Marine Weather Statement 32, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

000 
FZUS71 KPHI 260250
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
950 PM EST SUN NOV 25 2007

ANZ430-431-450>455-261800-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071126T2000Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
950 PM EST SUN NOV 25 2007

...GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT...
...NEAR BLOW OUT CONDITIONS AT LOW TIDES LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND
   TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE...MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...IS EXPECTED TO REACH WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA LATE MONDAY.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA BY MID OR LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
GALE FORCE GUSTS MONDAY NIGHT...AHEAD OF AND ACCOMPANYING A COLD
FRONT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT. ONCE
THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST
AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDAL
EFFECTS DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE
DEPARTURE FOR BLOW OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES TO AROUND
2.0 FEET BELOW NORMAL ARE EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS TUESDAY AND THEN...MORE LIKELY...TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
TIMING WILL BE THE KEY FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY
COINCIDE WITH THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE
EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD
VERY EASILY PRODUCE BLOW OUT CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

000 
FZUS71 KPHI 260812
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
312 AM EST MON NOV 26 2007

ANZ430-431-450>455-262000-
/X.EXT.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071127T0600Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
312 AM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT... 
...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE...MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WILL REACH WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA LATE TODAY. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED,
ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST. 
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT. ONCE THE FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN
GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDAL
EFFECTS DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE
DEPARTURE FOR BLOW OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2
FEET BELOW NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. 
THE LOW TIDE CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS TUESDAY AND THEN...MORE LIKELY...TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING
WILL BE THE KEY FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY
COINCIDE WITH THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE
EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD
VERY EASILY PRODUCE BLOW OUT CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

RNS

000 
FZUS71 KPHI 262003
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
303 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

ANZ430-431-450>455-270415-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071127T0600Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
303 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE...MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY...WILL CROSS
PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING AND NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THESE COULD ALSO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY
WINDS. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY AND
THEN...MORE LIKELY...TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE KEY FOR
THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE...THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF
SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT CONDITIONS.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

AMC

000 
FZUS71 KPHI 262111
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
411 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

ANZ450>453-270600-
/X.EXT.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071126T2055Z-071127T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
411 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS EVENING...
...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WARM AND MOIST FLOW FROM THE SOUTH MOVING ACROSS THE COOLER
OCEAN WATERS HAS ALLOWED FOR FOG TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NEW JERSEY
COAST. AREAS OF FOG WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE EVENING, WITH SOME
AREAS HAVING VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. CONDITIONS SHOULD
IMPROVE OVERNIGHT AS WINDS INCREASE AHEAD A COLD FRONT APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TOWARD MORNING,
VISIBILITIES SHOULD RAPIDLY INCREASE AS WELL. THOSE WITH MARINE
INTERESTS SHOULD USE CAUTION TONIGHT WHEN TRAVELING ON THE WATERS.
UNTIL VISIBILITIES INCREASE, YOU SHOULD REDUCE YOUR SPEED AND KEEP
NAVIGATION LIGHTS ON. ALSO KEEP A LOOKOUT FOR OTHER VESSELS,
BUOYS, AND BREAKWATERS.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL CROSS
PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING AND NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS,,,ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THESE COULD ALSO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY
WINDS. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA,,,WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY
AND THEN,,,MORE LIKELY,,,TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE
KEY FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE,,,THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT
OF SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

ANZ430-431-454-455-270600-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071127T0600Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
411 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE,,,MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY,,,WILL CROSS
PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING AND NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS,,,ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THESE COULD ALSO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY
WINDS. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA,,,WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY
AND THEN,,,MORE LIKELY,,,TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE
KEY FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE,,,THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT
OF SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$


ROBERTSON/AMC

000 
FZUS71 KPHI 262124
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
424 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

ANZ450>453-270600-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.000000T0000Z-071127T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
424 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS EVENING... 
...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WARM AND MOIST FLOW FROM THE SOUTH MOVING ACROSS THE COOLER OCEAN 
WATERS HAS ALLOWED FOR FOG TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST. 
AREAS OF FOG WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE EVENING, WITH SOME AREAS HAVING 
VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE OVERNIGHT 
AS WINDS INCREASE AHEAD A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. 
AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TOWARD MORNING, VISIBILITIES 
SHOULD RAPIDLY INCREASE AS WELL. THOSE WITH MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD 
USE CAUTION TONIGHT WHEN TRAVELING ON THE WATERS. UNTIL VISIBILITIES 
INCREASE, YOU SHOULD REDUCE YOUR SPEED AND KEEP NAVIGATION LIGHTS 
ON. ALSO KEEP A LOOKOUT FOR OTHER VESSELS, BUOYS, AND BREAKWATERS.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL CROSS
PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING AND NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS, ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THESE COULD ALSO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS.
ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY
AND THEN MORE LIKELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE KEY
FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE TIME
OF HIGH TIDE, THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF
SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

