Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Raleigh, NC

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 090107
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
906 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCC125-090115-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-070609T0115Z/
MOORE NC-
906 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT 
FOR EXTREME SOUTHERN MOORE COUNTY...

AT 905 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES 
SOUTH OF PINEBLUFF... OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ABERDEEN... MOVING 
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. 

REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT FOR RELAY TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. OR CALL THE SPOTTER SEVERE TELEPHONE AT 1 
8 0 0 4 4 4 7 9 2 8 

LAT...LON 3511 7949 3507 7952 3504 7946 3509 7940
      3513 7939 3513 7947

$$

BADGETT

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 090125
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
925 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCC125-090135-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-070609T0115Z/
MOORE NC-
925 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MOORE COUNTY 
EXPIRED AT 915 PM EDT...

THE STORM WEAKENED AND MOVED INTO HOKE COUNTY AS OF 915 PM. 

LAT...LON 3511 7949 3507 7952 3504 7946 3509 7940
      3513 7939 3513 7947

$$

BADGETT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
607 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

.SYNOPSIS...A PREFRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS EARLY
THIS EVENING... THEN PROGRESS INTO THE PIEDMONT TONIGHT. THIS MAY
FOCUS THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...

THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO INDICATE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
CONVECTION TO BE OVER THE WESTERN PIEDMONT... SOUTHERN PIEDMONT...
AND SANDHILLS THIS EVENING. A THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN COUNTIES ACTING AS A FOCUS... AND THE SCATTERED
CONVECTION THAT ORIGINATED OVER THE MOUNTAINS HAS MOVED INTO THE
SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN FOOTHILLS WHERE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WARNINGS WERE ISSUED FOR STOKES AND CATAWBA COUNTIES
BETWEEN 500 AND 545 PM.

THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO STAY RATHER ISOLATED OR WIDELY
SCATTERED OVER NEAR THESE FOCUSING AREAS THROUGH 800 PM OR 900
PM... WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
MAY EITHER MOVE IN AS A LINE... OR REDEVELOP MID TO LATE EVENING
AS THE LINE OF STRONG STORMS MOVING INTO THE APPALACHIANS CROSSES
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE THE NW
PIEDMONT WHERE THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS OVERNIGHT.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAS BEEN UPDATED FROM
SPECIFIC DETAILS.

WARM AND HUMID OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 70S. -BADGETT
&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/...

CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE DAY POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER... THE
PLACEMENT OF THE OUTFLOW OR TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE OVER CENTRAL NC
OVERNIGHT... WILL PLAY A MAJOR ROLE IN THE CONVECTIVE DEVELOP
AGAIN FOR SATURDAY. IT MAY BE THAT THE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY WILL
SLIP TO OUR SOUTHERN OR EASTERN COUNTIES BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

IF THE ACTIVE CONVECTION OR AN OLD OUTFLOW FROM THE OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION DOES NOT AFFECT OUR REGION... A MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE WITH SURFACE BASED LIFTED INDICES -4 TO
-6 DEG C. IN ADDITION, MID/UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BE INCREASING AS
REGION IN NOSE OF H3 JET BY LATE AFTERNOON. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
RESPECTABLE WITH VALUES BETWEEN 6 AND 6.5 DEG C/KM. MAIN FORECAST
CHALLENGE IS THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR DEEP CONVECTION
TO FIRE. LATEST MODEL RUN HAS BECOME MUCH DRIER IN THE MID/UPPER
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THUS...12Z MOS POP GUIDANCE WAS AT OR
BELOW 20% ACROSS CENTRAL NC. DUE TO STRENGTH OF DYNAMICS ALOFT AND
POTENT COLD FRONT CROSSING REGION AROUND MAX HEATING...BELIEVE MOS
GUIDANCE TOO LOW WITH POPS. WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE GREATEST
COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 1. POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW STORMS TO BE SEVERE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
THE LOCALIZED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS THE MAIN THREAT FOLLOWED BY
LARGE HAIL. FREQUENT/EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING ALSO A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN AND THE SANDHILLS.

