High Wind Watch 2, NWS Spokane, WA

000 
WWUS76 KOTX 090701
NPWOTX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1101 PM PST MON JAN 8 2007

IDZ002-003-WAZ032>036-043-044-091515-
/O.CON.KOTX.HW.A.0002.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
COEUR DALENE AREA-IDAHO PALOUSE-
LOWER GARFIELD AND ASOTIN COUNTIES-WASHINGTON PALOUSE-
MOSES LAKE AREA-UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-SPOKANE AREA-OKANOGAN VALLEY-
WATERVILLE PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COEUR DALENE...POST FALLS...HAYDEN...
MOSCOW...CLARKSTON...PULLMAN...MOSES LAKE...EPHRATA...OTHELLO...
QUINCY...RITZVILLE...COULEE DAM...ODESSA...ELECTRIC CITY...
WILBUR...GRAND COULEE...COULEE CITY...SPOKANE...OMAK...OKANOGAN...
BREWSTER...BRIDGEPORT...OROVILLE...WATERVILLE...MANSFIELD
1101 PM PST MON JAN 8 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 

SOUTH WINDS TUESDAY WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL CAUSE THE WINDS TO
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST AND ALLOW THE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

WAZ041-091515-
/O.CON.KOTX.HW.A.0002.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
WENATCHEE AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WENATCHEE
1101 PM PST MON JAN 8 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 

SOUTH WINDS TUESDAY INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A
STRONG COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL CAUSE THE WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND WEST AND ALLOW THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS OF 60 MPH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. THE
LOCATIONS MOST FAVORABLE TO RECEIVE HIGH WIND GUSTS WILL BE TO
THE NORTHEAST OF WENATCHEE NEAR MANSON AND CHELAN.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

WAZ042-091515-
/O.CON.KOTX.HW.A.0002.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
EAST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...MAZAMA...TWISP...WINTHROP
1101 PM PST MON JAN 8 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 

OVER THE MOUNTAINS SOUTH WINDS TUESDAY WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO
30 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL CAUSE
THE WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST AND ALLOW THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 3000 FEET
MSL.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST
50 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

000 
WWUS76 KOTX 091518
NPWOTX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
718 AM PST TUE JAN 9 2007

IDZ002-003-WAZ032>036-043-044-092015-
/O.CON.KOTX.HW.A.0002.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
COEUR DALENE AREA-IDAHO PALOUSE-
LOWER GARFIELD AND ASOTIN COUNTIES-WASHINGTON PALOUSE-
MOSES LAKE AREA-UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-SPOKANE AREA-OKANOGAN VALLEY-
WATERVILLE PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COEUR DALENE...POST FALLS...HAYDEN...
MOSCOW...CLARKSTON...PULLMAN...MOSES LAKE...EPHRATA...OTHELLO...
QUINCY...RITZVILLE...COULEE DAM...ODESSA...ELECTRIC CITY...
WILBUR...GRAND COULEE...COULEE CITY...SPOKANE...OMAK...OKANOGAN...
BREWSTER...BRIDGEPORT...OROVILLE...WATERVILLE...MANSFIELD
718 AM PST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN PASS THROUGH THE
REGION OVERNIGHT SHIFTING THE WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST INCREASING
SPEEDS TO 25 TO 35 MPH. A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN COLUMBIA
BASIN...PALOUSE...AND SPOKANE-COEUR DALENE AREA.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

WAZ041-092015-
/O.CON.KOTX.HW.A.0002.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
WENATCHEE AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WENATCHEE
718 AM PST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. A
STRONG COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL CAUSE THE WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE
WEST AND ALLOW THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH
THIS EVENING. THE LOCATIONS MOST FAVORABLE TO RECEIVE HIGH WIND
GUSTS WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST OF WENATCHEE NEAR MANSON AND
CHELAN.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

WAZ042-092015-
/O.CON.KOTX.HW.A.0002.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
EAST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...MAZAMA...TWISP...WINTHROP
718 AM PST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

