Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007

Flash Flood Warning 92, NWS Springfield, MO

June 11, 2007Dade County, Lawrence County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood warning at Jun 11, 2007, 4:01 AM CDT for Dade County, Lawrence County, Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 11, 2007, 4:01 AM CDT (09:01 UTC)
Expired: Jun 11, 2007, 12:00 PM CDT
In force: 8 hr
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Flood severity: None

Counties Dade County, MO, Lawrence County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 11, 5:00 AM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	3 N Stotts City, MO	HWY 97 AND SURROUNDING AREAS FLOODED BY HIGH WATER FROM THE SPRING RIVER.
Jun 11, 6:00 AM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	8 S Lockwood, MO	HWY 97 AND SURROUNDING AREA FLOODED BY HIGH WATER FROM THE WHITE OAK CREEK.
Jun 11, 6:45 AM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	2 E Lockwood, MO	APPROXIMATELY 3 TO 6 INCHES OF FLOWING WATER OVER HIGHWAY 160 EAST OF LOCKWOOD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 59 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 33 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 127 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -183 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 884 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 78 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

575 
WGUS53 KSGF 110903
FFWSGF
MOC057-109-111700-
/X.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0092.070611T0901Z-070611T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
401 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  DADE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL NOON CDT.

* AT 359 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE  
  WARNED AREA. RAINFALL RATES HAVE INCREASED SINCE 3 AM ACROSS BOTH 
  DADE AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES...AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WITH 
  RATES AT LEAST ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNED 
  AREA THROUGH 6 AM. THROUGH 6 AM...RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD APPROACH 
  THREE INCHES. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3693 9406 3728 9405 3729 9408 3757 9409
      3757 9363 3728 9364 3727 9363 3693 9363
      3692 9364

$$

JLT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 11, 2:54 AM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 2:54 AM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
254 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET AROUND 30-35KTS WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT
MOIST AIRMASS INTO THE REGION RIGHT INTO AREA OF BROAD UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION ACROSS SE KS AND SW MO. WEAK SHORTWAVE STILL MOVING
ACROSS THE TOP OF THE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE OZARKS INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE LOW LEVEL JET VEERS AND IS ISENTROPICALLY LIFTED IN
PLACE. MOISTURE PLUME FROM THE EAST PACIFIC WILL KEEP PUMPING 1.8 TO
2.0 INCH PRECIPITAL WATER VALUES INTO THE REGION AND INTERACT WITH
THE ABOVE MENTIONED LLJ AND LIFT. CONVECTION SHOULD SLOWLY SHIFT
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI LATER THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT HEAVY
RAINFALL AS NOTED IN RECORD EVENT REPORT FOR YESTERDAY...JOPLIN
3.86...VICHY 2.52...WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TODAY WITH HEAVY RAIN
EXPECTED AS THE PRIMARY WEATHER HAZARD.

SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED FOR TODAY AS WE REMAIN CLOUD COVERED
WHICH WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY AS NOTED BY WRF-NAM WITH 700-1200
MLCAPES AT 18Z. THERE WILL BE SOME UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND
MODERATE LIFT SO SOME STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS ALONG THE MISSOURI/KANSAS LINE.

THE STAGNANT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK WITH HIGHLY AMPLIFIED RIDGE NOTED ON THE GFS AND ECMWF.
BLOCKING TROF ON THE EAST COAST AND OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL
MODIFY THE FLOW HERE AND THERE BUT NEVER GET THEIR ACTS
TOGETHER...LEAVING THE RIDGE IN PLACE. AFTER TUESDAY BEST AXIS OF
INSTABILITY SHIFTS TO THE WEST ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS WITH CORFIDI
VECTORS NOT INDICATING VERY MUCH MOVEMENT OF CONVECTION. DID NOT
MESS WITH THE PERIODS AFTER WEDNESDAY AS PREVIOUS FORECAST LOOKED
GOOD. WILL HAVE TO ASSES TEMPERATURES LATER IN THE WEEK AS CLOUDS
HANG OUT OVER THE WESTERN CWA. THIS COULD BRING HIGHER TEMPERATURES
TO THE EAST WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE WEST.

HATCH

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE...FORECAST CHALLENGES REVOLVE AROUND RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH THE ENTIRE 24 HOUR PERIOD. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE ALOFT...COMBINED WITH A MOIST ATMOSPHERE HAS RESULTED IN
SEVERAL AREAS OF RAIN ACROSS SW MO...SE KS AND NE OK. FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE TO THE SW OF BOTH THE JLN AND
SGF TERMINALS AND MOVE NORTHEAST. AS A RESULT...INTERMITTENT RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE DAYLIGHT HOURS OF MONDAY. A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...HOWEVER REDEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FROM MID
AFTERNOON ONWARD.