AIR MASS BECOMES DRIER AND MORE STABLE SUN-MON AS HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE GREAT LAKES EXTEND SEWD INTO CENTRAL NC. DEWPOINTS SUN
INTO MON EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MORE COMFORTABLE 50S AND LOWER 60S.
MODELS DO DEPICT A DECENT VORT MAX CROSSING THE AREA SUN AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER THE AIR MASS APPEARS TOO DRY TO SUPPORT NOTHING MORE THAN A
FEW CLOUDS.

TEMP WISE...POTENTIAL FOR A FEW HOURS HEATING SATURDAY. THIS SHOULD
HELP TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE 90-95 DEGREE RANGE. HOWEVER...IF
SCATTERED SHOWERS OCCURRING SATURDAY MORNING...MAX TEMPS MAY BE 3-4
DEGREES TOO WARM.

NLY FLOW SUN INTO MON WILL USHER SEASONABLE AND LESS HUMID AIR INTO
CENTRAL NC. LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES FAVOR MAX TEMPS COMPARABLE TO NAM
MOS...GENERALLY MID/UPPER 80S BOTH DAYS. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL
VARY FROM UPPER 60S IN THE SOUTH WHERE DRIER/COOLER AIR DELAYED
UNTIL SUN. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE 60-65 DEGREE RANGE. -BADGETT/WSS

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
L/W TROUGH IN VICINITY OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD AND AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES WILL
RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS TUESDAY WITH TEMPS CLOSE TO SEASONABLE
NORMS. DECENT S/W IN THE NORTHERN STREAM EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS BY MID WEEK THEN LIFT INTO THE GREAT LAKES
LATE IN THE WEEK. THIS SYSTEM WILL FLATTEN RIDGE TO OUR
WEST...POSSIBLY ALLOWING SOME ENERGY ALOFT TO SLIDE INTO THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC THU-FRI. MARGINALLY MOIST AIRMASS COUPLED WITH
HEATING AND WEAK SUPPORT ALOFT MAY BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER CONVECTION
WED-FRI. DO NOT EXPECT ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION WED-FRI...SO EXPECT
RAIN THREAT TO BE NO HIGHER THAN 20-25%. TEMPS THROUGH PERIOD SHOULD
HOVER CLOSE TO NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
EXPECT SCATTERED CU 5 TO 6KFT THROUGH 00Z AT ALL TAF SITES.
POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH BRIEF CIGS
4-6KFT VSBYS 4-6 MILES THROUGH SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH
BRIEF GUSTS 12-18 MPH. AFTER 04Z...MINIMAL CHANCE FOR CONVECTION
WESTERN TAF SITES...GSO/INT AS WINDS SHIFT AROUND TO THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST. BUT CONTINUING CHANCE RDU-RWI-FAY THROUGH DAYBREAK WHERE
AIR MASS REMAINS UNSTABLE AND SURFACE TROUGH IN THE VICINITY. FOR
SATURDAY...COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA...THUS CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CIGS
4-5KFT IN SHOWERS AND STORMS.

VFR CONDITIONS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AS MORE STABLE AND LESS
HUMID CONDITIONS MOVING INTO AREA.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BADGETT
NEAR TERM...BADGETT
SHORT TERM...BADGETT/WSS
LONG TERM...WSS
AVIATION...RA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
450 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-092045-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
450 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS... MAINLY FOR THE
WESTERN HALF OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS... ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PIEDMONT
REGIONS... EASTWARD ACROSS THE SANDHILLS. A FEW OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

ADDITIONALLY... A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST ACROSS EASTERN
TENNESSEE... SHOULD MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS BY EARLY EVENING. ENERGY
FROM THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY INITIATE ADDITIONAL STRONG OR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS OVER THE NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING THE PIEDMONT TRIAD REGION MID TO LATE EVENING.

HOT HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 95 AND 100 THROUGH 600 PM... AND
WILL BE IN THE 90S BETWEEN 600 PM AND 800 PM. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROVIDE LOCALIZED COOLING RELIEF... ESPECIALLY
OVER PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT AND SANDHILLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE WINSTON-SALEM AND GREENSBORO
AREAS THIS EVENING.

BADGETT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
616 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCZ088-089-082315-
CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
616 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SAMPSON AND CUMBERLAND
COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

AT 616 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM FAYETTEVILLE TO AUTRYVILLE TO SALEMBURG...
MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN FAYETTEVILLE AND VANDER IN
CUMBERLAND COUNTY... AND RURAL WESTERN SAMPSON COUNTY... INCLUDING
SALEMBURG AND ROSEBORO.

GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL... DEADLY CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING... AND RAINFALL OF UP TO ONE INCH IN THE NEXT HOUR CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

MWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
654 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCZ088-090000-
CUMBERLAND-
654 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CUMBERLAND COUNTY THROUGH 800 PM EDT...

AT 654 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDING FROM EASTERN FAYETTEVILLE TO STEDMAN...MOVING EAST AT 10
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE... VANDER...
STEDMAN... AND AUTRYVILLE.

DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES ONE TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAS
FALLEN NEAR INTERSTATE 95... BETWEEN FAYETTEVILLE AND STEDMAN DURING
THE PAST HOUR. AN ADDITIONAL ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN IS
EXPECTED IN THIS AREA BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISH AND MOVE
EAST.
THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT PONDING OF WATER
ON AREA ROADWAYS AND PARKING LOTS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE WITH
CAUTION IN THIS AREA.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL... GUSTY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...
SMALL HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

MWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
726 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCZ073-074-083-084-090100-
ANSON-MONTGOMERY-RICHMOND-STANLY-
726 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE STANLY... ANSON...
RICHMOND... AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES BETWEEN 730 PM AND 900 PM...

AT 725 PM EDT... DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACHING WESTERN STANLY COUNTY. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ABOUT
10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOCUST... MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THESE STORMS
WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE LOCUST AND OAKBORO AREAS THROUGH 800 PM.
OTHER THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING NEAR TROY AND ELLERBE... MOVING
SLOWLY EAST.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...OAKBORO...
NORWOOD...ANSONVILLE...MOUNT GILEAD...PEKIN...COVINGTON.

GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

BADGETT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
736 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCZ089-090030-
SAMPSON-
736 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY
THROUGH 830 PM EDT...

AT 736 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
EAST CENTRAL SAMPSON COUNTY...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CLINTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE... RURAL SOUTHEASTERN
SAMPSON COUNTY.

GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH... SMALL HAIL... AND DEADLY
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

MWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
807 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCZ075-090045-
MOORE-
807 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS MOORE COUNTY THROUGH 845 PM
EDT...

AT 807 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
FOXFIRE...OR ABOUT 12 MILES WEST OF SOUTHERN PINES...MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...FOXFIRE...
TAYLORTOWN...PINEHURST.

GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. THESE
WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN LARGE TREE LIMBS. LIGHT OBJECTS
SUCH AS TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND AWNINGS COULD
BE TOSSED AROUND.

JFB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
827 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

NCZ089-090130-
SAMPSON-
827 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER GARLAND AND SOUTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY...

AT 827 PM EDT... DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
GARLAND IN SOUTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY. THESE STORMS WERE PRODUCING
FREQUENT LIGHTNING... GUSTY WIND TO 30 MPH... AND VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES AN HOUR WERE
OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DRIFTING SOUTH
AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS THROUGH 915 PM
INCLUDE...GARLAND... HARRELLS... IVANHOE.

GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. THESE
WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF BRINGING DOWN LARGE TREE LIMBS.

TAKE SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THUNDER IS NOT HEARD FOR 15 MINUTES.

BADGETT