OVER THE MOUNTAINS WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL CAUSE THE WINDS TO
SHIFT TO THE WEST AND ALLOW THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
OF 75 MPH THIS EVENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 3000 FEET.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. FOR THE MOUNTAINS SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST
50 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

000 
WWUS76 KOTX 091701
NPWOTX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
901 AM PST TUE JAN 9 2007

WAZ042-091815-
/O.CAN.KOTX.HW.A.0002.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
EAST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAVENWORTH...MAZAMA...TWISP...WINTHROP
901 AM PST TUE JAN 9 2007

...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WATCH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WILL STILL OCCUR OVER HIGHER MOUNTAINS AS A COLD FRONT
PASSES. HOWEVER THIS IS NOT A WIND GUSTS MEETING HIGH WIND
CRITERIA...THEREFORE THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

IDZ002-003-WAZ032>036-041-043-044-100115-
/O.UPG.KOTX.HW.A.0002.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KOTX.WI.Y.0003.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
COEUR DALENE AREA-IDAHO PALOUSE-
LOWER GARFIELD AND ASOTIN COUNTIES-WASHINGTON PALOUSE-
MOSES LAKE AREA-UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-SPOKANE AREA-WENATCHEE AREA-
OKANOGAN VALLEY-WATERVILLE PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COEUR DALENE...POST FALLS...HAYDEN...
MOSCOW...CLARKSTON...PULLMAN...MOSES LAKE...EPHRATA...OTHELLO...
QUINCY...RITZVILLE...COULEE DAM...ODESSA...ELECTRIC CITY...
WILBUR...GRAND COULEE...COULEE CITY...SPOKANE...WENATCHEE...
OMAK...OKANOGAN...BREWSTER...BRIDGEPORT...OROVILLE...WATERVILLE...
MANSFIELD
901 AM PST TUE JAN 9 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
PST WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SUSTAINED MAINLY SOUTHERLY WIND OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL SHOW A
GRADUAL INCREASE THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST ALLOW FOR WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES FROM WEST TO EAST
OVER THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AS THESE WIND GUSTS DO
NOT MEET HIGH WIND CRITERIA THE HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED
WITH A WIND ADVISORY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

IDZ026-027-WAZ037-100115-
/O.NEW.KOTX.WI.Y.0003.070110T0000Z-070110T0900Z/
LEWISTON AREA-LEWIS AND SOUTHERN NEZ PERCE COUNTIES-
NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISTON...KAMIAH...CRAIGMONT...
NEZPERCE...WINCHESTER...COLVILLE...DEER PARK...CHEWELAH...
NEWPORT...KETTLE FALLS
901 AM PST TUE JAN 9 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM
PST WEDNESDAY. 

SUSTAINED MAINLY SOUTHERLY WIND OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL SHOW A
GRADUAL INCREASE THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST ALLOW FOR WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES FROM WEST TO EAST
OVER THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1030 AM PST MON JAN 8 2007

.SYNOPSIS...QUIET WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY...BUT YET ANOTHER
WARM AND WINDY STORM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION ON TUESDAY.
AFTER THIS STORM MOVES THROUGH...THE STAGE IS SET FOR THE INVASION
OF A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS. THE COLD AIR WILL LIKELY PERSIST OVER THE
INLAND NORTHWEST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY AND TONIGHT...FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER TODAY AFTER A VERY ACTIVE
COUPLE OF DAYS. MAIN STORY FOR THIS PERIOD WILL REVOLVE AROUND
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT CURRENTLY OFF THE COAST. AS OF 06Z...THE
FRONT SEEMED TO BE NORTH OF WHERE THE MODELS PLACE IT AND THIS
COULD PROVE IMPORTANT BY LATER TODAY...AS THE FRONT SHOULD
CONTINUE TO BOW NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING TROF OUT NEAR
160W. THROUGH THIS MORNING...THE FRONT WILL BE A NON-PLAYER FOR
OUR WEATHER AND REALLY THE ONLY THREAT OF PRECIP WILL OCCUR OVER
THE IDAHO PANHANDLE THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS PRECIP IS FORMING AS A
RESULT OF SOME MODERATE SLANTWISE INSTABILITY AND A GOOD MOISTURE
FETCH THROUGH THE SFC-700 MB LAYER. LOOKS LIKE THE 00Z GFS HANDLED
THIS QUITE WELL AND SUGGESTS IT SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CWA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE THE FOCUS OF THE WEATHER WILL SHIFT
TO THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT.

