Alert archive / New Jersey / Marine Weather Statements in 2007

Marine Weather Statement 8, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

March 5, 2007

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this marine weather statement at Mar 5, 2007, 9:14 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 5, 2007, 9:14 PM EST (02:14 UTC)
Expired
Mar 6, 2007, 7:00 AM EST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZUS71 KPHI 060214
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
914 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

ANZ430-431-450>455-061200-
/X.NEW.KPHI.MA.S.0008.070306T0214Z-070306T1200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
914 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

...LOW WATER ADVISORY...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE
COASTAL AREAS AND FOR DELAWARE BAY UNTIL 700 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.
A STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL FAVOR
THE LOWERING OF WATER LEVELS UP TO 2 FEET BELOW MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER. 

THE LOW TIDE, WHEN THE GREATEST IMPACT OF LOW WATER WILL OCCUR, IS
EXPECTED AT THE SHORE BETWEEN 300 AM AND 400 AM. THE LOW TIDE WILL
OCCUR IN LOWER DELAWARE BAY BETWEEN 400 AM AND 500 AM. THE LOW
TIDE WILL OCCUR OVER THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY BETWEEN 500 AM AND 700
AM. 

TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO MITIGATE AGAINST THE LOWER THAN
NORMAL WATER LEVELS. 

$$

PO
1 follow-up statement
000 
FZUS71 KPHI 060848
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

ANZ430-431-450>455-061200-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0008.000000T0000Z-070306T1200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2007

...LOW WATER ADVISORY...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE COASTAL AREAS AND FOR DELAWARE BAY UNTIL 700 AM THIS 
MORNING. A STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS
WILL FAVOR THE LOWERING OF WATER LEVELS UP TO 2 FEET BELOW MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER TODAY.

THE LOW TIDE... WHEN THE GREATEST IMPACT OF LOW WATER WILL
OCCUR... IS EXPECTED AT THE SHORE BETWEEN 300 AM AND 400 AM. THE
LOW TIDE WILL OCCUR IN LOWER DELAWARE BAY BETWEEN 400 AM AND
500 AM. THE LOW TIDE WILL OCCUR OVER THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY
BETWEEN 500 AM AND 700 AM. LOW WATER IS ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE
TIDAL PORTIONS OF THE DELAWARE RIVER SOUTH OF TRENTON, AS WELL AS
ALONG ITS MAJOR TRIBUTARY STREAMS. LOW TIDE ALONG THE DELAWARE
RIVER OCCURS AROUND 7 AM NEAR DELAWARE CITY DELAWARE, AND AROUND 1
PM ON TRIBUTARY STREAMS SOUTH OF TRENTON.


TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO MITIGATE AGAINST THE LOWER THAN
NORMAL WATER LEVELS.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this marine weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this marine weather statement went out at Mar 5, 8:10 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 8:10 PM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
810 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

.UPDATE...
NOW THAT THE SQUALLS ARE GONE AND MOST OF THE CLOUDS HAVE ALSO
DISPTED...WE WILL UPDATE THE ZONES AND SPS. BASED ON THEIR 00Z 6HR
FCST THE WRF-NMM WAS MUCH BETTER WITH THE H8 TEMPS THAN THE GFS
WHICH WAS RUNNING WITH ABT A 2-3C TOO COLD ERROR ACRS NEARBY
CANADA/NY/NEW ENG. OTHERWISE THE 18Z RUNS PULLED NO SURPRISES WRT TO
WEDNESDAYS CLIPPER. THE STORM TOTAL WAS SO CLOSE AT PHL I WAS
HAVING A HARD TIME DISTINGUISHING THE 12Z RUN FROM THE 18Z RUN.
WE/RE STILL MEASURING ABT 50KTS OF FWD MOTION FOR THE CLIPPER
(LIVING UP TO ITS NAME) ON THE GFS AND ABT 60KTS ON THE ECMWF.

