Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Winter Weather Advisories in 2007

Winter Weather Advisory 12, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

April 15, 2007Carbon County, Monroe County, Pennsylvania

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter weather advisory at Apr 15, 2007, 3:53 PM EDT for Carbon County, Monroe County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Apr 16, 2007, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2007, 3:53 PM EDT (19:53 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 16, 2007, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 17, 2007, 12:12 AM EDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Carbon County, PA, Monroe County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 178 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
511 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
274 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 151953
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
353 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT STORM TO BRING AN ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS
THE POCONOS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

PAZ054-055-160400-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0004.070416T0800Z-070417T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.070416T0400Z-070416T1600Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
353 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
12 PM EDT MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
12 PM EDT MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

AN AREA LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE UP THE EAST COAST TONIGHT AND 
INTENSIFY AS IT DOES SO. AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE 
AREA, COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN INTO THE STORM LATER TONIGHT. THE 
ARRIVAL OF THE COLDER AIR WILL ALLOW THE RAIN TO MIX WITH AND THEN 
CHANGE TO WET SNOW LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON 
MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY FALL MODERATE AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY 
MONDAY MORNING, THEN TEND TO DIMINISH IN INTENSITY DURING THE DAY ON 
MONDAY. 

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE 
VALLEYS WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ROADS COULD 
BECOME RATHER SLIPPERY LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING, 
HOWEVER THEN MAY TEND TO IMPROVE DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON MONDAY 
DUE TO THE STRONGER APRIL INDIRECT SUNLIGHT. 

AN ADDED COMPLICATION WILL BE THE INCREASING WINDS LATER TONIGHT AND 
MONDAY. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH COUPLED WITH THE WET SNOW ON 
TREE LIMBS WILL CAUSE MANY OF THEM TO BREAK. THIS WILL CAUSE 
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ESPECIALLY ON THE POCONO PLATEAU.

IF TRAVELING LATE TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY, BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY 
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW, SLEET, OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

GORSE/GIGI
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 160248
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1048 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT STORM TO BRING AN ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS
THE POCONOS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

PAZ054-055-161200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.070416T0400Z-070416T1600Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1048 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EDT
MONDAY...

AN AREA LOW PRESSURE OFF THE DELAWARE COAST TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHWARD TONIGHT. MOISTURE AND COLDER AIR WILL BE DRAWN
INTO THE STORM OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
DAY MONDAY. THE SNOW MAY FALL MODERATE AT TIMES LATER TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN TEND TO DIMINISH IN INTENSITY DURING
THE DAY ON MONDAY.

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE
VALLEYS WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. LOCALIZED
HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. ROADS COULD
BECOME RATHER SLIPPERY LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...
HOWEVER THEN MAY TEND TO IMPROVE DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON
MONDAY DUE TO THE STRONGER APRIL INDIRECT SUNLIGHT.

AN ADDED COMPLICATION WILL BE THE INCREASING WINDS LATER TONIGHT
AND MONDAY. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH COUPLED WITH THE WET SNOW
ON TREE LIMBS WILL CAUSE MANY OF THEM TO BREAK. THIS WILL CAUSE
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ESPECIALLY ON THE POCONO PLATEAU.

IF TRAVELING LATE TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY...BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW... SLEET...
OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 160735
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
335 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

PAZ054-055-161600-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-070416T1600Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
335 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY.

INTENSE LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND WILL MOVE SLOWLY
NORTH TODAY. COLD AIR MOVING SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW
COMBINED WITH MOISTURE STILL OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR SNOW
THIS MORNING. THIS SNOW WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS
OVER 45 MPH AND COULD MAKE FOR TEMPORARY BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS.

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE
VALLEYS WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. LOCALIZED
HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. ROADS COULD
WILL BE RATHER SLIPPERY EARLY THIS MORNING. AS THE SNOW MODERATES
LATER THIS MORNING...THE TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE AS THE
SEASONALLY STRONGER APRIL SUN HELPS CAUSE SOME MELTING.

