Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Paducah, KY

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
259 AM CST TUE NOV 6 2007

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FORECAST ISSUES REVOLVE AROUND LOW HUMIDITY/STRONG WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON AND HARD FREEZE TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT SWEPT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON...TOUCHING
OFF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
EARLY THIS MORNING...THE FRONT HAS PUSHED WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE
AREA...WITH A 1035 MB CANADIAN HIGH OVER THE PLAINS BECOMING THE
DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE.

MAIN STORY TODAY WILL BE THE MUCH DRIER AIR MASS AMIDST A STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN. DEW POINTS ARE ALREADY IN THE LOWER TO
MID 20S AREA-WIDE. ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL ONLY PROMOTE FURTHER
MIXING OF DRY AIR TO THE SURFACE LATER TODAY...WITH AFTERNOON DEW
POINTS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE TEENS. COMBINED WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS...THIS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
AT LEAST A PART OF THE AREA. SPECIFICS WITH REGARD TO POTENTIAL
RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE ADDRESSED IN A SEPARATE FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION LATER THIS MORNING. A SCATTERING OF STRATOCUMULUS
CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP IN THE HEAT OF THE DAY EAST OF A MOUNT VERNON
ILLINOIS TO CADIZ KENTUCKY LINE...SO SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED IN THIS REGION.

THE SURFACE HIGH WILL STILL BE WEST OF THE AREA TONIGHT. AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES AND WINDS GO CALM THIS EVENING...STRONG
RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. LOWS ACROSS THE BOARD
WILL BE IN THE MID 20S...WITH LOWER 20S POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS
AND LOW-LYING AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.
AS A RESULT...A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR TONIGHT AS A
FOLLOW-UP TO THE FREEZE WATCH ISSUED YESTERDAY AFTERNOON.

PATTERN SHOULD REMAIN QUIET AND COOL WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT/CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY COME THROUGH
DRY THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH MOST OF THE PRECIP STAYING WELL TO OUR
NORTH AND EAST. THE NEXT SYSTEM TO BRING RAIN CHANCES WILL NOT COME
INTO PLAY UNTIL LATE NEXT WEEKEND AS ANOTHER FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE MOVE EAST FROM THE PLAINS.

OVER THE PAST WEEK...COLDEST GUIDANCE HAS GENERALLY BEEN THE WAY
TO GO...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. WITH THE MAV STILL THE WARM OUTLIER...
WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW A BLEND OF THE COOLER FWC/MET MOS. NO
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WERE NEEDED BEYOND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME CU/STRATO-CU MAY
AFFECT KEVV AND KOWB LATER TODAY. NW WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT TIMES
TODAY. A FEW GUSTS MAY EXCEED 20KTS. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO
5 KTS OR LESS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY
     FOR ALL COUNTIES.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL COUNTIES.

MO...FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY
     FOR ALL COUNTIES.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL COUNTIES.

IL...FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY
     FOR ALL COUNTIES.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL COUNTIES.

IN...FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM CST THIS EVENING /MIDNIGHT EST/ TO
     9 AM CST /10 AM EST/ WEDNESDAY FOR ALL COUNTIES.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL COUNTIES.

&&

PUBLIC...RJP
AVIATION...CN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
533 PM CST MON NOV 5 2007

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-061100-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
533 PM CST MON NOV 5 2007 /633 PM EST MON NOV 5 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND A
FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. REFER TO THE WATCH PRODUCTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ON VETERANS DAY...INCLUDING THE SMALL
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS COULD BE NEEDED VETERANS DAY IF THE SEVERE POTENTIAL COMES
TO FRUITION.