Severe Thunderstorm Warning 66, NWS Charleston, WV

000 
WWUS51 KRLX 272026
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
425 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

WVC091-272045-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0066.000000T0000Z-070627T2045Z/
TAYLOR WV-
425 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR TAYLOR COUNTY...

AT 418 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF THORNTON...OR ABOUT 10 MILES 
NORTHEAST OF GRAFTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO 0.75 INCHES IN DIAMETER HAS BEEN REPORTED IN GRAFTON  
WITH THIS STORM.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3938 8023 3928 8020 3923 8011 3924 8000
      3929 7994 3929 7990 3935 7989 3946 7992
      3940 8006 3939 8016

$$

08

000 
WWUS51 KRLX 272045
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
445 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

WVC091-272055-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0066.000000T0000Z-070627T2045Z/
TAYLOR WV-
445 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR TAYLOR COUNTY EXPIRES AT 445
PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND NO LONGER POSES A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THUS THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER OTHER WEAKER
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND PEA SIZE HAIL.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3938 8023 3928 8020 3923 8011 3924 8000
      3929 7994 3929 7990 3935 7989 3946 7992
      3940 8006 3939 8016

$$

08

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
315 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT BRINGS NEEDED RAINFALL TO THE MOISTURE STARVED MID OHIO
VALLEY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE AND NORTHERLY FLOW
TRANSLATE TO A SEASONAL DRY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TRW POPPING UP DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING.  BEST AREA TO RECEIVE
RAINFALL APPEARS TO BE LOCATIONS W OF THE OHIO RIVER WHERE AN UPR
AIR IMPULSE CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM WRN OH S INTO THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU IS AND WL BE MOVING E THIS AFTN.  FORCING STILL REMAINS IFFY
AND WITH THE LACK OF TCU DEVELOPMENT OPTED TO KEEP ISOLD MENTION.
ACTIVITY SHOULD FADE SHORTLY AFTER DUSK AS THE CASE THE PAST FEW
NIGHTS.

FORECAST CHALLENGE REMAINS AREAL EXTENT OF PCPN THU.  NAM HAS BACKED
OFF ONSET OF QPF...WHILE THE GFS AND SREF MEAN CONTINUE TO BE
NSYNC.  ONCE AGAIN SIDED WITH THE LATTER TWO FOR THE AFTN
PACKAGE...WHICH RESULTED IN INCREASING POPS N OF A LINE FM DWU-EKN
TO CAT AND BRINGING LKLY TO A WAYNE-CRW-SNOWSHOE LINE.  CHC POPS
WILL WORK ELSW IN THE WARM SECTOR.  ATMS CONTS TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
DOWNPOURS IN ANY STORM.

DAY2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK STILL HAS MOST OF WV IN A SLGT RISK...BUT
WITH PWATS 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...WATER LOADING AND
A HIGH FZ LVL /NR 13.5KFT/ SHOULD RESULT IN PULSE/MARGINAL TYPE
STORMS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...

THE GFS SEEMS TO BE A LITTLE MORE CONSISTENT WITH MOVEMENT OF THE
FRONT...AND ALSO IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH SREF.  ALSO DO NOT
AGREE WITH THE NAM ON THE DECREASE IN QPF.  WITH PW VALUES BETWEEN
1.75-2 INCHES...PREFER HIGHER VALUES SOMEWHERE BETWEEN THE NAM AND
GFS.

THAT SAID...BRINGING CAT POPS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE
LIKELY POPS FROM CRW SOUTH ON FRIDAY. PLENTY OF UPPER SUPPORT NOTED
WITH RRQ OF H250 JET...AND FRONTAL PROGESSION WILL BE SLOWED BY A
WAVE OR TWO ALONG IT.  SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAIRLY
LIMITED WITH WATER LOADING...AND LOSS OF INSTABILITY THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY MORNING.  STILL...WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE
(12-14C H850 DEWPOINTS AND CONTINUED HIGH PWS) THINK INGREDIENTS ARE
COMING TOGETHER FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER MUCH OF THE CWA.
RAIN WILL MOSTLY COME TO AN END BY MIDDAY FRIDAY ACROSS THE NW HALF
OF CWA.  ONLY SPOTTY SHOWERS ARE FORESEEN ACROSS THE SOUTH BY FRIDAY
EVENING.

DRYING ATMOSPHERE WILL BE THE STORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS
SURFACE HIGH BUILDS IN AND CWA GETS INTO FRONT REGION OF H500 RIDGE.
COULD BE A DENSE FOG IN SOME LOCATIONS FOR SUNDAY MORNING.

GENERALLY LIKED MAV/MEX NUMBERS FOR TEMPERATURES OVERALL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

LITTLE CHANGE NEEDED TO HPC GRIDS NEEDED. CONTINUED IDEA OF DRY
WEATHER AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AS
SURFACE HIGH AND UPPER RIDGE REMAIN IN PLACE.

RIDGE BREAKS DOWN SOMEWHAT STARTING TUESDAY...AND RETURN FLOW SETS
UP AS SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF THE COAST. FRONTAL BOUNDARY PASSING
THROUGH AT THE END OF THIS WEEK MAY TRY TO MAKE A RUN BACK NORTH AS
A WARM FRONT.  PROBABLY NOT NEARLY THE MOISTURE/SUPPORT IT HAD
PREVIOUSLY...BUT SHOULD BE ENOUGH LIFT FROM OVERRUNNING TO SUPPORT
CHANCE POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MVFR CONDS IN HZ EXPECTED THIS AFTN AND MOST OF THE NIGHT AT AREA
AIRPORTS.  REDUCTION IN FLIGHT CONDITIONS ALSO FCST IN RW/TRW...HWVR
ISOLD TO SCT COVERAGE TOO LOW FOR ANY TAF ATT. A COLD FRONT DROPS S
DURING THE DAY THUR.  THIS WILL BRING RW/TRW DURING THE AFTN
HRS...SINCE THIS IS OUTSIDE THE 24HR WINDOW CB WILL SUFFICE FOR
NOW.

OUTLOOK...18Z THUR THROUGH MON...IFR WX IN RW/TRW FRI.  IN ADDITION
IFR PREDAWN FG PSBL SAT AND SUN.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...29
NEAR TERM...29
SHORT TERM...CL/29
LONG TERM...CL
AVIATION...29

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
349 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-280800-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
349 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WITH THE FRONT...THERE
IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD CONTAIN LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.