Severe Thunderstorm Warning 116, NWS Charleston, WV

000 
WWUS51 KRLX 262132
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
532 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

WVC011-262142-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0116.000000T0000Z-070726T2145Z/
CABELL WV-
532 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CABELL COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
AND NO LONGER POSES A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THUS THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND PEA
SIZE HAIL ARE STILL POSSIBLE.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3854 8227 3857 8225 3858 8220 3847 8206
      3844 8206 3847 8225 3847 8227

$$

07

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
156 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES MOVES
EAST BY SATURDAY.  HOWEVER...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN ALONG THE
EAST COAST INTO NEXT WEEK.  A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LATEST RADAR DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS SOME SHOWERS OVER
SOUTHEAST OHIO.  THIS CONVECTION IS THE RESULT OF DAYTIME HEATING
AND A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROF MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN OHIO.

THIS FEATURE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME
HOURS TONIGHT.  WHILE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BEGIN TO STABILIZE AFTER
SUNSET...UPWARD VERTICAL MOTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROF WILL
CONTINUE A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NIGHT-TIME HOURS.

IN ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN
RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG...ESPECIALLY IN THE RIVER VALLEYS
AND WHERE RAIN OCCURS.

MODELS SUGGEST ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROF WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.  AS A RESULT...HAVE CONTINUED CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT.  BELIEVE LIKELY POPS ARE
APPROPRIATE AS MID-LEVEL TROF GETS CLOSER.

BELIEVE MAV TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE IS TOO WARM FOR HIGHS ON FRIDAY.
OTHERWISE...PREVIOUS TEMPERATURE GRIDS LOOKED GOOD AND HAVE
GENERALLY ONLY MADE SOME MINOR TWEAKS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
WE WILL STILL BE IN A MOIST...UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ON SATURDAY AHEAD
OF ADVANCING LOW PRESSURE. HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY CATEGORY AS
LOW PRESSURE TRAVELS ACROSS REGION. CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW SEVERE
STORMS IN THE MOUNTAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FRONT GRUDGINGLY MOVES
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THE GFS LOOKS BETTER THAN THE
NAM HERE. 500MB TROUGH DEEPENS AS IT REACHES THE ATLANTIC
SEABOARD...CONSEQUENTLY THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE SLOW TO
CLEAR OUR AREA...AS A RESULT LEFT AT LEAST CHANCE POPS IN EASTERN
MOUNTAINS INTO MONDAY.

DID NOT STRAY TOO FAR FROM MOS VALUES FOR TEMPERATURES.  TENDED TO
LEAN A LITTLE COOLER DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH WET GROUND/CLOUD
COVER.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WITH THE LOW SETTLING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST...MODELS TRY TO SHOW
DRYING THROUGH THE COLUMN IN THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES. COULD NOT
ELIMINATE POPS IN THE NORTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF
THE TROUGH AXIS EVEN INTO MONDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE AREA
LOOKS TO BE DRY IN THE LONG TERM...WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING THROUGH THE PERIODS AS A RESULT OF PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER LOW OVER GREAT LAKES WILL DRIFT NORTH TONIGHT...BEFORE
BEGINNING TO DRIFT EAST ON FRIDAY.  CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE VFR CATEGORY. HOWEVER...EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.

EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND DECREASE IN
AREAL COVERAGE TONIGHT.  FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP WITH CONDITIONS
IN MOST LOCATIONS IN THE MVFR CATEGORY.  ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND LIGHT
WINDS WILL POSSIBLY RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF IFR CONDITIONS IN
RIVER VALLEYS AND OTHER FAVORED LOCATIONS.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN RETURN SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY AS HEATING ACTS TO DISSIPATE THE FOG AND ANY LOW CLOUDS WHICH
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.  EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL
DEVELOP DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL RESULT IN TEMPORARY MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  IN ADDITION...FOG MAY
RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS EACH NIGHT THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JSH
NEAR TERM...JSH
SHORT TERM...DB
LONG TERM...DB
AVIATION...JSH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
407 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>010-
013>017-019-024>026-270815-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-
WIRT-RITCHIE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
407 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

WVZ011-018-020-027>040-046-047-270815-
TYLER-CALHOUN-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-
MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-
POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
407 AM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
328 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ083>087-WVZ005>007-262130-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-
LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...
MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...
SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN
328 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

HERE IS A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY BETWEEN 3:30 AND 5:30 THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OHIO...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...AND WESTERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

ANY STORM CAN BRING GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...AND A DOWNPOUR FOR A
BRIEF TIME. RAIN RATES OF A HALF INCH IN 30 MINUTES...WOULD CAUSE
THE USUAL PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
ROAD VISIBILITY WOULD ALSO BE LIMITED.  OF COURSE...LIGHTNING ALWAYS
DESERVES OUR RESPECT. STAY INDOORS IF THUNDER IS HEARD.

IF ANY STORM PULSES TO A STRONGER LEVEL...BRIEF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WARNINGS MAY BE POSTED FOR SMALL SPECIFIC AREAS.

KTB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
429 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     HAIL             5 WNW OLDTOWN           38.46N 82.99W
07/26/2007  M1.00 INCH       GREENUP            KY   CO-OP OBSERVER

            1 INCH HAIL AT WARNOCK.

&&

PG