Flash Flood Warning 257, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 240047
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
744 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

MOC057-240054-
DADE MO-
744 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR DADE COUNTY...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO
RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...
PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3750 9407 3736 9408 3736 9445 3743 9425

$$

MOC011-240300-
BARTON MO-
744 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BARTON COUNTY...

AT 739 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAD MOVED EAST OF THE WARNED AREA. 

RUNOFF FROM RAIN THAT OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY CONTINUED TO CAUSE  
FLASH FLOODING IN GOLDEN CITY...WHERE LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 
OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT KYLE CREEK AND MUDDY CREEK WERE OUT OF THEIR 
BANKS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3750 9407 3736 9408 3736 9445 3743 9425

$$

TERRY

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 240249
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
949 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

MOC011-240255-
BARTON MO-
949 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN BARTON
COUNTY...AND REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.


LAT...LON 3750 9407 3736 9408 3736 9445 3743 9425

$$

TERRY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
215 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

.DISCUSSION...

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EXPAND WITH THE ORIENTATION SHIFTING MORE
WEST TO EAST. DECENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONTINUES TO FEED
INTO BROAD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS.
ORIGINATION POINT OF CONVECTION IN SE KS/NE OK HAS SHIFTED VERY
LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. WHAT WAS ONCE A SW TO NE
ORIENTATION HAS SHIFTED A BIT MORE TOWARDS A W-E AXIS...PARTIALLY
DUE TO A SLIGHT VEER IN THE 925/850MB WIND DIRECTIONS PER THE LATEST
RUC INITIALIZATIONS.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES TONIGHT WILL BE TIED MAINLY TO THE EVOLUTION
AND MOVEMENT OF THE ONGOING CONVECTION. GIVEN MOIST ENVIRONMENT...
GOOD SUPPORT ALOFT GIVEN UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND THE MID LEVEL SHEAR
AXIS...HAVE OPTED TO EXPAND CATEGORICAL POPS EASTWARD AND
NORTHWARD.

GAGAN/FOSTER

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.
OUR REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW BETWEEN AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND
CUT OFF LOW OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE UPPER LOW IN THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL LIFT NORTH NORTHEAST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE
RIDGE THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE
LOW ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. AS A RESULT A WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP OR
STRENGTHEN WHICH WE MAY BE SEEING THE ORIGINS NOW ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI.  MODELS HAVE TRENDED STRONGER WITH UPPER RIDGING INTO THE
OZARKS THIS WEEKEND AND THUS KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAINLY TO
THE WEST OF THE AREA.

ALL OF THE OZARKS REGION AND OSAGE PLAINS WILL BE ENVELOPED BY THE
WARM SECTOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. MORE SUNSHINE AND INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW SHOULD PUSH TEMPERATURES TO AROUND 80 DEGREES. IF
NEAR FULL SUNSHINE DEVELOPS WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE LOWER OR
EVEN MIDDLE 80S IN A FEW SPOTS.

NEXT IN SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA
EARLY NEXT WEEK PROVIDING A CHANCE OF SCATTERED CONVECTION. BETTER
CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE LATER WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY OF
NEXT WEEK AS A MORE SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH SWINGS EAST ACROSS THE
ROCKIES.

FOSTER

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE...PRIMARY CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND CONVECTION
FOR THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL HAS QUICKLY EXPANDED EASTWARD...COMING
IN ABOUT AN HOUR EARLIER THAN EXPECTED AT SGF. RADAR TRENDS AND
SHORT TERM FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE CORRIDOR FROM JLN TO
SGF WILL BE IN FOR A WET AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF SHRA/TSRA ARE
EXPECTED. CIG/VIS WILL FLUCTUATE FROM VFR TO MVFR WITH THE PASSAGE
OF MORE SUBSTANTIAL CELLS/DOWNPOURS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS ALSO
EXPECTED.

TIMING THE ENDING OF THIS RAINFALL IS PROVING PROBLEMATIC AND HAVE
KEPT PREDOMINATE TSRA AT BOTH JLN AND SGF THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON. WILL MONITOR RADAR TRENDS TO SEE IF THE WEST TO EAST AXIS
OF SHRA/TSRA BEGINS TO SHIFT NORTH/EAST.

AFTER THE RAIN ENDS...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SUBSEQUENT TAFS WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT FOG IN
THE WAKE OF THIS RAINFALL. AT THIS POINT...CONTINUED 30-40KT WINDS
IN THE LOW LEVELS JUST OFF THE SFC WOULD LIKELY PRECLUDE THIS FROM
OCCURRING. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY MORNING AS
MIXING BEGINS.

GAGAN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1251 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-241800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1251 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING:
    HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.
    AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND MUCH OF
  THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
  BRANSON TO SALEM. THE STORMS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

  DISCUSSION:

  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN COMBINATION WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE
  WILL SUPPORT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON. THE MOIST AIRMASS WILL SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH WITH LOCALIZED AREAS RECEIVING UP TO THREE
  INCHES. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AND HIGHEST RISK OF FLOODING WILL
  OCCUR ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
  WHERE STORMS WILL TRAIN OR MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.
  DUE TO THE LIMITED INSTABILITY...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

  ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND
  ESPECIALLY FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE CHANCE
  OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK ON ALMOST A DAILY BASIS.
  ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER
  SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY FLOODING
  AND HEAVY RAINFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
  SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1258 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW CARTHAGE           37.19N 94.32W
03/23/2007  U0.00 INCH       JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DEPUTIES REPORTED WATER OVER THE ROAD AT COUNTY ROAD 170
            AND JACK PINE ROAD.

&&

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
144 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NW CARTHAGE           37.19N 94.32W
03/23/2007                   JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROAD IS CLOSED AT THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 170 AND
            JACK PINE ROAD IN THE VICINITY OF SPRING RIVER.

&&

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
145 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CARL JUNCTION           37.18N 94.57W
03/23/2007                   JASPER             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            ROADS AND WALKWAYS CLOSED IN CARL JUNCTION PARK.

&&

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
316 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 W LAWTON              37.22N 94.71W
03/23/2007                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROADS FLOODED 6 FEET DEEP EAST AND WEST OF THE
            INTERSECTION OF LAWTON ROAD AND NORTHWEST 40TH.

&&

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
317 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E WEIR                37.31N 94.72W
03/23/2007                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROAD FLOODED AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 69 AND
            HIGHWAY 103.

&&

GAGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
319 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 N COLUMBUS            37.23N 94.84W
03/23/2007                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PORTION OF HIGHWAY K-7 CLOSED BY KANSAS DOT NORTH OF
            COLUMBUS. ROAD HAS CAVED IN.

&&

GAGAN