IN PAST WINTERS THESE WERE EVENTS THAT THE ETA HANDLED BETTER THAN
THE GFS...ATTM BOTH THE WRF-NMM AND GFS ARE PRETTY CLOSE. THE WRF IS
SLIGHTLY FTHR N WITH THE TRACK AND SLOR. NEVER PAYS TO BE SLOW WITH
THESE SYSTEMS ALTHO AIR MASS THE SNOW WILL BE FALLING INTO INIT WILL
BE MIGHTY DRY. WE DID LOOK UP THE FLUFFIER AND AT LEAST 4 EVENTS IN
PHL SINCE 1989 AND THE SNOW TO WATER EQUIV RATIO AVERAGED AROUND
15:1 FOR THEM. THE FLUFF FACTOR WILL BE NEEDED SINCE ANY ONE LOCN IS
FCST TO BE IN THE PROVERBIAL DENDRITIC ZONE/OMEGA CROSS HAIRS FOR
ONLY A COUPLE OF HOURS. FOR MOST OF US THAT WOULD MEAN AS PER THE
LATEST GUID THAT THE HEAVIEST SNOW WOULD OCR DURG THE AFTN HRS ON
WED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM EST TUESDAY
     FOR PAZ054-055.

NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

TFG

PREV AFD *******************************************************

.SYNOPSIS...
WINTER IS NOT GIVING UP YET AS AN IMPRESSIVE LATE SEASON ARCTIC
BLAST SETTLES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND LINGERS FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. NOT ONLY WILL THE TEMPERATURES BE VERY COLD, STRONG
WINDS ADDED INTO THE MIX WILL PRODUCE BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. SO COLD THAT A WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS BEEN
HOISTED FOR THE SOUTHERN POCONOS. ONCE THE VERY COLD AIR BECOMES
ENTRENCHED, AN ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE
MIDWEEK PERIOD, FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES FOR
THE END OF THE WEEK. A MORE PRONOUNCED WARMING TREND MAY GET
UNDERWAY OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BARREL ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. SOME INSTABILITY HAS HELPED GET
SCATTERED FLURRIES GOING ACROSS A GOOD PART OF THE AREA LATE THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON WITH SNOW SQUALLS BEING FOUND CLOSER TO
THE BOUNDARY. SOME SNOW SQUALLS HAVE BEEN SHOWING UP IN THE
NORTHWESTERN ZONES WITH A SPOTTER REPORT INDICATING SOME
MAINLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS. A SPOTTER IN MORRIS COUNTY, NEW
JERSEY REPORTED A SNOW SQUALL EARLIER WHICH RAPIDLY REDUCED THE
VISIBILITY. AS A RESULT WE HAVE CONTINUED THE IDEA OF CHC POPS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN ZONES FOR AWHILE THIS EVENING
AS ACTIVITY IS MAINLY SCATTERED. A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH WE CARRIED
FLURRIES. WE DID GO AHEAD AND MENTIONED SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHERN ZONES FOR LOCALIZED AREAS. THIS
ACTIVITY TENDS TO NOT LAST VERY LONG IN ANY PARTICULAR LOCATION AS
THEY ARE MOVING QUICKLY. MAIN PROBLEM IS THE QUICK DROP IN
VISIBILITY WITH ANY HEAVIER SNOW SHOWER/SQUALL. SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS/SQUALLS AND FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE FOR A TIME THIS EVENING
THEN RAPID DRYING TAKES PLACE AS THE ARCTIC AIR BECOMES ENTRENCHED
INTO THE AREA. THERE WILL PROBABLY BE AT LEAST FLURRIES ALL NIGHT
IN THE SOUTHERN POCONOS, THEREFORE WILL CARRY THEM UP THERE.

OUR NEXT ITEM WILL BE THE WINDS ADDING TO THE ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING
TONIGHT. WE HAVE BEEN DEALING WITH A WELL ESTABLISHED MIXED LAYER
THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING WINDS TO BE RATHER GUSTY. KDIX VWP
INDICATING 35-KNOT WINDS AT 3,000 FEET. WINDS ALONG AND BEHIND THE
ARCTIC FRONT HAVE GUSTED TO AROUND 50 MPH IN SOME PLACES TO OUR
WEST, HOWEVER THESE HIGH GUSTS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE WIDESPREAD.
BUFKIT SOUNDINGS, PARTICULARLY THE NAM-WRF, HAS CAPTURED THIS FOR
THE MOST PART AND CONTINUES THE GUSTS /VIA MOMENTUM TRANSFER/ TO
BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH GUSTINESS CONTINUING ON
TUESDAY. FORECAST WINDS ARE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA HOWEVER CANNOT
RULE OUT A FEW LOCATIONS GUSTING PAST ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR AWHILE
THIS EVENING. BASED ON THE BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES THAT ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT, COUPLED WITH THE GUSTY WINDS, WE HOISTED A WIND
CHILLY ADVISORY FOR CARBON AND MONROE COUNTIES IN PENNSYLVANIA FOR
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THESE COUNTIES APPEAR ATTM TO
BE THE ONLY ONES TO SOLIDLY REACH CRITERIA. ELSEWHERE, A SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT /SPS/ HAS BEEN ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE EVENING
SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES AND ALSO THE BITTERLY COLD AIR INCOMING.