ANZ430-431-454-455-270600-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071127T0600Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
424 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL CROSS
PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING AND NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL BE INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING.
THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS, ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THESE COULD ALSO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS.
ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY
AND THEN MORE LIKELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE KEY
FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE TIME
OF HIGH TIDE, THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF
SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.


$$

ROBERTSON/AMC

000 
FZUS71 KPHI 270229
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

ANZ430-431-454-455-271030-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.071127T0600Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
929 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE, MOVING NORTHEAST, WILL CROSS PENNSYLVANIA LATE THIS
EVENING BEFORE MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE LOW HAVE INCREASED TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. THE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS, ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT WHICH COULD FURTHER ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS. ONCE THE FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN
GUSTY THROUGH TOMORROW.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW
AND THEN MORE LIKELY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE KEY
FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE TIME
OF HIGH TIDE, THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF
SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

ANZ450>453-271030-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.000000T0000Z-071127T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
929 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

...BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDES LATE TONIGHT AND
AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW PRESSURE, MOVING NORTHEAST, WILL CROSS PENNSYLVANIA THIS
EVENING BEFORE MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF THE LOW HAVE INCREASED TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. THE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS, ESPECIALLY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT WHICH COULD FURTHER ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS. ONCE THE FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN
GUSTY THROUGH TOMORROW.

THE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE
FOR BLOW-OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET BELOW
NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE LOW TIDE
CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW AND
THEN MORE LIKELY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. TIMING WILL BE THE KEY FOR
THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY COINCIDE WITH THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE, THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS. BUT A SHIFT OF
SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD PRODUCE BLOW OUT
CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE SITUATION EVOLVES.

$$

KRUZDLO

000 
FZUS71 KPHI 270757
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
257 AM EST TUE NOV 27 2007

ANZ430-431-450>455-272300-
/X.CON.KPHI.MA.S.0032.000000T0000Z-071127T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
257 AM EST TUE NOV 27 2007

BLOW OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT LOW TIDE THIS AFTERNOON.

A COLD FRONT MOVED OFFSHORE EARLY THIS MORNING ALLOWING WINDS TO
TURN MORE WESTERLY. WINDS WILL THEREFORE BE GUSTY AND FROM THE WEST
TO NORTHWEST TODAY. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH LOWER THAN USUALLY
ASTRONOMICAL LOW TIDES DUE TO THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE
ENOUGH NEGATIVE DEPARTURE FOR BLOW OUT TIDE CONDITIONS. DEPARTURES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO 1.5 FT BELOW NORMAL IN SOME AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON.

DUE TO THE POTENTIAL LOW WATER CONDITIONS, MARINERS SHOULD BE
WARY OF SHALLOWER WATERS, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF LOW TIDE
THIS AFTERNOON. THE WATER MAY BE LOW ENOUGH THAT SOME BOATS COULD
RUN AGROUND.


$$

RNS/DELISI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
255 PM EST SUN NOV 25 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
DEVELOPING STORM OVER THE GULF COAST STATES TODAY WILL INTENSIFY
AND MOVE NORTHEAST SPREADING A LARGE RAIN SHIELD OVER THE REGION
LATE TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL APPROACH NEW YORK STATE MONDAY NIGHT
AND THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP OFF THE COAST EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA LATE TUESDAY
INTO THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AFTER A BEAUTIFUL DAY TODAY, CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THIS
EVENING. VERY POTENT LOW PRESSURE, TAPPING THE WARM AIR FROM THE
GULF STREAM, WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST SPREADING A LARGE RAIN
SHIELD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AS THE CLOUDS SPREAD OVERHEAD THE
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BUT LEVEL OFF AT SOME POINT LATE THIS
EVENING. LOOKING FOR AN ALL RAIN EVENT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A
BRIEF PERIOD WHERE THERE MAY BE SOME FREEZING RAIN IN THE FAR
NORTHERN COUNTIES. WARMUP WILL BE RAPID AS STRONG WAA ADVECTS INTO
THE REGION. PRECIPITATING WILL BEGIN OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS FIRST
THEN GRADUALLY FILL IN OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES. TEMPERATURES
ELSEWHERE WILL BE WELL ABOVE FREEZING.

