Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Springfield, MO

April 3, 2007Shannon County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 3, 2007, 3:15 PM CDT for Shannon County, Missouri. It was in force for 11 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 3, 2007, 3:15 PM CDT (20:15 UTC)
Expired: Apr 3, 2007, 3:26 PM CDT
In force: 11 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Shannon County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 194 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 3, 3:17 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	Winona, MO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 3, 11:51 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1571 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -171 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 930 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 275 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 294 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 032015
SVRSGF
MOC203-032045-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0048.070403T2015Z-070403T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
315 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEAST SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT.

* AT 311 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM LOCATED NEAR WINONA...OR 24 MILES EAST OF
  MOUNTAIN VIEW...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
  SOUTHEASTERN SHANNON COUNTY.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING VERY LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. HAIL WITH THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SHATTER
WINDOWS AND CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY TO THOSE OUTDOORS. IF YOU ARE IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3702 9138 3684 9132 3690 9122 3709 9103
      3715 9106

$$

IZZI

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 032026
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
327 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

MOC203-032037-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-070403T2045Z/
SHANNON MO-
327 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHANNON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING IS EXITING THE WARNED AREA...
THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3702 9138 3684 9132 3690 9122 3709 9103
      3715 9106

$$

IZZI

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 3, 2:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 2:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
200 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

.UPDATE...

COLD FRONT HAS MOVED TO ROUGHLY AN KAIZ TO KSGF TO JUST NORTH OF A
KGMJ LINE AT 145 PM. DISCRETE CELLS THAT HAVE DEVELOPED OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL MO DURING THE PAST HOUR ARE IN THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR
SUPERCELL AND POSSIBLE TORNADO DEVELOPMENT WHERE INSTABILITY
(MLCAPES ARE 2000-2500 J/KG AND 0-1KM HELICITY IS 100-200 M2/S2)
LINE OF STORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT HAVE REMAINED FAIRLY DISCRETE
SOUTHWEST OF KLBO...BUT HAVE PRODUCED SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AS
FAR SOUTH AS SPRINGFIELD. SO FAR VEERED LOW LEVEL FLOW ALONG THE
FRONT HAS LIMITED THE TORNADO THREAT. DSA
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES LIKELY THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK...

FORECAST CONCERNS DEAL WITH LATE PERIOD TEMPERATURES AND POTENTIAL
FREEZE/FROST AND A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

LINE OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED ALONG A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
WITH SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SURFACE FRONT AS OF 1 PM
WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM NEAR JOPLIN...NORTHEAST TO BOLIVAR AND
OSAGE BEACH MISSOURI. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD MOVE THROUGH MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 00Z WITH LINGERING CLOUD COVER ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING. HAVE SOME CONCERNS WITH TEMPERATURES
DUE TO UPSTREAM TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS ALREADY IN THE
MID TO UPPER 40S...BUT SOME MODIFICATION WAS NOTED DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. HAVE KEPT SHORT TERM GRIDS CLOSE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

SHORT TERM MODELS ARE SIMILAR WITH SURFACE FEATURES WITH A LARGE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S.
THROUGH THE WEEK. HOWEVER...A POTENT SYSTEM OFF THE NORTHWESTERN
U.S. COAST WILL INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER BY LATE THURSDAY AND INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. CONSISTENT NORTH/NORTHEAST FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL
LEAD TOWARD A LIGHTER PRECIPITATION/MOISTURE THEN EXPECTED. BUT
UPPER FORCING...ESPECIALLY FRONTOGENESIS ABOVE THE 850MB LEVEL
INDICATES SOME LIFT AFTER 00Z FRIDAY...WITH THE BEST LIFT BETWEEN
03Z AND 09Z FRIDAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW
GROWTH BETWEEN 03/09Z...BUT EXPECTED SURFACE TEMPERATURES LEAD TO
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION MELTING AT THE SURFACE. THE BEST CHANCE OF
ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE NORTH OF HIGHWAY 160...FROM GREENFIELD TO
SEYMOUR MISSOURI. THIS AREA IS WHERE THE TEMPERATURES ARE CRITICAL
AND AMPLE MOISTURE EXISTS. FOR NOW WILL ONLY HAVE A DUSTING ALONG
THE I-44 CORRIDOR.