WINTER WILL BE IN FULL FORCE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A CHUNK OF
ARCTIC AIR SETTLES IN ON TUESDAY WITH A LITTLE MODERATION OCCURRING
ON WEDNESDAY AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. TUESDAY WILL BE A
VERY COLD DAY WITH BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS, ESPECIALLY IN THE
MORNING HOURS. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE LOTS OF SUNSHINE AS THE
ATMOSPHERE IS NEARLY BONE DRY, HOWEVER THERE COULD BE SOME CLOUDS
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH
LAKE-INDUCED CLOUDS ARE PRESENT. FOR NOW WE WENT WITH A SUNNY/MOSTLY
SUNNY SKY FLAVOR. SOME HIGH AND POSSIBLE MID CLOUDS SHOULD BE ON THE
INCREASE LATER TUESDAY NIGHT AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES.

THE MODEL GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS FEATURE
ON WEDNESDAY, ALTHOUGH THE NAM-WRF IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE GFS.
QPF-WISE, THE NAM-WRF CONTINUES TO BE A BIT DRIER THAN THE GFS,
HOWEVER BOTH GIVE A DECENT AMOUNT OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION TO
THE ENTIRE CWA. THE 09Z SREF DATA ALSO SUPPORTS THE GENERAL
OPERATIONAL QPF PATTERN. AN EXAMINATION OF THE FRONTOGENETIC FORCING
ON THE GFS AND NAM-WRF INDICATES GOOD FORCING PRESENT WEDNESDAY IN
BOTH THE 700-600 MB AND 700-800 MB LAYERS, ALONG WITH MODEST
Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE. THE GFS IS MORE FOCUSED WITH THE FRONTOGENESIS
AND IS A TAD FARTHER TO THE SOUTH WHILE THE NAM-WRF HAS A LARGER
AREA PROGGED AS IT MOVES ACROSS OUR CWA. BUFKIT PROFILES INDICATE
THAT AN OMEGA BULLSEYE INTERSECTS THE SNOW GROWTH AREA AND HIGH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO
GREAT DENDRITIC CRYSTAL GROWTH DURING WEDNESDAY. A POTENTIAL FLY IN
THE OINTMENT WE SEE THOUGH IS THAT THE SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE
EXPECTED TO TANK BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF THIS CLIPPER SYSTEM. THIS MAY
EAT AWAY INITIALLY AT SOME OF THE INCOMING QPF /SNIRGA/. HOWEVER,
THERE IS PLENTY OF LIFT PROGGED WITH THIS FEATURE AS IS TRACKS JUST
TO OUR SOUTH TO PRODUCE A SWATH OF LIGHT TO POTENTIALLY MODERATE
SNOWFALL. THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF TIME TO IRON OUT EXACT NUMBERS
HOWEVER OUR PRELIMINARY THOUGHTS ARE 2-4 INCHES ACROSS THE CWA WITH
THE LEAST AMOUNTS POTENTIALLY FALLING OVER FAR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.
THIS MATCHES UP WELL WITH HPCS SNOWFALL GRAPHIC. BOUNDARY LAYER
TEMPERATURES MAY BRIEFLY GET JUST WARM ENOUGH IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE
TO ALLOW SOME RAIN TO MIX IN FOR A TIME. THERE SHOULD BE PLENTY OF
EVAPORATIONAL COOLING, THEREFORE RAIN MAY NOT WIND UP BEING AN ISSUE
IN THE FAR SOUTH. ELSEWHERE, RATIOS SHOULD BE PRETTY GOOD DURING
THIS EVENT BASED ON THE COLD AND DRY NATURE OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS
COULD EASILY BULK UP THE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS DESPITE THE CLIPPER
ZIPPING RIGHT ON THROUGH. WE ARE VISIONING THIS AS A POSSIBLE FEW
HOUR THUMP AS THE CLIPPER ROLLS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. ALSO, WE ARE
IN MARCH AND THE SUN ANGLE IS HIGHER SO THAT COULD HELP WITH ROADS
INITIALLY AS THE SNOW FALLS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. IT WILL BE
COLD THOUGH LEADING UP TO THIS EVENT SO WE WILL SEE. LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY EVENING THOUGH, ANY UNTREATED
ROADS ESPECIALLY WET COULD EASILY FREEZE UP AS TEMPERATURES WILL DIP
WELL BELOW FREEZING.

