Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS New York, NY

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 131006 CCA
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
503 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON ON TAP FOR TONIGHT THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.A STORM MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF STATES THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS LATER TODAY. A SECONDARY
STORM WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT...AND
THIS COMPLEX STORM WILL MOVE ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS AREAS SOUTH AND
WEST OF NEW YORK CITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD THE REST OF THE AREA BY THIS EVENING.

NYZ067-131800-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
ORANGE-
503 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY. AS WARMER AIR
MOVES INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH
SLEET DURING THE DAY...POSSIBLY CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET FOR A
BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE
TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 11 TO 18 INCHES.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ002-NYZ068-131800-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
503 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE
DAY...POSSIBLY CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF
TIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 8 TO 14 INCHES.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-131800-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
503 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE
DAY...POSSIBLY CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN FOR A
BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE
TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 8 TO 14 INCHES...WITH
ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION POSSIBLE DURING PERIODS
OF FREEZING RAIN.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ006-NJZ003>005-NYZ069-070-131800-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
503 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE
DAY...POSSIBLY CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN FOR A
BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE
TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH
ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION POSSIBLE DURING PERIODS
OF FREEZING RAIN.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ012-NYZ077>081-131800-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
503 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL BE MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE DAY.
AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE
MIXING WITH SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THIS MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE
TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET 
ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM
2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LITTLE ICE ACCRETION DURING PERIODS OF
FREEZING RAIN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007>011-NJZ006-011-NYZ071>076-131800-
/O.COR.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-
503 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL BE MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND POSSIBLY MIXING WITH RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE MIXED
PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING
OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS
BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 7
INCHES...WITH ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION DURING
PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS. SHOULD THE TRACK OF THE LOW RESULT IN HIGHER SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WOULD HAVE TO BE
UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

MPS

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 131757
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON ON TAP FOR TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.A STORM MOVING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WILL 
TRACK NORTHEAST AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. AT THE
SAME TIME...A SECONDARY LOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST COAST...RAPIDLY DEEPENING OVERNIGHT...THEN TRACKING
NORTHEAST ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS AREAS SOUTH AND WEST OF NEW YORK
CITY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL OVERSPREAD THE TRI-STATE AREA THIS
EVENING.

NYZ067-132200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
ORANGE-
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY. AS WARMER AIR
MOVES INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH
SLEET DURING THE DAY...POSSIBLY CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET FOR A
BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE
TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 11 TO 18 INCHES.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ002-NYZ068-132200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE DAY...
POSSIBLY CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. AS
THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 8 TO 14 INCHES.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-132200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE DAY...
POSSIBLY CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD OF TIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE
TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 8 TO 14 INCHES...
WITH ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION POSSIBLE DURING
PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ006-NJZ003>005-NYZ069-070-132200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET DURING THE DAY...
POSSIBLY CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD OF TIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE
TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES...
WITH ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION POSSIBLE DURING
PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ012-NYZ077>081-132200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL BE MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN DURING THE DAY.
AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE
MIXING WITH SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THIS MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE
TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM
2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LITTLE ICE ACCRETION DURING PERIODS OF
FREEZING RAIN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007>011-NJZ006-011-NYZ071>076-132200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY EARLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING
STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL BE MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND POSSIBLY MIXING WITH RAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE MIXED
PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING
OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS
BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 7
INCHES...WITH ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION DURING
PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS. SHOULD THE TRACK OF THE LOW RESULT IN HIGHER SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WOULD HAVE TO BE
UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM WARNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 132131
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
431 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON ON TAP FOR TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.A STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS EVENING
WILL DISSIPATE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY LATER TONIGHT...GIVING WAY
TO A SECONDARY LOW FORMING ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS
COASTAL LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY AS IT TRACKS NORTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD.
LIGHT SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE TRI-STATE AREA THIS EVENING...
BECOMING HEAVIER OVERNIGHT AND EVENTUALLY MIXING WITH SLEET...
FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN.