THE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE WET SNOW WILL CAUSE MANY LIMBS TO
BREAK AND COULD CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

IF TRAVELING TODAY...BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON
UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

RNS
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 161536
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1136 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

PAZ054-055-162200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-070416T2200Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1136 AM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR LONG ISLAND, NEW YORK 
WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, THEN SLOWLY
MOVE TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT. COLD AIR MOVING SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE LOW COMBINED WITH MOISTURE STILL OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW
FOR SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SNOW WILL BE COMBINED WITH STRONG
GUSTY WINDS OVER 45 MPH WHICH WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES IN MANY
AREAS.

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE
VALLEYS WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. LOCALIZED
HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. ROADS WILL
BE SLIPPERY WITH THE PRECIPITATION THAT HAS OCCURED AND EXPECTED
TO OCCUR. THE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE WET SNOW WILL CAUSE MANY
LIMBS TO BREAK AND COULD CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

IF TRAVELING TODAY...BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON
UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 161934
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 PM EDT MON APR 16 2007

PAZ054-055-170000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-070417T0000Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
334 PM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER LONG ISLAND THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MEANDER VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. 
COLD AIR MOVING SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW COMBINED WITH
MOISTURE STILL OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR SNOW INTO THE
EVENING. THIS SNOW WILL BE COMBINED WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND
25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 40 MPH...AND THIS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES IN MANY AREAS.

TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE VALLEYS AND 4 TO
6 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ARE EXPECTED. LOCALIZED
HIGHER TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. ROADS WILL
BE SLIPPERY WITH THE PRECIPITATION THAT HAS OCCURRED AND EXPECTED
TO OCCUR. THE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE WET SNOW WILL CAUSE MANY
LIMBS TO BREAK AND COULD CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

IF TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

GORSE/MPD
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 162345
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
745 PM EDT MON APR 16 2007

PAZ054-055-170400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-070417T0400Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
745 PM EDT MON APR 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

STRONG LOW PRESSURE, CENTERED OVER LONG ISLAND THIS EVENING, WILL 
MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA OVERNIGHT AND ON TUESDAY.  
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND THE SYSTEM AND INTO EASTERN 
PENNSYLVANIA.

LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE IN THE POCONO REGION OVERNIGHT.  
AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO OF SNOW IS EXPECTED, MAINLY IN THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS. AS A RESULT, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED 
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CARBON COUNTY AND MONROE COUNTY 
UNTIL MIDNIGHT. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE 
VALLEYS, WITH LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION ANTICIPATED THERE.

IF YOU WILL BE VENTURING OUT OVERNIGHT OR EARLY ON TUESDAY MORNING, 
KEEP IN MIND THAT SOME ROADS AND WALKWAYS MAY BE SLIPPERY.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOVERING AROUND THE FREEZING MARK, AGAIN MAINLY 
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

$$

IOVINO
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 170412
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1212 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2007


PAZ054-055-170515-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-070417T0400Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1212 AM EDT TUE APR 17 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LITTLE
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. 

THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTAL WAS 7.0 INCHES REPORTED AT TOBYHANNA IN
MONROE COUNTY. ELSEWHERE, BLAKESLEE REPORTED 5.8 AND POCONO SUMMIT
4 INCHES.
 

$$

EBERWINE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Apr 15, 12:14 PM EDT, 3 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 15, 12:14 PM EDT, 3 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1214 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

.UPDATE /THIS AFTERNOON/...
QUITE THE DYNAMIC SCENARIO CONTINUING TO UNFOLD TODAY. A SURFACE MAP
ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA AT 15Z. A RATHER SHARP COASTAL FRONT EXTENDS NORTHEAST FROM
THIS SURFACE LOW ALL THE WAY INTO NEW JERSEY. SOUTHERN DELAWARE IS
AROUND 60 DEGREES WITH A SOUTHERLY WIND, WHILE THE EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND IS IN THE MID 40S. THIS BOUNDARY WILL MEANDER SOME THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL ALLOW FOR A TOUGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST. SPEAKING
OF TEMPERATURES, KDOVS TEMPERATURE WENT FROM 60 TO 49 WHEN THE
BOUNDARY SLIPPED SOUTH OF THEM BETWEEN 14Z AND 15Z. BASED ON TRENDS,
WE BUMPED UP THE HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES,
HOWEVER KEPT A GRADIENT FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE DELMARVA ZONES.