AS OF NOW, WE WILL BRING IN A SLIGHT CHC POP ACROSS THE FAR WEST
WEDNESDAY MORNING, THEN RAPIDLY INCREASE POPS TO HIGH CHC THEN
LIKELY EVERYWHERE BY LATE MORNING. FOR THE CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN ZONES WE WENT WITH CATEGORICAL POPS AS THESE AREAS ARE
UNDER THE BEST PROGGED FRONTOGENESIS ATTM. HAVE BEEN CONCERNED ABOUT
THIS CLIPPER SHIFTING NORTH OR FARTHER SOUTH BUT SO FAR THE MODELS
SEEM TO BE HANDLING THE TRACK WELL, AND BASED ON THE CONSISTENCY
THE POPS HAVE BEEN INCREASED. THE PROJECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
INDICATED WITH THIS PACKAGE CAN INDEED CHANGE, THEREFORE STAYED
TUNED. WE INCLUDED A MENTION OF THIS CLIPPER SNOWFALL IN THE SPS
AS WELL.

THE SNOW SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING THEREFORE HAD A SLIGHT CHC TO CHC FROM I-95 ON
EASTWARD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THIS TIME FRAME IS ANTICIPATED TO START OUT ON THE QUIET BUT
CHILLY SIDE AS A LARGE SURFACE HIGH CRESTS OVER THE AREA.
THEREAFTER, SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES ARE NOTED WITH A NORTHERN
STREAM SHORT WAVE. WE FOLLOWED GUIDANCE FROM HPC AND THEN MADE
SOME TWEAKS FOR LOCAL EFFECTS AND ALSO FOLLOWING COLLABORATION
WITH OUR NEIGHBORING OFFICES.

AN EXAMINATION OF THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF SHOW THAT THEY ARE ON THE
SAME PAGE WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN ACROSS THE U.S. HPC USED A
BLENDED APPROACH OF THE GFS AND ECMWF MASS FIELDS TO ACCOUNT FOR
SHORT WAVE TIMING AND INTENSITY DIFFERENCES. THE 00Z CMC GUIDANCE IS
FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE BLENDED SOLUTION THAT HPC WENT WITH. THE
OPERATIONAL MODELS INDICATE MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW THAN HAS BEEN SEEN
IN SOME TIME, WITH ARCTIC AIR RETREATING BACK INTO CANADA. A
MOISTURE STARVED FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER
OF STATES FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH THE SOUTHERN END OF
THIS SYSTEM WINDING UP OVER THE GULF STATES ON MONDAY AS MIDLEVEL
ENERGY CLOSES OFF OVER THAT REGION. SOME MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING A
WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS LATE IN THE WEEKEND, AND THIS MAY HANG THE FRONT UP ACROSS
OUR NECK OF THE WOODS LATE SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
WILL ALL DEPEND ON THE OVERALL TIMING OF THE SHORT WAVES AND WHERE
EXACTLY THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS WHEN THE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS.

BASED ON THE ABOVE, DRY AND FAIRLY CLEAR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD. WINDS SHOULD BE
DIMINISHING AS WELL AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN. THE SURFACE HIGH IS
FORECAST TO SLOWLY EASE OFF THE EAST COAST ON FRIDAY WITH A
SOUTHERLY FLOW GRADUALLY BECOMING ESTABLISHED. WAA ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THIS HIGH WILL BE SURGING UP THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
AND GREAT LAKES AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD. WE SHOULD BE IN
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY DURING SATURDAY AS
THE HIGH COMPLETELY SHIFTS TO OUR EAST. ALL EYES WILL THEN BE
FOCUSED ON A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE SLICING THROUGH THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES SATURDAY MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
TO CREEP INTO OUR NORTHWESTERN ZONES SUNDAY MORNING, BUT THEN MAY
NOT GET TO MUCH FARTHER SOUTH AS A SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE
TAIL END OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. THIS FRONT THEN
MAY STALL FOR A TIME OVER OUR AREA LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BASED
ON THE TIMING DIFFERENCES WE ONLY WENT WITH A LOW CHC FOR
PRECIPITATION STARTING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN ZONES
SATURDAY, THEN SPREADING EASTWARD SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. FOR
NEW DAY 7 /MONDAY/ KEPT IN A LOW CHC POP.