NYZ067-140545-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
ORANGE-
431 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING...
BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET OVER
SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY DURING THE DAY...POSSIBLY
CHANGING ENTIRELY TO SLEET FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME. OVER THE
NORTHWEST PORTIONS...SNOW WILL BE THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION
TYPE...THUS RESULTING IN HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS. AS THE STORM 
MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR
FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION
ENDS WILL RANGE FROM 8 INCHES IN SOUTHEAST CORNER TO 18 INCHES IN
THE FAR NORTHWEST PART OF THE COUNTY.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ002-NYZ068-140545-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
431 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING...
BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN BY NOONTIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE
AREA...THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE
TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM
6 TO 10 INCHES. 

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-140545-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
431 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING...
BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN BY MID MORNING...POSSIBLY CHANGING TO ALL RAIN SOUTH
OF DANBURY. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE PRECIPITATION
WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME
THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH
ABOUT A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE PRIMARILY NORTH OF DANBURY.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ006-NJZ003>005-NYZ069-070-140545-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
431 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING...
BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN BY DAYBREAK AND THEN CHANGEOVER TO PRIMARILY RAIN BY
NOONTIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE RAIN WILL
CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ABOUT A
TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION POSSIBLE.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF
THE LOW...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ012-NYZ077>081-140545-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
431 PM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING...
BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER TONIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO
THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN...CHANGING TO ALL RAIN BY DAYBREAK. AS THE
STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING AND COLDER AIR
FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR EVEN CHANGE
TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM
1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH SOME LIGHT ICE ACCRETION POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007>011-NJZ006-011-NYZ071>076-140545-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.070213T2300Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 140500
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1200 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON ON TAP FOR OVERNIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST WILL
RAPIDLY DEEPEN OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY AS IT
TRACKS NORTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. A LIGHT MIXTURE OF
SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION...BECOMING HEAVIER OVERNIGHT...THEN CHANGING TO RAIN ALONG THE
COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY CHANGING BACK
TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

NYZ067-141300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
ORANGE-
1200 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVIER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...LIKELY MIXING
WITH OR CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVER SOUTHEAST PORTIONS
OF THE COUNTY TOWARDS WEDNESDAY MORNING. OVER THE NORTHWEST
PORTIONS...SNOW WILL BE THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION TYPE...THUS
RESULTING IN HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE
NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO
THE AREA...ANY MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW
BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS WILL RANGE
FROM 8 INCHES IN SOUTHEAST CORNER WITH UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH
ICE ACCRETION...TO 18 INCHES IN THE FAR NORTHWEST PART OF THE
COUNTY.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ002-NYZ068-141300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
1200 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW WILL BECOMING STEADIER AND HEAVIER OVERNIGHT...MIXING
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE
AREA...THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE
TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH ICE ACCRETION.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-141300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
1200 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER
OVERNIGHT...MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...AND POSSIBLY
CHANGING TO ALL RAIN SOUTH OF DANBURY ON WEDNESDAY. AS THE STORM
MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR
FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO
ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS
COULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ABOUT A QUARTER OF AN INCH
OF ICE ACCRETION. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE PRIMARILY
NORTH OF DANBURY.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ006-NJZ003>005-NYZ069-070-141300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1200 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STEADIER
AND HEAVIER OVERNIGHT. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY...THE SNOW WILL LIKELY CHANGEOVER TO PRIMARILY RAIN BY
NOONTIME. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE RAIN WILL
CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ABOUT A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION POSSIBLE.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ012-NYZ077>081-141300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1200 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME STEADIER AND
HEAVIER OVERNIGHT. AS WARMER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE
REGION THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY
DAYBREAK. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING
AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA...THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR
EVEN CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW
AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD
RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ICE ACCRETION UP TO ONE QUARTER
INCH POSSIBLE.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007>011-NJZ006-011-NYZ071>076-141300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-
1200 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