NOT REAL COMFORTABLE WITH WHAT THE 00Z MODELS HAVE FORECAST AS
BOTH THE NAM AND GFS SEEM TO PLACE THIS FRONT TOO FAR SOUTH WHILE
ALSO SUGGESTING THERE SHOULD CURRENTLY BE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE
ENTIRE CASCADE CREST. THE CURRENT RADAR MOSAICS IN THE PACNW ARE
GENERALLY VOID OF PRECIP RENDERING THIS THOUGHT VOID AND GIVEN
LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE OFF THE COAST WE WOULD THINK THINGS WOULD
REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY. BY AFTERNOON THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO HEAD
INTO NW WA OR SW BC. MODEL FRONTOGENETIC FIELDS SUGGEST THE BRUNT
OF THE FRONT WILL SKIRT NORTH OF THE CWA AND SLIDE THROUGH BC.
THIS MAKES SENSE GIVEN THE DIGGING OFF THE COAST. NONETHELESS THE
MODELS WANT TO DROP PRECIP OVER MUCH OF THE CWA TODAY...DUE TO
WEAK/MODERATE ISENTROPIC ASCENT BUT THERE IS LITTLE IF ANY UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGING FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE
AREA OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT OVER BC...WE WILL
KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIP RESTRICTED TO THE NORTHERN TIER OF ZONES
AND CUT MOS POPS ELSEWHERE. 850 MB TEMPERATURE ADVECTION FIELDS
AND WINDS SUPPORT THIS NOTION...WHILE THE PERSISTENT 700 MB
WESTERLY WINDS AND SUBSEQUENT COLD AIR ADVECTION SIGNATURES OVER
THE CASCADES SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DECENT RAIN SHADOWS. AS
FOR PRECIP TYPE...LOOKS LIKE WE WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT WARMING
OVERNIGHT AS THE REGION ENTERS THE WARM SECTOR OF TUESDAYS STORM.
THUS MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL SEE A SWITCH FROM RAIN TO
SNOW...PROVIDED PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS IN THE FIRST PLACE.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...THIS WILL BE TRICKY FOR TODAY. WHILE WE WILL
SEE 2-5C OF COOLING AT THE 850 MB LEVEL TODAY...THE REAL STORY
WILL BE THE GREATLY REDUCED WINDS AND THE SUBSEQUENT LACK OF
MIXING POTENTIAL. MANY LOCATIONS PROBABLY SAW THEIR HIGH TEMPS AT
MIDNIGHT...HOWEVER DIURNAL RISES ARE STILL EXPECTED LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...THE QUESTION THEN IS HOW COOL WILL THINGS BE AROUND
SUNRISE. SURPRISINGLY THE GFS MOS TEMPS ARE WARMER THAN THE ETA
MOS...SOMETHING THAT IS QUITE RARE THESE DAYS...BUT SUSPECT WARMER
IS THE WAY TO GO. FOR TONIGHT TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE AS THE
WARM SECTOR PUSHES INTO THE REGION WHICH EQUATES TO ABOVE FREEZING
CONDITIONS FOR MOST VALLEYS. FX

TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES TO BE ACTIVE
EARLY THIS PERIOD...FOLLOWED BY A RELATIVELY DEEP PLUNGE INTO THE
ARCTIC AIR.  GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL LARGE
SCALE PATTERN EVOLUTION AND IS COMING MORE IN LINE ON THE SYNOPTIC
SCALE DETAILS.

TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...LOW PRESSURE NOW SEEN IN DEVELOPMENT IN THE
GULF OF AK WILL BE MOVING SOUTH AND MERGING WITH A SECOND LOW
DEVELOPING OFF VANCOUVER ISLAND PRIOR TO THIS PERIOD. ON TUESDAY THIS
CONSOLIDATED LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS JUST NORTH OF
THE WA BORDER AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN SASKATCHEWAN LATE TUESDAY
OVERNIGHT. THIS LOW DRAWS A STRONG COLD FRONT AND VIGOROUS S/W TROF
OVER THE REGION. EXACT TIMING STILL REMAINS INEXACT...GIVEN SOME
MODEL DIFFERENCES.  THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN ARE IN BEST OVERALL
AGREEMENT IN TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE.  THE NAM REMAINS THE
OUTLIER...BUT SEEMS TO BE TRENDING CLOSER TO THE OTHERS. FORECAST
GENERALLY CONTINUES TO FOLLOW THE GFS.  THE COLD FRONT (BY THE GFS
TRACK) COMES INTO THE NORTHERN CASCADES BY TUESDAY EVENING (00Z WED)
AND IS PUSHING TOWARD THE WA/ID PANHANDLE BORDER TOWARD MIDNIGHT.
DURING THE DAY THE REGION WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM...
WITH A MILD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.  THE MAIN FORCING DURING THE DAY IS
ISENTROPIC LIFT AND SOME UPSLOPE FLOW. THE BEST COMBINATION OF
ISENTROPIC LIFT/UPSLOPE AND MOISTURE WILL BE NEAR THE CREST OF THE
CASCADES AND THE NE WA AND ID PANHANDLE MTNS. AND IN THE WESTERLY
FLOW...A DECENT PWAT FETCH REMAINS INTACT BETWEEN 0.35 AND 0.50
INCHES. MUCH OF THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE HOWEVER (ABOVE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND OUTSIDE OF THE NORTHERN MTNS) DRIES OUT IN THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. SO BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN
THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS...WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES NEAR THE EASTERN
BASIN RISES.  BY EVENING...BETTER DYNAMIC AND MECHANICAL FORCING
COMES IN WITH THE FRONT AND UPPER WAVE AND THINGS BEGIN TO MOISTEN UP
THROUGH ALL LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS WILL INCREASE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGHOUT THE CWA...WITH MOST AREAS
WARRANTING AT LEAST LOW-END LIKELY POPS. HOWEVER...AREAS IN THE USUAL
SHADOW PRONE AREAS WILL SEE MAINLY CHANCE POPS.  AND WITH THE SPEED
OF THE FRONT IM NOT EXPECTING THERE TO BE A LONG PERIOD OF
PRECIPITATION TUESDAY NIGHT...OUTSIDE OF THE MORE FAVORED
MOUNTAINS...AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO COME INTO THE BASIN. MODELS HAVE
NOT BEEN DOING TOO WELL ON THE STRENGTH OF WARMING WITH SYSTEMS OVER
THE PAST COUPLE DAYS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS DID INITIALIZE AT TAD COOLER
THAN THE ACTUAL SOUNDING. THEY HAVE BEEN TRENDING MILDER WITH THE
SYSTEM THOUGH. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 4000 FEET ON
AVERAGE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH SOME AS HIGH AS 5000 IN THE
SOUTHEAST CWA...KEEPING PRECIPITATION GENERALLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN
OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS.  I ALSO RAISED AFTERNOON HIGHS ON
TUESDAY...MAKING THEM CLOSE TO OR A TAD HIGHER THAN WHAT WAS
REALIZED ON SUNDAY. THIS PUTS THE REGION WELL ABOVE NORMAL.  AFTER
THE FRONT COMES IN SNOW LEVELS WILL BE CRASHING TO GROUND LEVEL IN
PRETTY MUCH ALL PLACES AND THOSE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE A
THING OF MEMORY. BUT OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS (AGAIN) THERE WILL NOT BE A
LOT OF TIME FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW TO GET GOING FOR
THE VALLEYS BECAUSE OF THE COLD FRONT AND DRYING BEHIND IT. BUT A
BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION OVER THE EASTERN CWA
VALLEYS AT THE STORMS END FOR A QUICK HALF INCH OR SO (BUT ATTM IS
SEEMS EVEN THAT MIGHT BE MORE THAN WHAT COULD FALL). IN THE MTNS...
SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE A BIT HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS REQUIRE HIGHLIGHTS
SEEMS QUESTIONABLE. MAIN AREA THAT MAY COME CLOSE IS THE CASCADE
CREST. THE OTHER HIGHLIGHT POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE WINDS.
WITH A DEEPENING LOW MOVING JUST NORTH OF THE REGION AND A 60KT LLJ
JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...I DO EXPECT SOME HIGH WINDS. BEST HIGHER
WIND THREAT WILL BE IN THE EVENING AND EARLY OVERNIGHT WITH THE COLD
FRONT PASSAGE...WHERE THERE WILL BE THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR MIXING
DOWN SOME OF THE HIGHER LEVELS.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND ADVISORIES OR PERHAPS HIGH WIND WARNINGS...
SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS IN PLACE ON SUNDAY ACROSS CHELAN/DOUGLAS COUNTY
INTO THE BASIN AND EASTERN BASIN RISES.

WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE
INTO THE REGION WITH A NORTHERLY FLOW BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE.
MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT A WEAK SFC LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE
UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN DURING THE DAY AND DROPPING SOUTHWARD BY
NIGHT...BEFORE SFC HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO MOVE IN. THIS WILL
INCREASE THE RISK FOR SOME SNOW SHOWERS AGAIN WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE BLUES...CENTRAL PANHANDLE....
PALOUSE AND SPOKANE/CDA AREA. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THIS FOR A
QUICK ACCUMULATION OF SNOW AND MAYBE LCL ADVISORY AMOUNTS.  AS A
BROAD RIDGE AMPLIFIES INTO THE GULF OF AK...THE BROAD UPPER LOW/TROF
STARTS TO SAG SOUTH AND THE NORTHERLY FLOW INCREASES OVER THE REGION.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DECREASE EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THIS
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL REALLY OPEN THE DOOR FOR THE ARCTIC INTRUSION.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...MANY AREAS WILL BE DROPPING
INTO THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE BROAD UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SAG
SOUTH TOWARD THE GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES WHILE AN UPPER RIDGE FLOPS
OVER THE PAC NW. THIS WILL DRY AND CLEAR THINGS OUT THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. ON THE WEEKEND...MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE SOME INCONSISTENCIES
IN BRINGING A WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW. BUT IT HAS BEEN
DEPICTED IN SOME FOR A FEW RUNS NOW...SO SOME POPS ARE WARRANTED.
OTHERWISE IT WILL REMAIN COLD./JCOTE

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER MOST OF E WA
AND N ID THRU AT LEAST 00Z TUE.  A WARM FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE
REGION OVERNIGHT GRADUALLY LOWERING CIGS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE CWA OR NORTH OF A KPUW-KMWH LINE. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE LCL -RA/-SN AND PSBL MVFR CIGS/VSBYS BTWN 00Z-06Z. AFT THE
FRONT MOVES N INTO BC...WE WILL SEE A WDPSRD DECK OF MVFR/IFR
STRATUS FORM OVER MUCH OF THE COLUMBIA BASIN...PALOUSE...AND INTO
THE KGEG-KCOE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SPOKANE        37  33  46  25  26  10 /  20  20  20  60  30  20
COEUR DALENE  36  31  47  26  27  10 /  20  30  20  60  40  20
PULLMAN        42  37  47  30  30  11 /  20  10  10  60  40  30
LEWISTON       50  39  51  33  35  18 /  20  20  10  50  40  30
COLVILLE       36  31  42  19  26   5 /  30  30  20  60  20  20
SANDPOINT      40  31  41  25  26   9 /  30  40  20  60  40  20
KELLOGG        34  31  40  24  26   5 /  40  30  20  70  50  30
MOSES LAKE     43  34  53  28  32  11 /  10  10  10  50  20  20
WENATCHEE      42  33  51  23  30  12 /  10  10  10  50  20  20
OMAK           37  32  53  20  26   2 /  20  40  20  50  20  20

