR THE INLAND VALLEYS AND FOR FAR INLAND
PORTIONS OF ORANGE COUNTY FOR THIS AFTERNOON. SEE LAXNPWSGX FOR
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HIGH PRESSURE OVER ARIZONA WILL CONTINUE HOT DAYTIME WEATHER FOR
INLAND AREAS THROUGH LABOR DAY.

CHANCES FOR MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. FOR SATURDAY FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERTS...THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS MODERATE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. FOR THE
INLAND VALLEYS FOR SATURDAY...THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW...THE
RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS MINIMAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN WEATHER SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

CLARK/MARTIN