LIGHT SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME STEADIER AND
HEAVIER OVERNIGHT...CHANGING TO ALL RAIN BY MID MORNING AS WARMER
AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. AS THE STORM MOVES TO THE
NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK INTO THE
AREA...THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR EVEN CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE
ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE
TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH
ICE ACCRETION UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 140917
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
417 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON ON TAP THROUGH THIS 
EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE VIRGINIA COAST...WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN
AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST TO NEAR CAPE COD BY THIS EVENING...AND TO
EASTERN MAINE BY THURSDAY MORNING. A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE TRI-STATE...WILL CHANGE OVER TO MAINLY
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THIS MORNING...FOR ALL BUT PORTIONS OF THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT
COAST...EASTERN LONG ISLAND...AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WESTERN
LONG ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY...WILL CHANGE OVER TO MAINLY...IF
NOT ALL RAIN BY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY CHANGE BACK
TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY EVENING.

NJZ003>005-141730-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.IS.W.0001.070214T0917Z-070214T2300Z/
BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-
417 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL
BECOME A BLEND OF SLEET AND PRIMARILY FREEZING RAIN BY MID
MORNING...THEN TRANSITION BACK TO ALL SNOW BY LATE AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END. AS A RESULT EXPECT TOTAL
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...AND FROM A HALF AN
INCH TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION BEFORE
PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

$$

NJZ006-011-NYZ071>073-141730-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.IS.W.0001.070214T0917Z-070214T2300Z/
HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
417 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL
BECOME A BLEND OF SLEET AND PRIMARILY FREEZING RAIN BY MID
MORNING...THEN TRANSITION BACK TO ALL SNOW BY LATE AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END. AS A RESULT EXPECT TOTAL
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...AND FROM A HALF AN
INCH TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION BEFORE
PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST
ICING IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE BRONX AND MANHATTAN.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

$$

NYZ067-141730-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
ORANGE-
417 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A MIXTURE OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN CHANGE TO ALL SNOW
BY LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END AS
COLDER AIR RETURNS AS THE STORM DEPARTS. SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF
THE COUNTY WILL HAVE MORE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXED IN WITH
THE SNOW...AND MAY EVEN SWITCH OVER TO ALL SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN
AT TIMES. OVER NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY...WHILE SNOW WILL
BE THE PREDOMINATE PRECIPITATION TYPE...THERE COULD BE PERIODS OF
TIME WHEN PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL SLEET. AS COLDER AIR WORKS
BACK INTO THE REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE
TO ALL SNOW BEFORE ENDING BY EARLY EVENING. AS A RESULT THERE WILL
BE A LARGE VARIATION IN SNOW TOTALS ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY...WITH UP
TO 15 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IN THE NORTHWEST AND AROUND 7
INCHES OF SNOW IN THE SOUTHEAST. IN ADDITION SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE COUNTY COULD SEE A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCRETION.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED
POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ068>070-141730-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
417 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING...WILL
BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND LIKELY
WILL TRANSITION TO A MIXTURE OF JUST SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
AROUND MIDDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW
BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING WEDNESDAY EVENING. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH A QUARTER TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED
POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ011-012-NYZ079-081-141730-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
417 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME MORE STEADY
DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE...THEN CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY LATE MORNING
AS WARMER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. AS COLDER AIR
FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY...THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR EVEN
CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY EVENING. TOTAL SNOW AND
SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE
FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ICE ACCRETION UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH
POSSIBLE.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007>010-NYZ074>078-080-141730-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
417 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVIER AND CHANGE OVER
TO JUST A SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIX DURING THE MORNING
COMMUTE...AND THEN MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO ALL RAIN BY AROUND MIDDAY
AS WARMER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. AS THE STORM
MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING AND COLDER AIR FLOWS BACK
INTO THE AREA...THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE
ENDING WEDNESDAY EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM
1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ICE ACCRETION OF A TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH
POSSIBLE.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IN ADDITION...ICE
ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS COULD LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING
TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$