IT HAS BEEN NOTED /THANKS WFO AKQ/ THAT THE MEX TEMPERATURE
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN VERY INCONSISTENT FROM RUN TO RUN WITH THE MEN
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BEING CLOSER OVER THE PAST FEW RUNS. AT THE
END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD, THE 00Z MEN GUIDANCE SEEMS TO BE NOT
TO FAR OFF FROM HPCS GUIDANCE. THEREFORE WE DID NOT MAKE ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE NEW DATASETS.

THAT IS ALL FOR NOW. THANKS TO THE SURROUNDING OFFICES AND HPC FOR
THE EXCELLENT COLLABORATION TODAY. HAVE A GOOD ONE

&&

.AVIATION /22Z-18Z/...
THE TAFS WERE CONSTRUCTED WITH PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS AND TEMPOD
WITH IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS FOR THE EVENING SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. I
SCATTERED THINGS OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN TERMINALS OVERNIGHT IN THE
POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT. FURTHER SOUTH FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, I
JUST WENT SKC. WIND GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE HAVE BEEN
COMMON THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL STAY UP TONIGHT, BUT SHOULD BECOME
A BIT LESS GUSTY.

&&

.MARINE...
GALES WERE EXTENDED THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW IN THE POST FRONTAL
ENVIRONMENT. WELL AT LEAST HAVE TO TRANSITION TO SCAS TOMORROW
NIGHT AND MAYBE INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE CLIPPER APPROACHES. BOTH WINDS
AND SEAS LOOK A BIT QUIETER LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.TIDES...
THE GFS GUIDANCE IS RIGHT ON THE MONEY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
FOLLOW. THE NGM IS RUNNING TOO LOW. WITH THAT SAID, THE GFS GIVES
THE OCEAN AND BAY WATERS ABOUT 1 1/2 FOOT DEPARTURES OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW. DEPARTURES OF 2 FEET ARE NEEDED FOR
BLOWOUT TIDES. THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER WILL ALSO SEE
LOWER WATER AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. WHILE THE LOW TIDE IN
QUESTION FOR THE OCEAN WATERS OCCURS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, THE LOW TIDE
OF CONCERN FOR THE RIVER OCCURS TOMORROW MORNING. NO STATEMENTS WILL
BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME.

&&

SYNOPSIS/SHORT TERM...GORSE
LONG TERM...GORSE/HPC
AVIATION/MARINE/TIDES...KRUZDLO
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 5, 4:11 AM EST, 17 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
411 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-067>071-060915-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
411 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-060915-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
411 AM EST MON MAR 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE DELAWARE BAY AND COASTAL
WATERS OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFCT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

WN

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 5, 4:03 PM EST, 5 hours 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
403 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-061100-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
403 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

...SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING
UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH THE STRONG LIKELIHOOD
FOR A WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW ON WEDNESDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION. THE
UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE SNOW SHOWERS
AND SNOW SQUALLS INTO THIS EVENING. SOME LOCALIZED WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY
THE STRONGER SQUALLS. LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH OF
SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR AROUND THE FREEZING
MARK AND THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE LITTLE DIFFICULTY IN
ACCUMULATING IN SQUALLS EVEN ON THE MAIN INTERSTATES. PLEASE BE
WARY FOR CHANGING ROAD CONDITIONS AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE
BETWEEN YOURSELF AND THE VEHICLES AROUND YOU. DO NOT TAILGATE OR
DRIVE FASTER THAN ROAD CONDITIONS PERMIT.