CIGS AND VIS WILL VARY WILDLY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NEXT 6 OR SO
HOURS. OUTSIDE OF SHRA/TSRA GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
WITHIN AREAS OF SHRA/TSRA IFR WILL OCCUR...AS HAS BEEN OBSERVED
PREVIOUSLY THIS PAST EVENING. A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AFTER THE RAIN ENDS MONDAY MORNING...WITH THIS DECK LIFTING TO LOW
END VFR BY AFTERNOON. HAVE HANDLED TSRA/IFR CONDITIONS WITH TEMPOS
AS THIS ACTIVITY TENDS TO BE ON AGAIN/OFF AGAIN.

GAGAN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY THROUGH NOON FOR AREAS WEST OF A NEVADA
TO SPRINGFIELD TO BRANSON LINE AND UNTIL 4PM FOR AREAS EAST OF THIS
LINE.
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH NOON MONDAY.

WFO SGF

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 11:25 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1125 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1125 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING. A
  FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  ONE HALF INCH AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS.

  DISCUSSION:

  A WEAK...BUT PERSISTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL
  AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA TONIGHT. A LOW LEVEL
  JET HAS FORMED IN THIS REGION...MAINTAINING AN INFLUX OF WARM AND
  MOIST AIR IN THE MIDWEST. THESE FEATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS
  SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ON EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
  AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...RESULTING IN
  SEVERAL PERSISTENT AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

  THE PRIMARY HAZARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL BE TORRENTIAL
  RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN
  TWO AND FIVE INCHES WILL BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EXTREME
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. FLASH FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS IS
  EXPECTED. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40
  MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF ONE HALF INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON AN AFTERNOON BASIS THROUGH NEXT
 SATURDAY. A RATHER STAGNANT WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
 MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE UNSTABLE AND HUMID AIRMASS
 ACROSS THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED IN
 NATURE...AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. A FEW
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING DOWN BURST WIND GUSTS CAN NOT BE
 RULED OUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. ANYONE WITH
 REPORTS OF FLOODING ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER
 SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CLAYCOMB/GAGAN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 10, 10:45 PM CDT, 5 hours 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1045 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     FLASH FLOOD      JOPLIN                  37.08N 94.51W
06/10/2007                   JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NORTH MURPHY ROAD IN JOPLIN IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

GAGAN

Special weather statement, Jun 10, 11:04 PM CDT, 4 hours 57 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1104 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

MOZ088-093-094-102-110500-
LAWRENCE MO-JASPER MO-NEWTON MO-BARRY MO-
1104 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR BARRY...JASPER...LAWRENCE AND NEWTON
COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT...

AT 1058 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF CARTHAGE TO FAIRVIEW...OR ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF CARTHAGE TO 11 MILES EAST
OF NEOSHO...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FAIRVIEW BY 1110 PM CDT.
  PIERCE CITY BY 1125 PM CDT.
  PURDY AND MONETT BY 1135 PM CDT.
  MILLER AND MOUNT VERNON BY 1150 PM CDT.
  VERONA BY 1155 PM CDT.
  AURORA AND 7 MILES WEST OF MARIONVILLE BY MIDNIGHT CDT.

THE TOWNS OF AVILLA...MAPLE GROVE...WENTWORTH...PIONEER...LA
RUSSELL...RED OAK...STOTTS CITY...FREISTATT...HOBERG AND PLEASANT
RIDGE ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. THIS ALSO INCLUDES INTERSTATE
44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 25 AND 58.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HOURLY RAINFALL RATES IN
EXCESS OF TWO INCHES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THIS
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL RESTRICT VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF MILE OR
LESS.

GAGAN

Local storm report, Jun 11, 12:05 AM CDT, 3 hours 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1205 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 N SHERMAN             37.32N 95.06W
06/10/2007                   CHEROKEE           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NORTHWEST WEIR ROAD ON NORTHWEST 110TH WAS FLOODED

&&

WISE

Local storm report, Jun 11, 12:11 AM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1211 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1150 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NW JOPLIN               37.08N 94.51W
06/10/2007                   JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A HOUSE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE A FOOT OF WATER INSIDE
            BETWEEN CARL JUNCTION AND JOPLIN. THERE WERE ALSO
            NUMEROUS STREETS FLOODED BETWEEN JOPLIN AND CARL
            JUNCTION.

&&

WISE

Local storm report, Jun 11, 1:51 AM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
151 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0151 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
06/11/2007                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER FLOWING OVER ACCORD STREET IN THE CITY OF NEOSHO.

&&

GAGAN

Local storm report, Jun 11, 1:57 AM CDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
157 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0157 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E MAPLETON            38.01N 94.85W
06/11/2007                   BOURBON            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            JCT 31 AND 7 NEAR MAPLETON CLOSED DUE TO BEING FLOODED

&&

WISE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 10, 9:43 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Newton	8 hr
Jun 10, 11:51 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Jasper	6 hr
Jun 11, 5:37 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Greene	6 hr
Jun 11, 5:54 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Jasper, Newton	6 hr
Jun 11, 8:33 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Barry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, McDonald, Oregon and 7 more	3 hr
Jun 11, 8:37 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dallas, Polk	3 hr
Jun 11, 11:41 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Barton, Jasper, Newton	6 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2007 Every flash flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.