Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Delaware County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 012048
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

DEZ003-MDZ019-020-020700-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.070201T2200Z-070202T1200Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...EASTON...DENTON
348 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC 
COAST, WHILE A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. THE FIRST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AND BE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SECOND LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND
INTO CANADA LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING WITH IT A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. PERIODS OF
SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL AMOUNT TO BE LESS THAN AN INCH. THE SNOW WILL
THEN MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT AND
SHOULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL END LATER FRIDAY MORNING. A SECOND SHOT OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

WHILE SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN
AN INCH, THE COMBINATION OF SNOW, SLEET AND ANY FREEZING RAIN SHOULD
MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA
OUTLET FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER
SITUATION.

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-NJZ021>023-020700-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.070201T2200Z-070202T1400Z/
KENT DE-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE
348 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC 
COAST, WHILE A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. THE FIRST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AND BE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SECOND LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND
INTO CANADA LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING WITH IT A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING.  PERIODS
OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS MAY AMOUNT TO AROUND 1 INCH ACROSS THE AREA. THE
SNOW WILL BECOME MIXED WITH OR CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET
LATER TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION SHOULD THEN CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN
AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL END LATER FRIDAY
MORNING. A SECOND SHOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

WHILE SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN
INCH, THE COMBINATION OF SNOW, SLEET AND ANY FREEZING RAIN SHOULD
MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE
MEDIA OUTLET FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER
SITUATION.


$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ008>010-012>020-026-027-PAZ067>071-020700-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.070202T0500Z-070202T1400Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...
TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...
MEDIA
348 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 9 AM EST FRIDAY. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC 
COAST, WHILE A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. THE FIRST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AND BE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SECOND LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND
INTO CANADA LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING WITH IT A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. PERIODS OF
SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY AMOUNT TO 1 TO 2 INCHES
ACROSS THE AREA. THE SNOW WILL BECOME MIXED WITH AND POSSIBLY
CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATE TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION
MIGHT CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING, ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO
THE COAST. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL END LATER FRIDAY MORNING.
A SECOND SHOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THE COLD FRONT.

WHILE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES,
THE COMBINATION OF SNOW AND ANY FREEZING RAIN SHOULD MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA
OUTLET FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER
SITUATION.


$$

ROBERTSON/GIGI/

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 020307
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1007 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

DEZ003-MDZ019-020-021000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070202T1200Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...EASTON...DENTON
1007 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
FRIDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC 
COAST, WHILE A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. THE FIRST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AND BE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SECOND LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND
INTO CANADA LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING WITH IT A COLD FRONT THAT WILL 
CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. TOTAL SNOW 
ACCUMULATIONS WILL AMOUNT TO BE LESS THAN AN INCH. THE SNOW WILL MIX 
WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND POSSIBLY EVEN FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT 
AND SHOULD CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY MORNING. THE 
PRECIPITATION WILL END LATER FRIDAY MORNING. A SECOND SHOT OF SNOW 
IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

WHILE SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN
AN INCH, THE COMBINATION OF SNOW, SLEET AND ANY FREEZING RAIN SHOULD
MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA
OUTLET FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER
SITUATION.

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-NJZ021>023-021000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070202T1400Z/
KENT DE-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE
1007 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC 
COAST, WHILE A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. THE FIRST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AND BE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST FRIDAY MORNING. THE 
SECOND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION 
AND INTO CANADA LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING WITH IT A COLD FRONT THAT WILL 
CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING.  PERIODS OF 
SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS 
MAY AMOUNT TO AROUND 1 INCH ACROSS THE AREA. THE SNOW WILL BECOME 
MIXED WITH OR CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATER TONIGHT. 
PRECIPITATION SHOULD THEN CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY 
MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL END LATER FRIDAY MORNING. A SECOND SHOT 
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD 
FRONT.

WHILE SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN
INCH, THE COMBINATION OF SNOW, SLEET AND ANY FREEZING RAIN SHOULD
MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE
MEDIA OUTLET FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER
SITUATION.

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ008>010-012>020-026-027-PAZ067>071-021000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.070202T0500Z-070202T1400Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...
TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...
MEDIA
1007 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC 
COAST, WHILE A SECOND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. THE FIRST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AND BE OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST FRIDAY MORNING. THE
SECOND LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND
INTO CANADA LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING WITH IT A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. PERIODS OF
SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY 
MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY AMOUNT TO AROUND 1 INCH  
ACROSS THE AREA. THE SNOW WILL BECOME MIXED WITH AND POSSIBLY CHANGE 
TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATE TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION MIGHT CHANGE 
TO PLAIN RAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING, ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. THE 
MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL END LATER FRIDAY MORNING. A SECOND SHOT OF 
SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT.