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
WA...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
350 AM PST MON JAN 8 2007

IDZ001>004-026-027-WAZ031>038-041>044-091200-
NORTHERN PANHANDLE-COEUR DALENE AREA-IDAHO PALOUSE-
CENTRAL PANHANDLE MOUNTAINS-LEWISTON AREA-
LEWIS AND SOUTHERN NEZ PERCE COUNTIES-NORTHEAST BLUE MOUNTAINS-
LOWER GARFIELD AND ASOTIN COUNTIES-WASHINGTON PALOUSE-
MOSES LAKE AREA-UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-SPOKANE AREA-
NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS-OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS-WENATCHEE AREA-
EAST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES-OKANOGAN VALLEY-WATERVILLE PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDPOINT...RATHDRUM...BONNERS FERRY...
PRIEST RIVER...COEUR DALENE...POST FALLS...HAYDEN...MOSCOW...
ST. MARIES...KELLOGG...PINEHURST...OSBURN...WALLACE...MULLAN...
LEWISTON...KAMIAH...CRAIGMONT...NEZPERCE...WINCHESTER...ANATONE...
PEOLA...CLARKSTON...PULLMAN...MOSES LAKE...EPHRATA...OTHELLO...
QUINCY...RITZVILLE...COULEE DAM...ODESSA...ELECTRIC CITY...
WILBUR...GRAND COULEE...COULEE CITY...SPOKANE...COLVILLE...
DEER PARK...CHEWELAH...NEWPORT...KETTLE FALLS...REPUBLIC...
INCHELIUM...WENATCHEE...LEAVENWORTH...MAZAMA...TWISP...WINTHROP...
OMAK...OKANOGAN...BREWSTER...BRIDGEPORT...OROVILLE...WATERVILLE...
MANSFIELD
350 AM PST MON JAN 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH
IDAHO...NORTH CENTRAL IDAHO...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...EAST CENTRAL
WASHINGTON...NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON...NORTHEAST WASHINGTON AND
SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTIVE WEATHER WILL BE FOUND THROUGH
TONIGHT. MAINLY MOUNTAIN SNOW WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS AND
ISOLATED VALLEY RAIN WILL BE FOUND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE NEXT STORM WILL ARRIVE ON TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY BY LATE
AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING...WITH MAINLY MOUNTAIN SNOW AND VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A SURGE
OF MUCH COLDER AIR INTO THE INLAND NORTHWEST FROM CANADA FOR THE
LATER HALF OF THE WEEK.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
735 AM PST MON JAN 08 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SW CHELAN             47.79N 120.13W
01/07/2007  M46.00 MPH       CHELAN             WA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WASHINGTON DOT. ELEVATION 1329 FT.

1220 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SSE FRUITLAND        47.94N 118.09W
01/07/2007  M47.00 MPH       STEVENS            WA   MESONET

            MIDNIGHT MINE RAWS. ELEVATION 2693 FT.

1225 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 W COULEE DAM         47.97N 119.20W
01/07/2007  M46.00 MPH       DOUGLAS            WA   MESONET

            WASHINGTON DOT. ELEVATION 2562 FT.

1250 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNW EAST PORTAL       47.45N 115.67W
01/07/2007  M46.00 MPH       MINERAL            MT   MESONET

            MULLAN PASS ASOS. ELEVATION 6001 FT.

0110 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 N WORLEY              47.44N 116.92W
01/07/2007  M53.00 MPH       KOOTENAI           ID   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND GUSTS SATURDAY 2AM76 MPH

0115 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 W CHELAN              47.84N 120.09W
01/07/2007                   CHELAN             WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS ALONG COLUMBIA RIVER SR97A OF 70-80
            MPH. ROCK SLIDES ON ROAD WITH ROCKS THE SIZE OF VW
            BEETLES

0120 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S MOSCOW              46.65N 117.00W
01/07/2007  E43.00 MPH       LATAH              ID   MESONET

            REISENAUER HILL. ELEVATION 2940 FT.