A LOT OF RAIN HAS BEEN DUMPED ON OUR AREA WITH MANY LOCATIONS
AVERAGING ABOUT 2 INCHES. SOME REPORTS COMING IN INDICATE TOTALS
APPROACHING 3 INCHES WITH MORE RAIN ON THE WAY. THE QPF FORECAST HAS
BEEN INCREASED A LITTLE BASED ON AMOUNTS REPORTED SO FAR AND ALSO
GUIDANCE FROM THE MARFC/HPC. RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE AREA AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS TO OUR SOUTH AND RIDES
UP THE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. IT APPEARS THE SURFACE
LOW IS TRACKING SLOWER THAN EARLIER THOUGHT. BASED ON THE WIND GUSTS
SO FAR, WE BUMPED THEM UP SOME ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST. THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL ZONES REMAINS IN EFFECT
WITH WINDS ALREADY GUSTING TO 40 AND 45 MPH. FURTHER INLAND, WIND
GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE LESS BUT STILL GUSTY AT TIMES. WE MAY
NEED TO INCREASE WINDS TONIGHT AS THE STORM CRANKS UP, HOWEVER THE
SURFACE LOW MAY TRACK VERY CLOSE OR ON THE JERSEY SHORE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ALL COUNTIES IN OUR CWA ARE UNDER AREAL FLOOD WARNINGS DUE TO
NUMEROUS REPORTS OF STREET FLOODING AS WELL AS POOR DRAINAGE AND
NON-GAGED CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS. ALSO, SEVERAL GAGED CREEKS
AND STREAMS ARE UNDER FLOOD WARNINGS FOR SPECIFIC FORECAST POINTS.

MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE LOWER SCHUYLKILL RIVER, WITH THREE
QUARTERS BANKFULL ON THE DELAWARE RIVER.

PLEASE MONITOR THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/
PAGE ON OUR WEBSITE, WEATHER.GOV/PHI FOR DETAILS. IN ADDITION,
CONSULT THE FLOOD WARNING PRODUCTS FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 407 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007/

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE/A STORM SYSTEM...WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT
MOVES THROUGH THE CAROLINAS AND EASTERN VIRGINIA TODAY, THEN
REACHES THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST THIS EVENING ON ITS WAY TO
LONG ISLAND BY LATE TONIGHT. THE STORM WILL THEN MEANDER OFF THE
NORTHEAST COAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE HEADING OUT TO SEA BY
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
ALTHOUGH SOME SNOW WAS FALLING OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
POCONOS AND NW NJ, AS TEMPERATURES DROPPED RAPIDLY WITH THE ONSET
OF PCPN. NOW THAT TEMPS HAVE SETTLED DOWN IN THIS AREA, WARM
ADVECTION SHOULD ALLOW THE SNOW TO CHANGE TO RAIN EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH PERHAPS AN INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION AT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

OTHERWISE...RAIN HAS OVERSPREAD THE REGION AND RADAR CONTINUES TO
SUPPORT THE COMPUTER PROGS THAT THE RAINFALL INTENSITY WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE. THE STORM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A NEGATIVELY
TILTED DIFLUENT UPPER AIR SYSTEM WITH STRONG DYNAMICS. THIS MEANS
THAT THE HEAVY RAIN FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK GOOD. WE EXPECTED
WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS AND SOME 4 INCHERS ARE POSSIBLE.

THIS AFTERNOON...MODELS SUGGEST A WARM SECTOR MAKING IT INTO THE
SOUTHERN MOST AREAS. HOWEVER, WITH THE COLD OCEAN, THIS WARMER AIR
PROBABLY WONT BE SEEN ON THE GROUND AND WILL BE LIFTED ABOVE THE
MARITIME LAYER. EVEN SO, THERE WILL BE WARMER AIR AROUND AND TSTMS
COULD DEVELOP AS THE COLD FRONT COMES IN FROM THE WEST. WINDS
ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BE STRONG AND IF TSTMS DO FORM, SOME OF THE
STRONG WINDS MIGHT MIX DOWN POSSIBLY CAUSING A SVR TSTM.