WIND SPEEDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE
SINGLE NUMBERS TO AROUND 10 ABOVE ZERO. COUPLED WITH THE STRONG
WINDS, THIS WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILL FACTORS REACHING AROUND 15
DEGREES BELOW ZERO IN THE POCONOS WHERE A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT AND AS LOW AS 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE LATE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY, MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF
POSSIBLE, AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT
FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING, MAKE SURE YOU
HAVE EXTRA GLOVES, WATER, SOME LIGHT FOOD AND A MEANS OF
COMMUNICATIONS IN THE EVENT YOUR GET STUCK. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR
PETS ARE ALSO PROTECTED FROM THE EXTREME COLD.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT, JUST IN TIME FOR AN ALBERTA
CLIPPER TO MOVE THROUGH. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL START
SPREADING SNOW INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING AND SHOULD END
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. INITIAL ACCUMULATION ESTIMATES ARE FOR
2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. WHILE THE SNOW WILL BE FLUFFY, THE RENEWED COLD
WEATHER WILL MAKE IT EASY FOR IT TO STICK ON ALL SURFACES QUICKLY.
THE GREATEST IMPACT BASED ON THE CURRENT TIMING IS FOR THE SNOW TO
AFFECT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER, BUT
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND.

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-NJZ009-010-012>027-PAZ067>071-061100-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...
MEDIA
403 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

...UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH THE STRONG LIKELIHOOD
FOR A WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW ON WEDNESDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION. THE
UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE SOME
SCATTERED FLURRIES AND ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS INTO THIS EVENING.

WIND SPEEDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE MAINLY IN
THE TEENS. COUPLED WITH THE STRONG WINDS, THIS SHOULD PRODUCE WIND
CHILL FACTORS REACHING AROUND ZERO COME TUESDAY MORNING.

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY, MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF
POSSIBLE, AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT
FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING, MAKE SURE YOU
HAVE EXTRA GLOVES, WATER, SOME LIGHT FOOD AND A MEANS OF
COMMUNICATIONS IN THE EVENT YOUR GET STUCK. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR
PETS ARE ALSO PROTECTED FROM THE EXTREME COLD.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT, JUST IN TIME FOR AN ALBERTA
CLIPPER TO MOVE THROUGH. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL START
SPREADING SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND SHOULD
END DURING WEDNESDAY EVENING. INITIAL ACCUMULATION ESTIMATES ARE
FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. WHILE THE SNOW WILL BE ON THE FLUFFY
SIDE, THE RENEWED COLD WEATHER WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR IT TO STICK
ON MOST ROAD SURFACES. THE GREATEST IMPACT BASED ON THE CURRENT
TIMING IS FOR THE SNOW TO AFFECT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE
ON WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER, BUT
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND.

DEZ003-004-MDZ019-020-061100-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...EASTON...
DENTON
403 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

...UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH THE STRONG LIKELIHOOD
FOR A MIXED PRECIPITATION EVENT ON WEDNESDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS.
COUPLED WITH THE STRONG WINDS, THIS SHOULD PRODUCE WIND CHILL
FACTORS REACHING IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS COME TUESDAY MORNING.

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY, MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF
POSSIBLE, AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT
FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING, MAKE SURE YOU
HAVE EXTRA GLOVES, WATER, SOME LIGHT FOOD AND A MEANS OF
COMMUNICATIONS IN THE EVENT YOUR GET STUCK. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR
PETS ARE ALSO PROTECTED FROM THE EXTREME COLD.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT, JUST IN TIME FOR AN ALBERTA
CLIPPER TO MOVE THROUGH. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL START
SPREADING SNOW AND RAIN INTO THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND SHOULD END AS SNOW DURING WEDNESDAY
EVENING. INITIAL ACCUMULATION ESTIMATES ARE FOR AROUND AN INCH
OF SNOW. WHILE THE SNOW WILL BE ON THE FLUFFY SIDE, THE RENEWED
COLD WEATHER WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR THE SNOW TO STICK ON ALL
SURFACES, ESPECIALLY ONCE THE SUN SETS. THE GREATEST IMPACT BASED
ON THE CURRENT TIMING IS FOR THE SNOW TO AFFECT THE EVENING
COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER, BUT
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND.