A STEADY RAIN WILL FALL ALL DAY IN ADVANCE OF THE WARM FRONT AND
THEN BECOME SHOWERY VERY LATE IN THE DAY AS TEMPERATURES REACH
INTO THE LOWER 60S SOUTH AND 45 TO 50 NORTH. VERY STRONG WIND
PROFILES AS THE SQUEEZE IS ON FROM THE DEEPENING LOW IN THE OHIO
VALLEY AND THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. WINDS AT
80H WILL BE BETWEEN 50 AND 60 KTS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OVER A PRETTY LARGE AREA WITH SOME ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS IN TRAINING SHOWERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A VERY STORMY PERIOD IS POSSIBLY IN STORE FOR PARTS OF THE COASTAL
PLAINS COUNTIES OF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY. WIND PROFILES ARE
QUITE STRONG, OVER HURRICANE FORCE, IN THE FIRST 3 THOUSAND FEET
ABOVE THE SURFACE FOR A 4 HOUR PERIOD. AT THIS TIME WILL MENTION
THE THREAT IN THE HWO. THERE IS ALSO THE MENTION OF A THUNDERSTORM
FOR ALL AREAS FROM EARLIER FORECAST. THE LOW TRACKS INTO NEW
ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT AND THE FRONT COMES THROUGH BEFORE DAYBREAK.
THE STEADY RAINS COME TO AN END WITH THE FROPA WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AFTER THAT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD ON TUESDAY BUT
TAKE THE USUAL TURN TO MUCH COLDER TEMPS TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE HAS STILL TO COME THRU IN THE MRNG AND WE KEPT
IN A SLGT CHC FOR THIS SHORT WAVE. HI PRES THEN BUILDS INTO THE
CWA FOR WED. THE OP GFS BECOMES A FASTER OUTLIER WITH THE CFP ON
THU AND AS SUCH WE SLOWED THE ONSET OF PCPN CHCS (VS ITS SOLN) AND
ALSO WENT WITH HIER MAX TEMPS.

THE MDLS DIVERGE THEN FOR FRIDAY AS THE GFS BRINGS IN A COLDER SHOT
OF AIR WHILE THE OTHER MEDIUM RANGE MDLS MAINTAIN MORE OF A SW FLOW
ALF THAT OPENS THE DOOR TO A PSBL WAVE AFFECTING OUR CWA. SOME
FTHR ADJUSTEMENTS MIGHT BE NEEDED FOR FRI/S FCST WHICH ATTM SHOULD
BE CONSIDERED LOW CONFIDENCE. ALL THE MDLS HAVE DRY WEATHER FOR OUR
CWA FOR SAT. THEN THE GFS APPEARS TO BE AN OUTLIER WITH A STGR
SYSTEM COMING OUT OF THE SRN PLAINS FOR SUNDAY/MONDAY.

UPPER ZONAL FLOW BACK AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST AS A STRONG SOUTHERN
BRANCH SHORT WAVE DIGS ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ONCE AGAIN
TAPPING MOISTURE FROM THE GULF AND SPREADING IT NORTHEAST TO THE
REGION. THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE IS WELL BELOW ZERO AT 80H WITH
LIGHT SNOW FOR NORTHERN ZONES BUT WAA ADVECTS INTO REGION DURING
THE DAY SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WED THROUGH SUNDAY FALL A FEW DEGREES
EACH DAY. IN SHORT, NEAR NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD.

&&

.CLIMATOLOGY...
NOW ITS TIME FOR OUR ANNUAL ANALOG EXERCISE OF COMPARING AUTUMN
TEMPERATURES AND ENSUING WINTER WEATHER. THIS WILL BE A LA NINA
WINTER, CURRENT FORECAST ESTIMATES ARE FOR EITHER A MODERATE OR
STRONG LA NINA TO BE WITH US THROUGH THIS WINTER. THE LAST MODERATE
LA NINA WINTER OCCURRED IN 1999-2000. THE OTHER IMPORTANT MOVERS AND
SHAKERS ARE THE EASTERN PACIFIC (PDO/PNA) AND NORTHERN ATLANTIC
(NAO) FOR OUR UPCOMING WINTER. AS LONG AS THE NINA REMAINS MODERATE
OR STRONGER, IT WILL HAVE A LARGE INFLUENCE ON OUR UPCOMING WEATHER.
FROM THE WINTER OF 1949-50 IN PHILADELPHIA, MODERATE LA NINA WINTERS
HAVE HAD AN AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 34.3F AND AVERAGE SNOWFALL OF
15.5 INCHES WHILE STRONG LA NINA WINTERS HAVE HAD AN AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE OF 36.2 DEGREES AND AVERAGE SNOWFALL OF 15.4 INCHES.