TONIGHT, A TROWEL LOOKS LIKE IT DEVELOPS ON THE NW QUADRANT OF THE
LOW AS COLD AIR ARRIVES. EVENTUALLY IT GETS COLD ENOUGH TO CHANGE
THE RAIN TO SNOW NORTH LATE TONIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS. OVER
THE REST OF THE REGION, THE PCPN SHOULD BECOME MORE SHOWERY WITH
LESS LIFT ALOFT AND WITH THE COLDER AIR RETURNING, SOME OF THE
SHOWERS...EVEN SOUTH COULD BE MIXED WITH SNOW.

A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NJ AND DE COASTS.
ONSHORE GALE FORCE WINDS SHOULD CAUSE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ON MONDAY...SNOW IS EXPECTED NORTH. HOWEVER, IT IS QUESTIONABLE
HOW MUCH FALLS AND WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE REMAINS WITH
THE TROWEL. THE TROWEL LIFTS TO THE NORTH LATE IN THE DAY AND EVEN
THE NORTHERN AREAS SHOULD SEE THE SNOW BECOME SHOWERY. USING THE
GFS SOUNDINGS AS A GUIDE, NRN NJ WILL BE THE LAST TO GET THE COLD
AIR AND CHANGE TO SNOW...THEREFORE, DUE TO THE LONGER DURATION OF
THE RAIN THERE, I DID NOT EXTEND THE WINTER STORM WATCH INTO EVEN
SUSSEX COUNTY NJ.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WE REMAIN UNDER WEAKENING CYCLONIC FLOW
ALOFT. THE AIRMASS WILL BE UNSTABLE AND COLD ALLOWING RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS TO DEVELOP, MAINLY ON TUESDAY. THE BIGGEST EFFECT WILL BE
THE WINDY CONDITIONS AS SOME OF THE WINDS FROM ALOFT MIX DOWN, ESP
ON TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO IMPROVE. ALSO, MOST OF
THE COLD AIR WILL BE GONE BY THE WEEKEND AS TEMPERATURES MODERATE
BACK TO NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE MUCH ADVERTISED STORM IS UPON US, ALBEIT ITS MOVEMENT IS A
LITTLE SLOWER THAN ORIGINALLY EXPECTED.  LOCAL TAF SITES GENERALLY
MVFR/IFR CIGS AND EITHER VFR OR MVFR VSBYS.  HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO FURTHER DETERIORATE TOWARD DAYBREAK WITH IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SOME HEAVY RAIN.  STRONG E TO NE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LOW, EVEN THOUGH THIS HAS NOT COME
TO FRUITION SO FAR.  WINDS WILL THEN TURN AROUND TO THE NW AROUND
00Z AND WILL REMAIN HIGH OR GET EVEN HIGHER DURING THE DAY MONDAY.
THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF AND BECOME MORE SHOWERY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY,
BUT TEMPS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SOME SNOW SHOWERS AS WELL.
&&