WHILE SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN 
INCH, THE COMBINATION OF SNOW, SLEET AND ANY FREEZING RAIN SHOULD 
MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA
OUTLET FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER
SITUATION.

$$

KRUZDLO

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 020639
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
139 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007


DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-NJZ008>010-012>023-026-027-PAZ067>071-
020745-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070202T1400Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
139 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THERE MAY STILL BE SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES OVERNIGHT BUT ONLY
A DUSTING AT MOST IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE. OVER AREAS SOUTH OF
WILMINGTON DELAWARE AND OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY,
TEMPERATURES WERE AROUND 32 OR A BIT ABOVE AND THERE COULD BE SOME
LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT RAIN IN THESE LOCATIONS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE WARY FOR ISOLATED SLIPPERY SPOTS
ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS DUE TO ANY LIGHT SNOW THAT WOULD FALL.

$$

DEZ003-MDZ019-020-020745-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070202T1200Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...EASTON...DENTON
139 AM EST FRI FEB 2 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN WERE FALLING OVER THE REGION AND TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN AT OR A BIT ABOVE FREEZING.

$$

STAUBER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
415 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007

.UPDATE...
ZONES WIL BE UPDATED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE FLURRIES THAT WILL BE
MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF OUR CWA.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA....WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
      FRIDAY FOR PAZ067>071.
NJ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR NJZ008>010-012>020-026-027.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
     EST FRIDAY FOR NJZ021>023.
DE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR DEZ001.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
     EST FRIDAY FOR DEZ002.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
     EST FRIDAY FOR DEZ003.
MD...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EST
     FRIDAY FOR MDZ008.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
     EST FRIDAY FOR MDZ012-015.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
     EST FRIDAY FOR MDZ019-020.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

TFG

PREV AFD *********************************************************

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST TODAY AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE, CURRENTLY OVER THE SERN CONUS MOVES TO NEAR THE CAROLINAS
AND ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS ON THE COAST.

A POTENTIALLY MESSY FCST IS IN STORE FOR TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE REGION.  I MUST BEGIN BY SAYING THIS IS A FAIRLY LOW
CONFIDENCE FCST AS THE MODELS ARE STILL HAVING SOME SIGNIFICANT
DISAGREEMENTS.  THE NAM IS MORE SUPPRESSED FURTHER S AND THEN FURTHER
E, AND IF ITS SOLN WERE CORRECT, THERE WOULD BE LESS QPF AND
PROBLEMS FOR THE REGION.  THE GFS IS FURTHER N, A BIT CLOSER TO THE
COAST THIS RUN AND MUCH WETTER.  IT IS MOST LIKELY TOO WET, AND
COULD BE TOO FAR NORTH.

TEMPERATURES ARE THE NEXT BIG CAVEAT AND THE USUAL INTERSECTION OF
TEMPS AND PRECIP FOR PRECIP TYPE ISSUES.  TEMPS ACROSS THE AREA WILL
BE ABOVE FREEZING TODAY.  THEY WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING IN MOST
AREAS TONIGHT AND WILL RISE BACK ABOVE FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS ON
FRIDAY.  MODEL GUIDANCE IS PROBABLY TOO WARM FOR FRIDAY, BUT EVEN
WITH THAT, TEMPS SHOULD MAKE IT ABOVE FREEZING IN MOST LOCATIONS.

IN THE NWRN ZONES, CURRENT THINKING IS THE MAIN PRECIP TYPE WILL BE
SNOW.  ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES, THINGS WILL START OUT
AS SNOW AND MIX WITH SOME FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT IN MOST PLACES
EXCEPT ALONG THE COAST.  AS TEMPS RISE AGAIN ON FRIDAY, THE THREAT
OF FREEZING RAIN SHOULD END AND THERE WILL BE SOME LINGERING SNOW
AND/OR RAIN SHOWERS BEFORE THE PRECIP COMES TO AN END DURING THE
LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

WITH THAT SAID, AND DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY AND THE FACT THAT THE
TIMING PUTS MOST OF THIS EVENT IN THE SECOND AND EVEN THIRD PERIOD,
HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A PORTION OF THE
REGION BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MID-MORNING
FRIDAY.  WILL NOT MAKE ANY SEPARATE HEADLINES ATTM, UNTIL WE HAVE A
BETTER HANDLE ON THE THREATS.  IT IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE THAT SOME
AREAS DO NOT HIT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR EITHER SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN,
YET THERE ARE PROBS AS A RESULT OF THE COMBINATION.

FIRST THE GOOD NEWS, TIMING HAS SLOWED DOWN AND THERE SHOULD BE NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIP TODAY EXCEPT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTH.  THERE COULD
BE SOME LIGHT SNOW TOWARD PM ACROSS THE METRO AREA, BUT NO PROBS ARE
ANTICIPATED.  THROUGH 00Z THE BEST SHOT OF PRECIP IS ACROSS THE
LOWER DELMARVA.

