Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007

Flash Flood Warning 95, NWS Springfield, MO

June 11, 200713 counties in Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood warning at Jun 11, 2007, 8:33 AM CDT for 13 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 11, 2007, 8:33 AM CDT (13:33 UTC)
Expired: Jun 11, 2007, 12:00 PM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Flood severity: None

Counties Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Howell County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 11, 9:31 AM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Nixa, MO	FLASH FLOODING WAS ONGOING ON CHEYENNE STREET IN NIXA JUST NORTH OF THE HIGH SCHOOL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 41 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 35 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1192 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 241 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KSGF 111335
FFWSGF
MOC009-043-067-091-119-149-153-203-209-213-215-225-229-111700-
/X.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0095.070611T1333Z-070611T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
833 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  MCDONALD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  OZARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  TANEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  OREGON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  BARRY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  HOWELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  DOUGLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  TEXAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  WEBSTER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  WRIGHT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL NOON CDT.

* AT 831 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS EXTREME 
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.  THIS AREA OF HEAVY RAIN 
  WILL CAUSE SEVERAL LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
  AVA...BRANSON...CASSVILLE...FORSYTH...HIGHLANDVILLE...HOUSTON...
  KIMBERLING CITY...MARSHFIELD...MOUNTAIN GROVE...MOUNTAIN VIEW...
  NIXA...OZARK...PINEVILLE...THAYER AND WEST PLAINS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3649 9463 3675 9459 3674 9409 3692 9405
      3691 9364 3709 9360 3708 9309 3746 9305
      3747 9307 3747 9227 3760 9223 3758 9178
      3742 9175 3740 9123 3727 9119 3711 9108
      3710 9127 3685 9127 3680 9115 3654 9116
      3651 9123

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 11, 7:52 AM CDT, 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 7:52 AM CDT, 41 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...AVIATION UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET AROUND 30-35KTS WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT
MOIST AIRMASS INTO THE REGION RIGHT INTO AREA OF BROAD UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION ACROSS SE KS AND SW MO. WEAK SHORTWAVE STILL MOVING
ACROSS THE TOP OF THE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE OZARKS INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL JET VEERS AND IS ISENTROPICALLY LIFTED IN
PLACE. MOISTURE PLUME FROM THE EAST PACIFIC WILL KEEP PUMPING 1.8 TO
2.0 INCH PRECIPITAL WATER VALUES INTO THE REGION AND INTERACT WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED LLJ AND LIFT. CONVECTION SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATER THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT HEAVY
RAINFALL AS NOTED IN RECORD EVENT REPORT FOR YESTERDAY...JOPLIN
3.86...VICHY 2.52...WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TODAY WITH HEAVY RAIN
EXPECTED AS THE PRIMARY WEATHER HAZARD.

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED FOR TODAY AS WE REMAIN CLOUD COVERED
WHICH WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY AS NOTED BY WRF-NAM WITH 700-1200
MLCAPES AT 18Z. THERE WILL BE SOME UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND
MODERATE LIFT SO SOME STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS ALONG THE MISSOURI/KANSAS LINE.

THE STAGNANT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK WITH HIGHLY AMPLIFIED RIDGE NOTED ON THE GFS AND ECMWF.
BLOCKING TROF ON THE EAST COAST AND OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL
MODIFY THE FLOW HERE AND THERE BUT NEVER GET THEIR ACTS
TOGETHER...LEAVING THE RIDGE IN PLACE. AFTER TUESDAY BEST AXIS OF
INSTABILITY SHIFTS TO THE WEST ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS WITH CORFIDI
VECTORS NOT INDICATING VERY MUCH MOVEMENT OF CONVECTION. DID NOT
MESS WITH THE PERIODS AFTER WEDNESDAY AS PREVIOUS FORECAST LOOKED
GOOD. WILL HAVE TO ASSES TEMPERATURES LATER IN THE WEEK AS CLOUDS
HANG OUT OVER THE WESTERN CWA. THIS COULD BRING HIGHER TEMPERATURES
TO THE EAST WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE WEST.