.MARINE...
WITH THE SLOWER PROGRESSION OF THE STORM, THE MARINE AREA STILL
REMAINS RELATIVELY QUIET EARLY THIS MORNING.  HOWEVER CONDITIONS
WILL BE CHANGING AS THE LOW APPROACHES AND THEN RE-EMERGES OFF THE
COAST.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AND GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL
BECOME LIKELY. AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY UP THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT, WINDS WILL DROP OFF SOMEWHAT. BUT AS THE
LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY N INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND, THE TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER OUR
AREA CAUSING WINDS TO ONCE AGAIN INCREASE TO GALE FORCE, THIS TIME
FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE LOW WILL LINGER OVER THE NERN CONUS BEFORE
HEADING OUT TO SEA TUESDAY.  THIS WILL KEEP GALE FORCE GUSTS AT
LEAST THROUGH MONDAY AND PROBABLY WELL INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.TIDES...
THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT, EVEN THOUGH THE BIGGEST
PROBLEMS NOW APPEAR WITH THE AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE.  AGAIN, WITH THE
SLOWER PROGRESSION OF THE STORM, WE ARE JUST AWAITING THINGS TO RAMP
UP.  HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL COMBINE WITH THE STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW TO PRODUCE MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE. ANY FLOODING WILL BE EXACERBATED BY THE HEAVY RAINFALL. BACK
BAYS WILL ALSO HAVE TIDAL FLOODING, BECAUSE OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND
THE DIFFICULTY IN DRAINING. THE TIMING OF THE MOVEMENT OF THE LOW
WILL DETERMINE WHAT AREAS WILL HAVE MODERATE FLOODING DURING THE
EVENING TIDES. IT APPEARS THAT THE LOW WILL BE CENTERED SOMEWHERE
ALONG THE CENTRAL OR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST BY EVENING. THIS WILL
GIVE THE AREAS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE CENTER THE BEST CHANCES FOR
MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING AT THAT TIME. AS THE STORM MOVES SLOWLY OFF
TO THE NORTH, W TO NW WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL
INCREASE TO GALE FORCE AND POSSIBLY PRODUCE BLOWOUT CONDITIONS
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH IS DEFINATELY WARRANTED, ESPECIALLY FROM
ILG-PHL-TTN NORTHWARD. IN THESE AREAS 1.5 INCHES WILL PROBABLY
START FLOODING ON SMALLER STREAMS. THESE VALUES COULD BE REACHED
EARLY THIS MORNING WITH HEAVY RAIN ALREADY IN PLACE. ANYONE LIVING
NEAR STREAMS OR IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD PREPARED TO TAKE
ACTION IF FLOOD OR FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR PAZ060>062-067>071.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY FOR PAZ070-071.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR PAZ054-055.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY FOR NJZ012>014-
     016>027.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NJZ014-024>026.
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR DEZ001>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY FOR
     DEZ001>004.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL TO 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR DEZ004.
MD...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.
&&

UPDATE...GORSE
UPDATED HYDROLOGY...GORSE/JJM
SYNOPSIS/NEAR TERM/SHORT TERM...RNS
LONG TERM...RNS
AVIATION/MARINE...LN
HYDROLOGY...RNS
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...LN
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 3:39 AM EDT, 12 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
339 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ060>062-067>069-160745-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
339 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL THROUGHOUT THE REGION. WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM PHILADELPHIA
SOUTHWARD. WITH VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT, IF THUNDERSTORMS DO
DEVELOP SOME OF THE WINDS FROM ALOFT COULD MIX DOWN AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING

HEAVY RAIN WILL BE OVER BUT ANY FLOODING THAT DEVELOPS COULD CONTINUE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-160745-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
339 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
   WIND ADVISORY

HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL THROUGHOUT THE REGION. WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF LITTLE EGG
INLET NJ. WITH VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT, IF THUNDERSTORMS DO
DEVELOP SOME OF THE WINDS FROM ALOFT COULD MIX DOWN AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES. ANY FLOODING SHOULD BE WORSE
THE FURTHER NORTH ONE GETS. THIS MORNING, MOSTLY MINOR FLOODING IS
EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH TIDE. THIS AFTERNOON, MODERATE FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED, ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH OF ATLANTIC CITY.

STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL GUST TO 50 MPH AT TIMES TODAY SO A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001>003-NJZ012-013-016>023-027-PAZ070-071-160745-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
339 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING

HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL THROUGHOUT THE REGION. WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF LITTLE EGG
INLET NJ. WITH VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT, IF THUNDERSTORMS DO
DEVELOP SOME OF THE WINDS FROM ALOFT COULD MIX DOWN AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES. ANY FLOODING SHOULD BE WORSE
THE FURTHER NORTH ONE GETS. THIS AFTERNOON, MODERATE FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH

HEAVY RAIN WILL BE OVER BUT ANY FLOODING THAT DEVELOPS COULD CONTINUE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ054-055-160745-
CARBON-MONROE-
339 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH LATE TONIGHT

SOME SNOW WILL FALL AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS MORNING AND MAY
ACCUMULATE AN INCH OR TWO BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN. THE RAIN WILL
CHANGE BACK TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH

SNOW IS EXPECTED MONDAY WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE
MAINLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-450>455-160745-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
339 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RNS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 15, 11:35 AM EDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1135 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     FLOOD            CHARLESTOWN             39.58N 75.98W
04/15/2007                   CECIL              MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG ROUTE 7 AT BROAD CREEK AND
            PEDDLER CREEK. TRINITY WOODS SUBDIVISION AND OTHER PARTS
            OF CHARLESTOWN EXPERIENCING YARD AND ROADWAY FLOODING.

0915 AM     FLOOD            DARBY                   39.92N 75.26W
04/15/2007                   DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TROLLEY TRACKS UNDER WATER ON SHARON HILL-102 LINE
            BETWEEN COLLINGDALE AND SHARRON HILL. DARBY CREEK FLOODED
            AT WALNUT STREET IN DARBY BORO AND HOOK ROAD IN DARBY
            TWP. OTHER CREEKS ALSO FLOODING IN THE COUNTY.

1100 AM     FLOOD            PHILADELPHIA            40.01N 75.13W
04/15/2007                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            COBBS CREEK AT 70TH ST AND WOODLINE AVE REPORTED OVER ITS
            BANKS IN SOUTHWEST PHILADELPHIA.

0945 AM     FLOOD            CHERRY HILL             39.90N 75.00W
04/15/2007                   CAMDEN             NJ   BROADCAST MEDIA

            RT 70 AND KINGS HIGHWAY CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

1100 AM     FLOOD            NEW CASTLE              39.67N 75.57W
04/15/2007                   NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TIDAL FLOODING ALONG RIVER ROAD AND ROUTE 9 AT 6TH ST.

&&

ROBERTSON
Local storm report, Apr 15, 1:22 PM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
122 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FLOOD            WILMINGTON              39.74N 75.53W
04/15/2007                   NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS OUT OF THEIR BANKS IN THE NORTHERN
            PORTIONS OF NEW CASTLE COUNTY. 2.56 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE
            MIDNIGHT.

0110 PM     FLOOD            ELKTON                  39.60N 75.82W
04/15/2007                   CECIL              MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS OUT OF THEIR BANKS IN NORTHERN
            CECIL COUNTY, ALONG WITH A FEW ROAD CLOSURES.

&&

MIKETTA
Special weather statement, Apr 15, 2:03 PM EDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
203 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

DEZ002-003-MDZ020-151900-
CAROLINE-INLAND SUSSEX-KENT-
203 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PARTS OF CAROLINE...KENT AND
SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 200 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOVER...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 45 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

SEAFORD...BLADES...BETHEL... AND LAUREL AROUND 210 PM...
BRIDGEVILLE AND GREENWOOD AROUND 215 PM...
FARMINGTON AND GEORGETOWN AROUND 220 PM...
ELLENDALE AND HOUSTON AROUND 225 PM.

LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. IN
ADDITION TO THE STRONG WIND POTENTIAL WITH THIS STORM, SOME CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING. HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THE STORM AS IT MOVES THROUGH.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.

FORECASTER: GORSE
Local storm report, Apr 15, 3:25 PM EDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 AM     FLOOD            DARBY                   39.92N 75.26W
04/15/2007                   DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TROLLEY TRACKS UNDER WATER ON SHARON HILL-102 LINE
            BETWEEN COLLINGDALE AND SHARRON HILL. DARBY CREEK FLOODED
            AT WALNUT STREET IN DARBY BOROUGH AND HOOK ROAD IN DARBY
            TOWNSHIP. OTHER CREEKS ALSO FLOODING IN THE COUNTY.

