Flash Flood Warning 79, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 081110
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
606 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

MOC209-081300-
/X.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0079.000000T0000Z-070608T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
STONE MO-
606 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT FOR
CENTRAL STONE COUNTY...

AT 603 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF STONE COUNTY. RADAR ESTIMATES 
THAT TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN FELL OVERNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL 
STONE COUNTY.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
CRANE...GALENA...REEDS SPRING AND WEST BRANSON.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED FROM TABLE ROCK LAKE TO THE 
HORSE CREEK BASIN.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3681 9358 3682 9360 3682 9363 3691 9363
      3693 9336 3682 9336 3680 9333 3664 9333
      3664 9358

$$

SCHAUMANN

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 081254
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
754 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

MOC209-081304-
/X.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0079.000000T0000Z-070608T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
STONE MO-
754 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 800 AM CDT FOR CENTRAL
STONE COUNTY...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO 
RECEDE. HOWEVER FLOODING MAY CONTINUE ON SOME STREAMS AND LOW WATER 
CROSSINGS. THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE REPLACED BY AN AREAL 
FLOOD WARNING.  IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO 
YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3681 9358 3682 9360 3682 9363 3691 9363
      3693 9336 3682 9336 3680 9333 3664 9333
      3664 9358

$$

FOSTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
150 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2007

.DISCUSSION...

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION

CONVECTION BEGINNING TO TRANSITION INTO LINEAR MODE. TWO AREAS OF
CONCERN AT THIS TIME. FIRST AREA IS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI WHERE SEVERAL SMALL LINE SEGMENTS RESIDE. LATEST LAPS
ANALYSIS ALONG WITH RECENTLY RELEASED KSGF RAOB INDICATE CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION ON THE ORDER OF -50 TO -75 J/KG HAS DEVELOPED. A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE EXISTS ABOVE THE CAP WITH 1500 J/KG
OR SO OF CAPE. LOW LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT AN
ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT...BUT THIS THREAT IS DIMINISHING WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED CAP. BIGGER THREAT APPEARS TO BE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
LATEST DATA SUGGESTS A THETA-E DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE SURFACE AND
700 MB OF 25-30 DEGREES. THIS COUPLED WITH A 0-2KM SHEAR VECTOR OF
ABOUT 20 KNOTS TOWARDS THE EAST WILL FAVOR A DAMAGING WIND THREAT
WITH STRONGER CONVECTION PROPAGATING EAST. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
SPEED SHEAR WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A SEVERE HAIL THREAT.
SECOND AREA OF CONCERN IS WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING BEHIND AN
INCOMING COLD FRONT FROM CLINTON TO PARSONS. THIS BROKEN LINE OF
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY INCREASE AND FILL IN AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT
INCREASES WITH INCOMING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION
OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET IN THE VICINITY. STILL ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND
MID LEVEL SHEAR PRESENT FOR A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT. STRONGER
MOMENTUMS WOULD HAVE A TOUGHER TIME TRANSPORTING DOWN IN THIS
ENVIRONMENT...BUT ANY STRONGER UPDRAFTS WILL SUPPORT A DAMAGING WIND
THREAT. THIS LINE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE OZARKS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.

SCHAUMANN

FORECAST...

COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ITS WAY
ACROSS THE OZARKS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. INTENSE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL CONTINUE IS PROGRESSION TO THE
NORTHEAST AS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SAGS THROUGH THE AREA BEFORE
SLOWING AND STALLING ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND BECOMES DIFFUSE
LATE FRIDAY. SURFACE HIGH UNDER EAST/WEST UPPER FLOW WILL BRING
QUIET WEATHER FOR THE OZARKS ON SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES A TOUCH
COOLER FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

THE SURFACE FRONT WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO SUNDAY.
TROFING BEGINS SATURDAY ACROSS WESTERN U.S. WITH THE GFS SHOWING A
CUTOFF LOW OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. AS THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS TO
THE EAST...POTENTIAL FOR WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL DEPEND ON
ANY UPPER LEVEL WAVES RIDING ACROSS THE RATHER FLAT RIDGE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE COLD FRONTAL REMNANTS ACROSS ARKANSAS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS AND WERE HANDLED WELL IN THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST. TROF IN THE WEST AND CUTOFF LOW BEGIN TO PHASE AND DEEPEN
ALLOWING FOR STRONG RIDGING TO TAKE PLACE IN THE CENTRAL U.S. BY
TUESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 80S
THOUGH SEVERAL SHORT WAVES WILL RIDE THE RIDGE PROVIDING FOR AT
LEAST SLIGHT CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION INTO MID WEEK.

AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES EAST OF THE ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY AND HELPS
TO FLATTEN THE RIDGE AGAIN BRINING THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA AS THE UPPER PATTERN SHIFT TO NORTHWEST FLOW BY THE END
OF THE WEEK.

HATCH

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z KSGF/KJLN TAFS: COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA WILL
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE SGF AND
JLN TERMINALS THROUGH AROUND 10Z. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE.

CEILING AND VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN VFR EXCEPT IN THUNDERSTORMS
WHERE BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. UPON THE PASSAGE OF
THE FRONT...EXPECTED WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST.

HATCH

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
325 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090830-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
325 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

 STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS IN
 EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED
 TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

 SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER
 STORMS.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
 HIGHWAY 160 THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.

  DISCUSSION:

 MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND SOUTH
 OF HIGHWAY 160. STRONG STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...DOWN BURST WINDS AND
 LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO REMAINS POSSIBLE
 WITH THIS ACTIVITY. DUE TO THE VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE...SOME
 LOCATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND
 STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

 THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY
 FRIDAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RETURN NORTH LATER IN THE WEEKEND
 BRINGING BACK THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
 THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AS SEVERAL UPPER
 LEVEL WAVES OF ENERGY RIDE OVER A RIDGE ACROSS THE CENTER OF
 THE COUNTRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 160
THROUGH 7 AM.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
117 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1133 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SAGINAW                 37.02N 94.47W
06/07/2007                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN IN THE CITY.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
120 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW LEAWOOD            37.01N 94.52W
06/07/2007  E60 MPH          NEWTON             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH WIND GUST AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
155 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OZARK                   37.02N 93.21W
06/08/2007                   CHRISTIAN          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWNED IN DOWNTOWN OZARK

&&

GCLAYCOM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
223 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0136 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SPARTA                  37.00N 93.08W
06/08/2007                   CHRISTIAN          MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            8 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN

&&

GCLAYCOM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
228 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NE WHEATON            36.82N 93.98W
06/08/2007                   BARRY              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FIVE TO SIX POWER POLES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 86 NORTH OF
            WHEATON

&&

GCLAYCOM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
244 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S WHEATON             36.69N 94.06W
06/08/2007                   BARRY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS POWER POLES DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 86 SOUTH OF
            WHEATON. ROAD CLOSED DUE TO POWER POLES ACROSS HIGHWAY.
            WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES IN COUNTY

&&

GCLAYCOM