HATCH

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING WITH CHANCES
THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD. A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT...COMBINED
WITH A MOIST ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN ACROSS SW
MO...SE KS AND NE OK. DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE TO THE SW OF BOTH
THE JLN AND SGF TERMINALS AND MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT OF TODAY.
DUE TO THIS...INTERMITTENT RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO
THE AFTERNOON HOURS OF MONDAY. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTION MAY OCCUR
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...HOWEVER
REDEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FROM MID AFTERNOON ONWARD.

CIGS AND VIS WILL VARY WILDLY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NEXT 6 OR SO
HOURS. OUTSIDE OF SHRA/TSRA GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
WITHIN AREAS OF SHRA/TSRA IFR WILL OCCUR...AS HAS BEEN OBSERVED
PREVIOUSLY THIS PAST EVENING. A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS THE RAIN LIGHTENS UP MONDAY...WITH THIS DECK LIFTING TO LOW END
VFR BY AFTERNOON.

HATCH

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY THROUGH NOON TODAY.
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH NOON TODAY.

WFO SGF

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 11, 6:05 AM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
605 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-121115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
605 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
  A FEW STRONG OR ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH
  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF ONE INCH AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS.

  DISCUSSION:

  THE LEADING EDGE OF A LOW LEVEL JET ALONG WITH MODERATE UPWARD
  MOTION WILL MAINTAIN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH
  EARLY TODAY IN THE WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE
  MIDWEST. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER KANSAS AND
  NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE
  MISSOURI OZARKS.

  THE PRIMARY HAZARD DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING THROUGH
  EARLY TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND FLASH
  FLOODING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN THREE AND FIVE
  INCHES OCCUR ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST
  MISSOURI. FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS
  AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS IS EXPECTED.

  A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND
  HAIL TO THE SIZE OF ONE HALF INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
  AFTERNOON MAINLY NEAR THE MISSOURI AND KANSAS STATE LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ON AN AFTERNOON BASIS THROUGH
  NEXT SATURDAY. A RATHER STAGNANT WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE UNSTABLE AND
  HUMID AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED
  IN NATURE...AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND
  GUSTY DOWN BURST WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

HATCH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:27 AM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
727 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W CARTHAGE            37.18N 94.33W
06/11/2007                   JASPER             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER RESCUE IN PROGRESS ON 170 AND FAIRVIEW ROAD.

&&

JLT

Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:36 AM CDT, 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
736 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CARTHAGE                37.18N 94.31W
06/11/2007                   JASPER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A CAR WAS HALFWAY UNDERWATER AT THE JUNCTION OF 171 AND
            GUM ROAD IN CARTHAGE.

&&

JLT

Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:42 AM CDT, 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
742 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0741 AM     FLASH FLOOD      JASPER                  37.34N 94.30W
06/11/2007                   JASPER             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            NORTH AND SOUTH BOUND LANES OF HIGHWAY 71 NEAR JASPER ARE
            CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

HATCH

Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:50 AM CDT, 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
750 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CARTHAGE                37.18N 94.31W
06/11/2007                   JASPER             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER RESCUE IN PROGRESS ON JAYHAWK AND 171 IN CARTHAGE.

&&

JLT

Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:54 AM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
754 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NW CARTHAGE           37.20N 94.34W
06/11/2007                   JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER RESCUE IN PROGRESS AT HIGHWAY 171 AND JAYHAWK ROAD.

&&

DCRAMER

Local storm report, Jun 11, 8:04 AM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
804 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0803 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CARTHAGE                37.18N 94.31W
06/11/2007                   JASPER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIX WATER RESCUES IN PROGRESS. WATER IS FLOWING INTO
            HOMES IN CARTHAGE. SPRING RIVER IS OUT OF ITS BANKS AND
            RISING IN THE NORTHWEST SECTION OF THE COUNTY.

&&

DCRAMER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 10, 9:43 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Newton	8 hr
Jun 10, 11:51 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Jasper	6 hr
Jun 11, 4:01 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dade, Lawrence	8 hr
Jun 11, 5:37 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Greene	6 hr
Jun 11, 5:54 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Jasper, Newton	6 hr
Jun 11, 8:37 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dallas, Polk	3 hr
Jun 11, 11:41 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Barton, Jasper, Newton	6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2007 Every flash flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.