0130 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE COULEE DAM        47.95N 118.95W
01/07/2007  M44.00 MPH       OKANOGAN           WA   MESONET

            AGRIMET STATION. ELEVATION 1324 FT.

0145 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE LINCOLN            47.89N 118.34W
01/07/2007  M44.00 MPH       LINCOLN            WA   MESONET

            SEVEN BAYS. ELEVATION 1374 FT.

0155 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E CARLTON             48.25N 120.00W
01/07/2007  M53.00 MPH       OKANOGAN           WA   MESONET

            LEECHER RAWS. ELEVATION 4991 FT.

0200 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST LEAVENWORTH             47.61N 120.70W
01/07/2007  E46.00 MPH       CHELAN             WA   MESONET

            TUMWATER MT. ELEVATION 4278

0214 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 S EAST WENATCHEE      47.32N 120.29W
01/07/2007  M64.00 MPH       CHELAN             WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0216 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST WENATCHEE               47.43N 120.32W
01/07/2007  M64.00 MPH       CHELAN             WA   ASOS

0228 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MANSON                  47.88N 120.15W
01/07/2007  M74.00 MPH       CHELAN             WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0235 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MANSFIELD               47.81N 119.64W
01/07/2007  M48.00 MPH       DOUGLAS            WA   MESONET

            WASHINGTON DOT.

0239 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST WENATCHEE               47.43N 120.32W
01/07/2007  M72.00 MPH       CHELAN             WA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            PANGBORN MEMORIAL AIRPORT.

0300 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW LEAVENWORTH        47.61N 120.70W
01/07/2007  M67.00 MPH       CHELAN             WA   MESONET

            TUMWATER MOUNTAIN. ELEVATION 4278 FT.

0305 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E OSBURN              47.51N 115.94W
01/07/2007  M46.00 MPH       SHOSHONE           ID   MESONET

            NUCKOLS RAWS. ELEVATION 4000 FT.

0350 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W MOSCOW              46.74N 117.11W
01/07/2007  M41.00 MPH       WHITMAN            WA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            PULLMAN/MOSCOW AIRPORT. ELEVATION 2556 FT.

0405 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 13 ESE BAYVIEW          47.88N 116.30W
01/07/2007  M54.00 MPH       SHOSHONE           ID   MESONET

            MAGEE PEAK RAWS. ELEVATION 4856.

0430 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 11 WSW EWEN             47.04N 117.95W
01/07/2007  M50.00 MPH       WHITMAN            WA   MESONET

            EXCURE RAWS. ELEVATION 1653 FT.

0445 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 W POST FALLS          47.71N 117.02W
01/07/2007  M45.00 MPH       KOOTENAI           ID   MESONET

            IDAHO DOT. ELEVATION 2201 FT.

0510 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 NNW MANSON           48.02N 120.23W
01/07/2007  M69.00 MPH       CHELAN             WA   MESONET

            CAMP 4 RAWS. ELEVATION 3600 FT.

0620 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ESE ENTIAT            47.65N 120.15W
01/07/2007  M45.00 MPH       DOUGLAS            WA   MESONET

            WASHINGTON DOT. ELEVATION 2159 FT.

0635 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE COULEE DAM         47.93N 118.93W
01/07/2007  M41.00 MPH       LINCOLN            WA   MESONET

            SPRING CANYON RAWS. ELEVATION 1340 FT.

0745 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E DOUGLAS             47.62N 119.90W
01/07/2007  M51.00 MPH       DOUGLAS            WA   MESONET

            RAWS AT ELEVATION 2530 FT.

0755 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ESE AIRWAY HEIGHTS    47.62N 117.53W
01/07/2007  M41.00 MPH       SPOKANE            WA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            SPOKANE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ASOS. ELEVATION 2372 FT.

0755 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 12 SE WINCHESTER        47.10N 119.56W
01/07/2007  M54.00 MPH       GRANT              WA   MESONET

            WASHINGTON DOT. DODSON ROAD. ELEVATION 1152 FT.

&&

SBODNAR