0930 AM     FLOOD            CHARLESTOWN             39.58N 75.98W
04/15/2007                   CECIL              MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG ROUTE 7 AT BROAD CREEK AND
            PEDDLER CREEK. TRINITY WOODS SUBDIVISION AND OTHER PARTS
            OF CHARLESTOWN EXPERIENCING YARD AND ROADWAY FLOODING.

0945 AM     FLOOD            CHERRY HILL             39.90N 75.00W
04/15/2007                   CAMDEN             NJ   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ROUTE 70 AND KINGS HIGHWAY CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

1100 AM     FLOOD            NEW CASTLE              39.67N 75.57W
04/15/2007                   NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TIDAL FLOODING ALONG RIVER ROAD AND ROUTE 9 AT 6TH
            STREET.

1100 AM     FLOOD            PHILADELPHIA            40.01N 75.13W
04/15/2007                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            COBBS CREEK AT 70TH STREET AND WOODLINE AVENUE REPORTED
            OVER ITS BANKS IN SOUTHWEST PHILADELPHIA.

1145 AM     FLOOD            ROXBOROUGH              40.00N 75.22W
04/15/2007                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            URBAN FLOODING ALONG WITH BASEMENT FLOODING IN
            ROXBOROUGH.

1200 PM     FLOOD            OCEANPORT               40.31N 74.02W
04/15/2007                   MONMOUTH           NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET AND HIGHWAY FLOODING IN THE OCEANPORT AREA.

1200 PM     FLOOD            10 WSW BRIDGETON        39.37N 75.39W
04/15/2007                   CUMBERLAND         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TIDAL FLOODING ON GLADE ROAD, BAY AVENUE, BEACH POINT
            ROAD, MOORES BEACH ROAD AND MATTS LANDING ROAD IN
            CUMBERLAND COUNTY.

1250 PM     FLOOD            2 WSW AVENEL            40.57N 74.30W
04/15/2007                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS IN WOODBRIDGE TOWNSHIP.

1253 PM     FLOOD            MACUNGIE                40.52N 75.55W
04/15/2007                   LEHIGH             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING OCCURRING ON THE LITTLE LEHIGH CREEK IN THE
            MACUNGIE AREA. 3.2 INCHES OF RAIN WAS REPORTED.

0100 PM     FLOOD            WILMINGTON              39.74N 75.53W
04/15/2007                   NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS OUT OF THEIR BANKS IN THE NORTHERN
            PORTIONS OF NEW CASTLE COUNTY. 2.56 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE
            MIDNIGHT.

0100 PM     FLOOD            BRYN MAWR               40.02N 75.32W
04/15/2007                   MONTGOMERY         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING IN THE BYRN MAWR TO VILLANOA AREAS. IN
            VILLANOVA, A POND IS ABOUT TO OVERFLOW AND FLOOD NEARBY
            STREETS. STREAMS IN THE AREA ARE VERY FLOODED.

0110 PM     FLOOD            ELKTON                  39.60N 75.82W
04/15/2007                   CECIL              MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS OUT OF THEIR BANKS IN NORTHERN
            CECIL COUNTY, ALONG WITH A FEW ROAD CLOSURES.

0200 PM     FLOOD            HOPATCONG               40.96N 74.66W
04/15/2007                   SUSSEX             NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SOME ROADWAY FLOODING IN AROUND THE HOPATCONG AREA.

0208 PM     FLOOD            SWARTHMORE              39.90N 75.35W
04/15/2007                   DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER UP TO THE BOTTOM OF A BRIDGE. CRUM CREEK IS OUT OF
            ITS BANKS.

0220 PM     FLOOD            3 SW LINDENWOLD         39.79N 75.03W
04/15/2007                   CAMDEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING ALONG TIMBER CREEK IN GLOUCESTER TOWNSHIP.

0220 PM     FLOOD            PENNSAUKEN              39.96N 75.06W
04/15/2007                   CAMDEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING ON THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD WITH 1 LANE OPEN
            BUT COVERED WITH 6 INCHES OF WATER.

&&

GORSE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 4:11 PM EDTWind AdvisoryPHIBerks, Carbon, Delaware, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton and 1 more23 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2007Every winter weather advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.