GORSE/GIGI
Special weather statement, Mar 5, 8:16 PM EST, 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
816 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-061115-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON
816 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

...UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH THE STRONG
LIKELIHOOD FOR A WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW ON WEDNESDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION. THERE STILL
WILL BE SOME FLURRIES AND ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. BUT THESE
WILL BE LESS WIDESPREAD AND SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

WIND SPEEDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 45 MPH. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE IN
THE SINGLE NUMBERS TO AROUND 10 ABOVE ZERO. COUPLED WITH THE
STRONG WINDS, THIS WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILL FACTORS REACHING AROUND
15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO IN THE POCONOS WHERE A WIND CHILL ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT AND AS LOW AS 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE LATE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY, MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF
POSSIBLE, AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT
FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING, MAKE SURE YOU
HAVE EXTRA GLOVES, WATER, SOME LIGHT FOOD AND A MEANS OF
COMMUNICATIONS IN THE EVENT YOUR GET STUCK. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR
PETS ARE ALSO PROTECTED FROM THE EXTREME COLD.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT, JUST IN TIME FOR AN ALBERTA
CLIPPER TO MOVE THROUGH. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL START
SPREADING SNOW INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING AND SHOULD END
BEFORE WEDNESDAY EVENING. INITIAL ACCUMULATION ESTIMATES ARE FOR
2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. WHILE THE SNOW WILL BE FLUFFY, THE RENEWED
COLD WEATHER WILL MAKE IT EASY FOR IT TO STICK ON ALL SURFACES
QUICKLY. THE GREATEST IMPACT BASED ON THE CURRENT TIMING IS FOR
THE SNOW TO AFFECT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER, BUT
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND.

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-NJZ009-010-012>027-PAZ067>071-061115-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...
MEDIA
816 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

...UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH THE STRONG
LIKELIHOOD FOR A WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW ON WEDNESDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
TO 45 MPH. LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE MAINLY IN THE
TEENS. COUPLED WITH THE STRONG WINDS, THIS SHOULD PRODUCE WIND
CHILL FACTORS REACHING AROUND ZERO COME TUESDAY MORNING.

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY, MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF
POSSIBLE, AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT
FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING, MAKE SURE YOU
HAVE EXTRA GLOVES, WATER, SOME LIGHT FOOD AND A MEANS OF
COMMUNICATIONS IN THE EVENT YOUR GET STUCK. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR
PETS ARE ALSO PROTECTED FROM THE EXTREME COLD.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT, JUST IN TIME FOR AN ALBERTA
CLIPPER TO MOVE THROUGH. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL START
SPREADING SNOW INTO THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND SHOULD
END DURING THE EARLY EVENING ON WEDNESDAY. INITIAL ACCUMULATION
ESTIMATES ARE FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. WHILE THE SNOW WILL BE ON
THE FLUFFY SIDE, THE RENEWED COLD WEATHER WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR
IT TO STICK ON MOST ROAD SURFACES. THE GREATEST IMPACT BASED ON
THE CURRENT TIMING IS FOR THE SNOW TO AFFECT THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER, BUT
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND.

DEZ003-004-MDZ019-020-061115-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...EASTON...
DENTON
816 PM EST MON MAR 5 2007

...UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH THE STRONG LIKELIHOOD
FOR A MIXED PRECIPITATION EVENT ON WEDNESDAY...

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS.
COUPLED WITH THE STRONG WINDS, THIS SHOULD PRODUCE WIND CHILL
FACTORS REACHING IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS COME TUESDAY MORNING.

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS
WARMLY, MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF
POSSIBLE, AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT
FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING, MAKE SURE YOU
HAVE EXTRA GLOVES, WATER, SOME LIGHT FOOD AND A MEANS OF
COMMUNICATIONS IN THE EVENT YOUR GET STUCK. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR
PETS ARE ALSO PROTECTED FROM THE EXTREME COLD.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT, JUST IN TIME FOR AN ALBERTA
CLIPPER TO MOVE THROUGH. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL START
SPREADING SNOW AND RAIN INTO THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND SHOULD END AS SNOW DURING WEDNESDAY
EVENING. INITIAL ACCUMULATION ESTIMATES ARE FOR AROUND AN INCH
OF SNOW. WHILE THE SNOW WILL BE ON THE FLUFFY SIDE, THE RENEWED
COLD WEATHER WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR THE SNOW TO STICK ON ALL
SURFACES, ESPECIALLY ONCE THE SUN SETS. THE GREATEST IMPACT BASED
ON THE CURRENT TIMING IS FOR THE SNOW TO AFFECT THE EVENING
COMMUTE ON WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS CLIPPER, BUT
MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND.

GIGI

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 10:41 AM ESTMarine Weather StatementPHI9 hr
Mar 6, 3:12 PM ESTSnow AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 7 more28 hr

Nearby

Marine Weather Statements in New Jersey, 2007Every marine weather statement in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.