Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 151530
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1029 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

MOC011-057-151630-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-070515T1630Z/
DADE MO-BARTON MO-
1029 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BARTON AND DADE COUNTIES...

AT 1027 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR GOLDEN CITY...OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LAMAR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOCKWOOD BY 1105 AM CDT.
  9 MILES NORTHWEST OF GREENFIELD BY 1130 AM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF SYLVANIA...NEOLA AND CEDARVILLE ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

ANOTHER SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MEINERT OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST 
OF GREENFIELD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.  THIS STORM WILL 
LIKELY PRODUCE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3729 9408 3735 9410 3735 9422 3752 9414
      3757 9409 3757 9363 3728 9364

$$

CRAMER

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 151537
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1037 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

MOC011-151547-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-070515T1630Z/
BARTON MO-
1037 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BARTON COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3729 9394 3738 9409 3758 9393 3757 9363
      3728 9364

$$

MOC057-151630-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-070515T1630Z/
DADE MO-
1037 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT
FOR DADE COUNTY...

AT 1032 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MEINERT...OR 12 MILES 
SOUTHEAST OF LAMAR. THIS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS 
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS 
IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF DADE
COUNTY.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3729 9394 3738 9409 3758 9393 3757 9363
      3728 9364

$$

CRAMER

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 151554
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1054 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

MOC057-151630-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-070515T1630Z/
DADE MO-
1054 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT 
FOR DADE COUNTY...

AT 1051 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR GREENFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
EASTERN DADE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF DADEVILLE AND BONA.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3732 9387 3757 9383 3757 9363 3737 9364

$$

CRAMER

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 151610
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1110 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

MOC057-151620-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-070515T1630Z/
DADE MO-
1110 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR DADE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND WERE NO LONGER
SEVERE...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3732 9387 3757 9383 3757 9363 3737 9364

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1011 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

....MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING LIKELY FOR AN EPISODE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.  RUC AND LAPES DERIVED 0-1KM COMPUTED CAPE ARE
SUGGESTING VALUES RANGING FROM 500-1000 J/KG EAST OF ONGOING
CONVECTION/COLD POOL.  LATEST RADAR RETURNS SHOW UPDRAFTS BEGINNING
TO FIRE CLOSER TO THE EDGE OF THE COLD POOL...INDICATING INCREASING
DESTABILIZATION WITHIN THE LOWER TROP.  THIS WOULD ALSO SUGGEST A
GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IN UPDRAFT STRENGTH AS CONVECTION SHIFTS
EAST INTO INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR.  0-6KM WIND SHEAR IS VERY WEAK
WITH ONLY ABOUT 15-25KTS OF MAGNITUDE ALONG VECTORS.  THIS
ENVIRONMENT WOULD SUGGEST THAT THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE HAIL UP TO
THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  A
SERIES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS IS LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OZARKS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.  STAY TUNED.

CRAMER

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...

LOOKING FOR VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE INITIAL 6 HOURS OF THE
FORECAST AT BOTH JLN/SGF WITH VFR CEILINGS FROM CONVECTION IN THE
PLAINS OVERSPREADING THE AREA.  COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE DURING
THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS WITH CONVECTION POSSIBLE FROM
AROUND 16Z TO 22Z TODAY.  COULD SEE SOME MVFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING
WITH THE CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON.  HAVE KEPT IN VFR CEILINGS
BEHIND THE FRONT DURING THE EVENING HOURS.  WINDS WILL VEER
THROUGHOUT THE DAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT.  COULD
SEE GUSTS ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS UP
AROUND 20 TO 22 KTS.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
600 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
600 AM CDT TUE MAY 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO AREAS NORTHWEST OF THE
 INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
 PROGRESSIVELY SPREAD TO THE SOUTHEAST...AFFECTING AREAS ALONG
 AND SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR DURING THE AFTERNOON.

  DISCUSSION:

  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THIS FEATURE OVER NORTHERN
  OKLAHOMA...MUCH OF KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI. THIS ACTIVITY
  WILL SPREAD INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AS WELL AS WEST
  CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS
  ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUB
  SEVERE...WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
  HEAVY RAINFALL THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

  THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE
  INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR BY MIDDAY. SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED ALONG AND
  SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44 THIS MORNING...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A
  MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. THE COLD FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH
  THIS UNSTABLE AIRMASS THIS AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN
  REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL...
  SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. WITH WIND SHEAR EXPECTED
  TO BE WEAK...ONLY A FEW...MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
  ANTICIPATED. IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
  AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND
  WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL INTERACTING WITH VERY MOIST SOIL
  CONDITIONS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF WEST
  CENTRAL MISSOURI MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS NEAR
  RIVERS AND STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE
 FROM NEOSHO TO ROLLA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN