Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Pocatello, ID

000 
WWUS85 KPIH 072102
RFWPIH

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
302 PM MDT SAT JUL 7 2007

IDZ405>407-409>413-080600-
/O.CON.KPIH.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070708T0600Z/
EAST SALMON RIVER MOUNTAINS/SALMON NF-
LEMHI AND LOST RIVER RANGE/CHALLIS NF-
EAST CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/SOUTH CENTRAL PORTION UPPER SNAKE RIVER
BLM-UPPER SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/NE PORTION UPPER SNAKE RIVER BLM-
CENTENNIAL MOUNTAINS AND SNAKE RIVER RANGE/TARGHEE NF-
GOOSE CREEK AND RAFT RIVER VALLEY/SOUTHERN SAWTOOTH NF-
CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU NF-
302 PM MDT SAT JUL 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT FOR SOUTHEAST IDAHO ZONES 405...406...407...409...
410...411...412 AND 413 FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON WITH ONE AREA OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND A SECOND
OVER NORTHEAST NEVADA. THE CELLS WERE WORKING NORTHEAST WITH TIME AND
ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT ALL DISTRICTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH NUMEROUS LIGHTING STRIKES AND STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KPIH 080430
RFWPIH

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1030 PM MDT SAT JUL 7 2007


IDZ405>407-409>413-080530-
/O.CAN.KPIH.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-070708T0600Z/
EAST SALMON RIVER MOUNTAINS/SALMON NF-
LEMHI AND LOST RIVER RANGE/CHALLIS NF-
EAST CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/SOUTH CENTRAL PORTION UPPER SNAKE RIVER
BLM-UPPER SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/NE PORTION UPPER SNAKE RIVER BLM-
CENTENNIAL MOUNTAINS AND SNAKE RIVER RANGE/TARGHEE NF-
GOOSE CREEK AND RAFT RIVER VALLEY/SOUTHERN SAWTOOTH NF-
CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU NF-
1030 PM MDT SAT JUL 7 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR ZONES 405/406/407/409/410/
411/412 AND 413 IN SOUTHEAST IDAHO...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. TODAYS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DISSIPATED AND
HUMIDITIES HAVE RECOVERED ABOVE 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE FIRE
DISTRICT.



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
335 AM MDT SAT JUL 7 2007

.SHORT TERM...THE RIDGE OF DEATH FINALLY CAVES...FOR NOW. BROAD
UPPER TROUGHING MMOVING TOWARD THE PAC NW IS PUSHING THE UPPER RIDGE
...WHICH HAS DOMINATED THE WEST FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...OFF TO
THE EAST. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL BACK SEVERAL DEGREES TODAY
AND SUNDAY. MID LEVEL MSTR IS EVIDENT ON THE WV LOOP OVER MUCH OF
THE NRN ROCKIES...AND WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW-PRECIP TSTMS
LATER THIS AFTN/EVE.  COVERAGE SHOULD BE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY...
BASED ON THE AVAILABILITY OF THE MID LEVEL MSTR. BOTH GFS AND NAM
SHOW THE MSTR TODAY...BUT SHIFTS IT OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY.
THEREFORE...WILL CARRY TSTMS ONLY OVER THE EASTERN HIGHLANDS SUNDAY
AFTN/EVE. WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY IN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN THIS
AFTN...EVEN MORE SO WITH THE DRY TSTMS...SO WILL BE ISSUING A LAKE
WIND ADV.