NOW FOR THE BAD NEWS....BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z THINGS BEGIN TO RAMP UP
AND THE BEST SHOT OF PRECIP AND PROBLEMS IS BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z.
THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE COULD BE MESSY  THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE METRO AREA AND AS FAR SOUTH AS INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE DELMARVA.  THE MAJOR CAVEAT (AND POSSIBLY SAVING
GRACE) HERE IS, OF COURSE, THE TEMPERATURES.  IF TEMPS REMAIN AROUND
31 OR 32 THAT GENERALLY WOULD PRECLUDE ANY MAJOR PROBLEMS, BUT
CERTAINLY WE ALL KNOW WHAT EVEN MINOR PROBLEMS COULD MEAN WITH
FREEZING RAIN.  IF TEMPS MAKE IT INTO THE UPPER 20S, THEN ALL BETS
ARE OFF.  IF LATER DATA SHIFTS THE POSITION OR TIMING OF THE LOW,
WHICH IS LIKELY THEN THINGS WILL HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED ONE WAY OR THE
OTHER.

THE ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED SOME ADJUSTMENTS AS LATER DATA BECOMES
AVAILABLE AND HOPEFULLY THERE IS MORE OF A CONSENSUS IN THE MODELS.
THERE MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADES OR DOWNGRADES.  NONETHELESS, DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY, AN ADVISORY SEEMED THE MOST PRUDENT WAY TO ADDRESS
THE SITUATION ESPECIALLY INVOLVING A MORNING COMMUTE AND SINCE THERE
HAS BEEN A DEARTH OF WINTER WX ACROSS MOST AREAS SO FAR THIS
SEASON.  STAY TUNED

THE LOW WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD NEW ENGLAND BY AFTERNOON FRIDAY,
ENDING THE PRECIP AND USHERING IN COLDER AIR FOR SATURDAY.

ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL ALSO OBVIOUSLY BE AFFECTED BY HOW MUCH
WARM MOVES IN ALOFT AS WELL AS HOW MUCH QPF WILL BE RECEIVED.  RIGHT
NOW, A COUPLE OF INCHES SEEM POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NWRN ZONES.  WITH
LESS IN THOSE AREAS WHERE THERE IS ANY MIXED PRECIP.  OF COURSE,
THESE ARE THE MOST PROBLEMATIC AREAS DUE TO ANY ICING POTENTIAL.

IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT TYPE OF WX GOOD OLE PUNXSUTAWNEY
PHIL HAS WHEN HE MAKES HIS APPEARANCE FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DUE TO THE SHORT TERM WX SITUATION, AND THE FACT THAT THE EXTENDED
FCST LOOKS RELATIVELY BENIGN, WILL NOT BE MAKING MANY CHANGES.  COLD
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION LATER FRIDAY AND REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.  SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR
OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE IN THIS WEEKEND WITH HIGHS NOT MAKING IT
ABOVE 30 IN MOST AREAS AND LOWS IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS.
FORTUNATELY, CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY DRY. THE COLD AIR WILL LINGER
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK, MAKING THIS EXTENDED PERIOD ONE OF THE
LONGER ONES OF HE WINTER.  WITH H5 TROF OVER THE REGION, CAN NOT
RULE OUT SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY, BUT NO
MAJOR STORMS.THE LONG TERM PART OF THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED
AND IS SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST GFS MODEL RUN. FOLLOWING IS THE
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOOKING AT SATL, CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AND I
EXPECT ONCE THE SUN COMES UP, THEY WILL BE OBSERVED AS MIDDLE
CLOUDS. VSBYS REMAIN UNRESTRICTED. AS MOISTURE COME IN FROM THE
SOUTH, THE CLOUDS WILL LOWER TODAY BUT STILL SHOULD REMAIN VFR UP TO
SUNSET. IF SNOW STARTS AT THE TAF SITES EARLIER, THEN CIGS MAY DROP
TO 3 THSD FT AND VSBY TO 5 MI.

TONIGHT, SNOW DEVELOPS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. INITIALLY ACY/MIV WILL
BE THE FIRST TO SEE CONDITIONS TO DROP TO IFR, PROBABLY AROUND
MIDNIGHT, THEN THE IFR CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD TO ALL TAF SITES
LATE AT NIGHT. THERE SHOULD BE A CHANGE TO RAIN AT ACY/MIV ALTHOUGH
A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

AT ILG/PHL/PNE/TTN...THE SNOW SHOULD MIX WITH AND POSSIBLY CHANGE TO
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BY MORNING. FARTHER TO THE NORTH, SNOW
SHOULD PREDOMINATE INTO FRI MORNING.
&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN WELL BELOW SCA CRITERIA AND ARE EXPECTED TO
STAY TRANQUIL TODAY. AS THE LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE COAST LATE TONIGHT,
WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD INCREASING AND THERE IS THE LIKELIHOOD THAT
SCA WILL BE NEEDED FOR FRIDAY DUE TO THE INCREASED WINDS FROM THE
LOW. SCA CONDITIONS COULD THEN PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A
COLD NW FLOW CONTINUING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS.

&&

SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...NIERENBERG
AVIATION/MARINE...STAUBER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
519 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-021030-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
519 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-012>023-026-027-
PAZ067>071-021030-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-
TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
519 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER INTO FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE ENDING,
OTHERWISE, NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-DEZ004-NJZ024-025-021030-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
519 AM EST THU FEB 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.