WHILE THERE ARE OUTLOOKS ISSUED FOR THE PDO AND NAO, THE FORECAST
SKILL IS GREATER FOR ENSOS (NINOS AND NINAS). SINCE GETTING A NINA
TO FOLLOW AN EXACT SCRIPT IS NOT EASY, HERE IS THE SHORT SIX-PACK
OF WHAT OCCURRED IN PAST NINA WINTERS THAT HAD AN UNSEASONABLY WARM
OCTOBER FOLLOWED BY A NOVEMBER THAT BORDERED THE TERCILE THRESHOLD
BETWEEN NORMAL AND COLDER THAN NORMAL IN PHILADELPHIA. MY SON AND
MIKE ALREADY TOLD ME I HAVE THE SNOW ALL WRONG.

YEAR           ENSUING   ENSUING   ENSUING  AVG    ENSUING ENSUING
               DEC       JAN       FEB      TEMP   PCPN    SNOW

1908-9         37.1      35.6      41.2     38.0   10.26   18.1
1949-0         39.0      43.2      33.8     38.7    8.29    1.9
1950-1         34.2      36.0      36.4     35.5    9.19    4.6
1954-5         36.0      32.6      36.1     34.9    5.60   12.1
1971-2         41.6      35.1      32.4     36.4    8.64   12.2
1984-5         41.9      27.3      35.3     34.8    6.16   16.5

AVERAGE        38.3      35.0      35.9     36.4    8.02   10.9
NORMAL         37.4      32.3      34.8     34.8    9.57   19.3

THE OFFICIAL CPC TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR THIS WINTER IS ABOUT A 40
PERCENT CHANCE OF IT BEING WARMER THAN NORMAL. THE 50 PERCENT
CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR THE UPCOMING WINTER MEAN TEMPERATURE FOR
PHILADELPHIA IS BETWEEN 33.6F AND 37.5F. THE WINTER PRECIPITATION
OUTLOOK HAS EQUAL CHANCES OF BEING EITHER WETTER OR DRIER THAN
NORMAL NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 95 AND A SLIGHTLY GREATER CHANCE OF
IT BEING DRIER THAN NORMAL SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 95.

MODERATE OR STRONG NINAS TEND TO HAVE FEWER LARGE (6 INCHES OR
GREATER AS MEASURED AT PHL) SINGLE SNOW EVENTS THAN THE TYPICAL
WINTER. WHILE MODERATE AND STRONG NINAS HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR 18
PERCENT OF ALL WINTERS SINCE 1949-50, THEY HAVE ONLY ACCOUNTED FOR
ABOUT 9 PERCENT OF THE 6 INCH OR GREATER SINGLE SNOW EVENTS. THERE
HAS NOT BEEN A SINGLE 10 INCH OR GREATER SNOW EVENT AS MEASURED IN
PHILADELPHIA IN A MODERATE OR STRONG NINA WINTER SINCE AT LEAST THE
1910S. IT IS BELIEVED THAT THE WEAKER SUB-TROPICAL JET DURING NINA
WINTERS BRINGS LESS MOISTURE NORTHWARD. ALSO ITS HARDER OR SLOWER
FOR THE SUBTROPICAL JET TO PHASE WITH THE POLAR JET THAN IN NINO
WINTERS. EL NINO WINTERS WE NORMALLY HAVE AN ABOVE AVERAGE CHANCE OF
LARGER SNOW EVENTS. AN INTERESTING ARTICLE ABOUT THIS CLIMATOLOGY
CAN BE FOUND IN THE OCTOBER 2003 ISSUE OF WEATHER AND FORECASTING.

AS ALWAYS PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT ALWAYS AN INDICATION OF FUTURE
TRENDS. HAVE A HAPPY AND HEALTHY WINTER SEASON HOPEFULLY ONE WITH
MUCH LESS SLEET IN IT.

&&

.AVIATION...
MOST OF OUR AREA CONTINUES TO HAVE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND UNRESTRICTED
VISIBILITIES. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ARE RAPIDLY APPROACHING FROM THE
SW AND W AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE LOW WILL TRACK NE PASSING JUST WEST OF OUR
AREA LATE MONDAY AND EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL CROSS OUR REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND MOVE OFF TO
THE EAST TUESDAY. CIGS WILL RAPIDLY LOWER TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS EARLY
TONIGHT AND TO SC AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRECIPITATION
WILL BEGIN MOVING IN FROM THE WEST AROUND MIDNIGHT. MVFR CONDITIONS
WILL LOWER TO MVFR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND TO IFR/LIFR
AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.

A PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY
THE COLD FRONT MON NIGHT. MAINLY VFR EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT, CROSSING THE AREA THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THAN MOVE IN FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS PREVAIL TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST. AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NE FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA LATE MONDAY, SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL BE INCREASING. SCA CRITERIA CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY ARRIVE
BY MID OR LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE
GUSTS MONDAY NIGHT IN THE FRONTAL ZONE. WE ARE ANTICIPATING GOING
TO GALE WARNINGS, BUT SINCE THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THE 24 TO 36
HOUR PERIOD AND THE LEAD IN TIME FOR SCA CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY
SHORT, 6 HOURS OR LESS, WILL NOT PUT ANY ADV/WRNGS UP AT THIS TIME.
WE WILL ISSUE A MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT TO ALERT MARINERS TO THIS
EVENT. OUR MIDNIGHT SHIFT, OR POSSIBLY EVEN THE EVENING SHIFT,
COULD RAISE THE GALE WARNINGS. ONCE THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA,
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW AND REMAIN GUSTY. EXPECT THE SCA TO
REMAIN IN EFFECT INTO EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
TAKE OVER KEEPING WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SCA CRITERIA. A COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE WATERS THURSDAY. WINDS AND SEAS MAY
REACH SCA CRITERIA FOR A PERIOD IN THE NW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT
THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THEN RETURNS ONCE AGAIN TO QUIET
THINGS DOWN FRIDAY.

&&

.TIDES...
ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES OFF TO THE EAST TUESDAY, GUSTY NW WINDS
WILL BE OVER THE WATERS. THIS COMBINED WITH THE GREATER ASTRONOMICAL
TIDAL EFFECTS AROUND THE RECENT FULL MOON MAY CREATE ENOUGH NEGATIVE
DEPARTURE FOR BLOWOUT TIDE CONDITIONS. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE INDICATES
DEPARTURES DIPPING TO AROUND 2.0 FT BELOW NORMAL LATE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. THE LOW TIDE CYCLES AFFECTED WILL BE DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY AND THEN, MORE LIKELY, TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
TIMING WILL BE THE KEY FOR THIS EVENT. THE GREATEST DEPARTURES MAY
COINCIDE WITH THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE, THEREFORE MINIMIZING THE EFFECTS.
BUT A SHIFT OF SEVERAL HOURS IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD VERY EASILY
PRODUCE BLOWOUT CONDITIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS THE
SITUATION EVOLVES.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EBERWINE
NEAR TERM...EBERWINE
SHORT TERM...EBERWINE
LONG TERM...GIGI/EBERWINE
MARINE...RPW
AVIATION...RPW
CLIMATE...GIGI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
350 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2007

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-061-062-261100-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
350 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AS PRECIPITATION MOVES INTO THE AREA TOWARD MONDAY MORNING.
ANY ICE AMOUNTS WOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE, BUT WOULD RESULT IN
SLIPPERY TRAVELING CONDITIONS. PLEASE LOOK FOR FURTHER UPDATES
LATER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
WILL PRODUCE A WIDESPREAD RAIN EVENT MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
STORM TOTALS COULD REACH 1 TO 2 INCHES AND CAUSE POOR DRAINAGE
AND POSSIBLY SMALLER STREAM FLOODING. IN ADDITION AS THE COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT, A LINE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS MIGHT FORM. WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL BE QUITE
STRONG. IF STRONGER SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO FORM, THIS IS
NOT A CERTAINTY AT THIS TIME, THEY WOULD MIX MORE OF THESE
STRONGER WINDS TO THE SURFACE. EVEN WITHOUT THE STORMS, THERE
COULD BE A ONE OR TWO HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS AFTER THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH LATER MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ009-010-012>027-PAZ060-067>071-
261100-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
350 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...EASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO
WILL PRODUCE A WIDESPREAD RAIN EVENT MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
STORM TOTALS COULD REACH 1 TO 2 INCHES AND CAUSE POOR DRAINAGE
AND POSSIBLY SMALLER STREAM FLOODING. IN ADDITION AS THE COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT, A LINE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS MIGHT FORM. WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL BE QUITE
STRONG. IF STRONGER SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO FORM, THIS IS
NOT A CERTAINTY AT THIS TIME, THEY WOULD MIX MORE OF THESE
STRONGER WINDS TO THE SURFACE. EVEN WITHOUT THE STORMS, THERE
COULD BE A ONE OR TWO HOUR PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS AFTER THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH LATER MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-261100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
350 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS COULD START MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH
GALE WARNINGS POSSIBLE FOR MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-261100-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
350 AM EST SUN NOV 25 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY EITHER MONDAY AFTERNOON
OR NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

TFG