Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 157, NWS Springfield, MO

June 30, 2007Taney County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 30, 2007, 5:06 PM CDT for Taney County, Missouri. It was in force for 69 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 30, 2007, 5:06 PM CDT (22:06 UTC)
Expired: Jun 30, 2007, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 69 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Taney County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 30, 2:21 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 374 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 703 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 86 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 302206
SVRSGF
MOC213-302315-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0157.070630T2206Z-070630T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
506 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  TANEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT.

* AT 502 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR POWERSITE...OR NEAR FORSYTH...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE
  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TANEYVILLE BY 515 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF BRADLEYVILLE AND BROWNBRANCH ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF
THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...IF
YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3657 9313 3663 9315 3670 9319 3674 9319
      3676 9316 3680 9310 3680 9279 3658 9278
      3658 9312

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 30, 3:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 3:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
355 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN CHALLENGES/HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE
TORNADO THREAT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AND THE ON GOING
FLOOD THREAT OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION TODAY.
AN UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE LOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WITH A
SURFACE WARM FRONT EXTENDING THROUGH THE CWA. THESE FEATURES
CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOP THIS ACTIVITY.
TODAY WIND SHEAR HAS DEVELOP OVER THE CWA WITH 30 TO 40 KT 0-6KM
BULK SHEAR. THIS HAS ALLOWED FOR MORE ORGANIZED STORMS TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON. ALONG WITH THE SHEAR...LCL HEIGHTS HAVE LOW DUE TO
THE MOIST AIRMASS. WITH ALL OF THIS IN PLACE TORNADO STORMS HAVE
DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BE ISSUED
THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING.

OVERNIGHT A VERY SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT...WITH A CLUSTER OF STORMS
FORM OVER EASTERN KANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SLOW SHIFT TO THE
EAST OVERNIGHT. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD WITH BE LIKELY
OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW MORNING. TOMORROW AFTERNOON THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH WITH THE RAIN ALSO SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE ENTIRE CWA TOMORROW. HAVE EXTENDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
THROUGH 1 PM ON SUNDAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL TRY TO BUILD INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY
WITH DRIER AIR WORKING INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI. MORE MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN ALONG THE ARKANSAS BORDER ALONG FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THE NEXT GOOD CHANCE OF
RAIN WILL BE ON THURSDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE CWA.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...LOWER STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT
SPRINGFIELD FOR JUST THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF THE TAF CYCLE BEFORE
MIXING OUT WITH DAYTIME HEATING. OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY MVFR
CEILINGS WITH A CONTINUED MENTION OF VICINITY SHOWERS AND TEMPO
STORMS FOR BOTH SPRINGFIELD AND JOPLIN.

TERRY

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055-056-
     066>069-077>081-088>091-093>095-101>104.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 3:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
329 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-012030-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
329 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED
  TORNADOES...WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AND DEVELOP OVER
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH 8
  PM THIS EVENING.

  DISCUSSION:

 A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
 AND A SURFACE WARM FRONT OVER THE AREA...HAS ALLOWED FOR TORNADIC
 STORMS TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. THESE
 STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON
 INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

 THE POTENTIAL OF DANGEROUS FLOODING OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
 WESTERN MISSOURI THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. STORMS WILL
 CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST KANSAS...WESTERN
 AND CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SCATTERED
 THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
 MISSOURI THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
 FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
 WESTERN MISSOURI WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO
 INCHES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE. MOST RIVERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
 KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI ARE ALREADY AT FLOOD STAGE. WITH
 CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT...SIGNIFICANT RISES IN
 THE MARMATON AND LITTLE OSAGE RIVERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
 TOMORROW MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  ONGOING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING OVER
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI BEFORE GRADUALLY ENDING
  BEFORE NOON. OTHER SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP IN THE
  AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE ONCE
  AGAIN.

  THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE ENTIRE AREA THURSDAY AS
  A COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS
  OVER SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WISE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 30, 4:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
400 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0358 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NW OZARK              37.06N 93.26W
06/30/2007                   CHRISTIAN          MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            STREET FLOODING AND DITCHES FULL OF WATER NEAR HWYS MM
            AND CC

&&

WD

Local storm report, Jun 30, 4:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
402 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0402 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W BRIGHTON            37.46N 93.37W
06/30/2007                   POLK               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HIGHWAY 13 AT HIGHWAY 215 WATER OVER THE ROAD AND
            IMPASSABLE TO MOTORISTS.

&&

HATCH

Local storm report, Jun 30, 4:13 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
413 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0411 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 N PLEASANT HOPE       37.48N 93.27W
06/30/2007                   POLK               MO   PUBLIC

            TWO WALL CLOUDS REPORTED. ONE TO THE NORTH AND ONE TO THE
            SOUTHEAST OF TOWN.

&&

HATCH

Local storm report, Jun 30, 4:39 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
439 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     FLOOD            5 W GOLDEN CITY         37.39N 94.18W
06/30/2007                   BARTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ALONG PORTIONS HWY 126 TWO FEET OF WATER ACROSS ROAD

&&

WD

Local storm report, Jun 30, 4:42 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
442 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 E PLEASANT HOPE       37.46N 93.16W
06/30/2007                   DALLAS             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED NEAR HWY 215 AT POLK AND DALLAS COUNTY LINE

&&

WD

Local storm report, Jun 30, 4:47 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
447 PM CDT SAT JUN 30 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TORNADO          1 S PLEASANT HOPE       37.45N 93.27W
06/30/2007                   POLK               MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            ON THE GROUND WITH DEBRIS AT H HWY AND 215

&&

WD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 29, 11:05 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Lawrence	6 hr
Jun 30, 9:16 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Benton, Miller, Morgan, St. Clair, Vernon	6 hr
Jun 30, 1:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Polk	65 min
Jun 30, 1:44 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Polk	76 min
Jun 30, 1:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene	63 min
Jun 30, 2:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Greene	71 min
Jun 30, 2:09 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Stone	51 min
Jun 30, 2:31 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Texas	6 hr
Jun 30, 2:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Christian	74 min
Jun 30, 2:42 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Lawrence	6 hr
Jun 30, 2:43 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Texas	6 hr
Jun 30, 3:06 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Greene, Polk	6 hr
Jun 30, 3:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Polk	48 min
Jun 30, 3:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Stone	27 min
Jun 30, 3:34 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Christian	6 hr
Jun 30, 3:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Christian, Greene	33 min
Jun 30, 3:39 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Shannon	6 hr
Jun 30, 3:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Shannon	58 min
Jun 30, 4:02 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Polk	58 min
Jun 30, 4:03 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Stone	6 hr
Jun 30, 4:25 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	6 hr
Jun 30, 4:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Dallas	64 min
Jun 30, 4:46 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Taney	6 hr
Jun 30, 4:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dallas, Webster	6 hr
Jun 30, 5:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Webster	65 min
Jun 30, 5:21 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Taney	69 min
Jun 30, 5:45 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Douglas	6 hr
Jun 30, 5:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Wright	66 min
Jun 30, 5:59 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Ozark	6 hr
Jun 30, 6:09 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Wright	6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.