.LONG TERM...THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD UP AGAIN ON TUESDAY...
AND REMAINS IN PLACE THRU THE REST OF THE FCST PERIOD. TEMPS WILL BE
BACK UP BY MIDWEEK AND BEYOND...BUT NOT TO THE MAGNITUDE OF THE PAST
FEW DAYS. MODELS SHOWING MID LEVEL MSTR MOVING BACK IN BY MIDWEEK.
HAVE UPPED POPS A LITTLE IN THE MTNS WED AND THU AFTN/EVE. BUT ONLY
EXPECTING AN ISOLD RIDGETOP TSTM. HEDGES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THUNDERSTORMS FIRED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
EASTERN IDAHO SATURDAY AS MOISTURE SWUNG AROUND THE CENTER OF
RIDGE...THE EXCEPTION BEING THE FAR SE CORNER. STRONGEST STORMS SAW
OUTFLOW WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH. WITH RIDGE CONTINUING TO BREAK DOWN
AND SHIFT EAST...MORE STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN IDAHO EVEN
THE VALLEYS...WITH SIMILAR RESULTS. WE SHOULD SEE A FEW STORMS BY
LATE IN THE DAY BECOMING WET...PRODUCING MORE THAN 0.10 INCHES OF
RAIN.  DUE TO THE RECENT HEAT AND DRY CONDITIONS...AND ALL STORMS
STARTING OUT DRY...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL ZONES FOR TODAY WILL
BE UPGRADED TO RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2PM TO MIDNIGHT. SOME LOCATIONS
IN THE SNAKE PLAIN MAY SEE SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 15 KTS WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER GUSTS OUTSIDE OF STORMS.  SUNDAY APPEARS TO BE DRIER FOR THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PART OF THE AREA.  WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ARE
IN THE FORECAST SOUTHERN AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS.  THE QUESTION WILL
BE WET VERSUS DRY STORMS.  WINDS WILL ALSO BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER
REGION WIDE WITH SOME GUSTS IN THE CENTRAL MTNS POSSIBLY APPROACHING
RED FLAG CRITERIA...BUT NOT CONFIDENT IN ISSUING ANY HIGHLIGHTS AND
WILL LET DAY SHIFT HAVE ANOTHER LOOK.  MONDAY SHOULD BE STORM
FREE...BUT WINDS AGAIN WILL COME INTO PLAY WITH SOME STRONGER
SUSTAINED WINDS ESPECIALLY THE SNAKE PLAIN UP TO 20 KTS.  WIND GUSTS
ONCE AGAIN APPROACH RED FLAG CRITERIA IN PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
MTNS...SNAKE PLAIN AND SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS.  WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR
ANY HIGHLIGHTS TO START OUT THE WORKWEEK.  MODELS INDICATED THE
RIDGE REBOUNDING FOR MORE HOT AND DRY WEATHER...BUT WILL NEED TO
WATCH FOR ANY MOISTURE GETTING TO THE RIDGE TO PRODUCE MORE DRY
STORMS.  KEYES

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT MORE STORMS TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY ACROSS EASTERN
IDAHO...INCLUDING OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.  MOST STORMS WILL BE
PRODUCING LITTLE RAIN WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS...CREATING LOCALIZED
LOWER VISIBILITIES/MVFR CONDITIONS.  THE STRONGEST CELLS WILL
PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...WITH SOME GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 KTS.  THE
BEST CHC WILL BE AFTER 18Z UNTIL 06Z SUNDAY...AFFECTING ALL TWEB
ROUTES. ALL TAFS SITES COULD BE AFFECTED AT SOME POINT DURING THIS
PARTICULAR EVENT. SUNDAY LOOKS BREEZY IN SOME AREAS ESPECIALLY SNAKE
PLAIN AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL MTNS.  WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ARE
EXPECTED MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS....AFFECTING TWEBS343 AND 344 AND ASSOCIATED
TAF SITES.  KEYES

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ZONES
405/406/407/409/410/411/412/413 2 PM TO MIDNIGHT MDT TODAY.

LAKE WIND ADVISORY 2 PM TO 8 PM MDT TODAY.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
508 AM MDT FRI JUL 6 2007

IDZ017>025-031-032-071200-
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS-UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS-
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-
CACHE VALLEY/IDAHO PORTION-WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-
BIG AND LITTLE WOOD RIVER REGION-LOST RIVER/PAHSIMEROI-
508 AM MDT FRI JUL 6 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN IDAHO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE CENTRAL IDAHO
MOUNTAINS AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS DUE TO DRY
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS AND THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS DUE
TO DRY LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WE ASK TRAINED SPOTTERS AND CITIZENS TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THESE CONDITIONS MAY
INCLUDE HAIL...TORNADOES...STRONG WIND...DUST STORMS...SNOWFALL...
EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES...FREEZING RAIN OR HEAVY RAIN...DENSE
FOG...AND FLOODING OR ICE JAMS. INFORMATION ABOUT THESE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CALLED INTO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN POCATELLO USING THE 1-800 SEVERE WEATHER HOTLINE...OR
208-233-0834.