LONGER RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN THE MAIN UPPER
PATTERN WHICH WILL LEAD TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
SUNDAY. SOME MODIFICATION IS NOTED BY MONDAY/TUESDAY BUT MODELS HAVE
BEEN SLOWER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS...THEREFORE WILL LEAN TOWARD THE
SLOWER ECMWF. AS WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS...THE COLDEST OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL BE SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY DEPENDING UPON WHERE THE
SURFACE RIDGE IS LOCATED. THERE WILL BE SEVERAL DAYS THAT EITHER A
FROST OR A FREEZE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR OUR REGION.
CLOUD COVER MAY HINDER THE OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNING.

JLT

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...STORMS WILL THREATEN THE KSGF AREA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT KEEPING TAFS GENERALLY VFR. STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL
OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH BY EARLY EVENING. DSA

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 3, 2:15 PM CDT, 1 hour before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
215 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-041100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
215 PM CDT TUE APR 3 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THE MISSOURI OZARKS. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
FRONT WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND
DAMAGING WINDS. ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT DEVELOP OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL
THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.

THE FRONT WILL CLEAR EAST OF THE REGION BY EARLY EVENING.

BEHIND THE FRONT NON THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL GUST TO BETWEEN 30 AND
40 MPH AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
WESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE
MISSOURI OZARKS FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

TERRY/IZZI/DSA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 3, 2:50 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
250 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     HAIL             WINONA                  37.01N 91.32W
04/03/2007  E1.75 INCH       SHANNON            MO   PUBLIC

&&

LDOOLEY

Local storm report, Apr 3, 2:55 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
255 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0252 PM     HAIL             5 SE HARTVILLE          37.20N 92.45W
04/03/2007  E0.75 INCH       WRIGHT             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DAVIS

Local storm report, Apr 3, 3:03 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
303 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0302 PM     HAIL             SHELL KNOB              36.63N 93.63W
04/03/2007  E1.00 INCH       BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DAVIS

Local storm report, Apr 3, 3:04 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
304 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             SHELL KNOB              36.63N 93.63W
04/03/2007  E0.88 INCH       BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DAVIS

Local storm report, Apr 3, 3:12 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
312 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             BRANSON                 36.64N 93.22W
04/03/2007  E0.88 INCH       TANEY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DAVIS

Local storm report, Apr 3, 3:15 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
315 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0313 PM     HAIL             1 N KIMBERLING CITY     36.65N 93.42W
04/03/2007  E1.75 INCH       STONE              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

DAVIS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 3, 11:13 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton	62 min
Apr 3, 11:28 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	St. Clair, Vernon	62 min
Apr 3, 11:36 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Miller, Morgan	54 min
Apr 3, 12:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, Camden	61 min
Apr 3, 12:28 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Miller, Morgan	6 hr
Apr 3, 12:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Miller, Morgan	59 min
Apr 3, 1:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Pulaski	63 min
Apr 3, 1:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene	37 min
Apr 3, 1:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Maries, Miller	44 min
Apr 3, 1:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Shannon	57 min
Apr 3, 1:47 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Dent, Shannon	20 min
Apr 3, 1:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Laclede, Wright	65 min
Apr 3, 1:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Texas	23 min
Apr 3, 2:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Phelps	42 min
Apr 3, 2:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Shannon	67 min
Apr 3, 2:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Webster	34 min
Apr 3, 2:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent	53 min
Apr 3, 2:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Stone	65 min
Apr 3, 2:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas, Wright	66 min
Apr 3, 2:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Taney	79 min
Apr 3, 3:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent	15 min
Apr 3, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Oregon	32 min
Apr 3, 3:42 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Shannon	6 hr
Apr 3, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Oregon	24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.