MALOIT

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 141508
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1008 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON ON TAP THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE SOUTHER NEW JERSEY COAST...WILL RAPIDLY
DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST TO NEAR CAPE COD BY THIS
EVENING...AND TO EASTERN MAINE BY THURSDAY MORNING. A MIXTURE OF
SNOW...SLEET... AND FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE TRI-STATE...WILL
CHANGE OVER TO MAINLY FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THIS MORNING...FOR
ALL BUT PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. PRIMARILY RAIN WILL
FALL ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND. PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY CHANGE
BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING THIS EVENING.

CTZ007>011-NYZ074>076-142200-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070214T2200Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL FALL THROUGH
MOST OF THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL DURING THE MORNING HOURS. ICE ACCRETION OF
ONE-HALF TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE. AS COLDER AIR
FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA TOWARD EVENING...THE PRECIPITATION MAY
MIX WITH OR EVEN CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING IN THE EVENING.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

$$

NYZ077-078-142200-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070214T2200Z/
NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL FALL
THROUGH MOST OF THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL DURING THE MORNING HOURS. ICE ACCRETION OF
UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IS POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ICING
ACROSS NORTHERN NASSAU AND NORTHWEST SUFFOLK. AS COLDER AIR FLOWS
BACK INTO THE AREA TOWARD EVENING...THE PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH
OR EVEN CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING IN THE EVENING.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

$$

NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>073-142200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070214T2200Z/
BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE ICE STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

FREEZING RAIN...MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL FALL THROUGH
MOST OF THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL DURING THE MORNING HOURS. ICE ACCRETION OF
ONE-HALF TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE. AS COLDER AIR
FLOWS BACK INTO THE AREA TOWARD EVENING...THE PRECIPITATION MAY
MIX WITH OR EVEN CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING IN THE EVENING.

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

$$

NYZ067-142315-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
ORANGE-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A MIXTURE OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN
WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN CHANGE TO ALL SNOW
BY LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END AS
COLDER AIR RETURNS AS THE STORM DEPARTS. SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF
THE COUNTY WILL HAVE MORE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXED IN WITH
THE SNOW...AND MAY EVEN SWITCH OVER TO ALL SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN
AT TIMES. OVER NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY...WHILE SNOW WILL
BE THE PREDOMINATE PRECIPITATION TYPE...THERE COULD BE PERIODS OF
TIME WHEN PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL SLEET. AS COLDER AIR WORKS
BACK INTO THE REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON...PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BEFORE ENDING BY EARLY EVENING. AS A RESULT
THERE WILL BE A LARGE VARIATION IN SNOW TOTALS ACROSS ORANGE
COUNTY...WITH UP TO 15 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IN THE NORTHWEST
AND AROUND 7 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE SOUTHEAST. IN ADDITION
SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY COULD SEE A TENTH TO A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE
DANGER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ068>070-142315-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING...WILL
BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND LIKELY
WILL TRANSITION TO A MIXTURE OF JUST SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
AROUND MIDDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW
BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION ENDS COULD RANGE FROM
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH A QUARTER TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE
DANGER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ012-NYZ079-081-142315-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A MIXTURE OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN WILL BECOME MORE
STEADY AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. PRIMARILY RAIN WILL
FALL ACROSS THE EASTERN END OF LONG ISLAND. AS COLDER AIR FLOWS
BACK INTO THE AREAS TOWARDS THIS EVENING...THE PRECIPITATION MAY
MIX WITH OR EVEN CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING WEDNESDAY
EVENING. ICE ACCRETION FROM ONE-TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH
POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NYZ080-142315-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1008 AM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

A MIXTURE OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN WILL BECOME MORE
STEADY AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AS COLDER AIR FLOWS
BACK INTO THE AREAS TOWARDS THIS EVENING...THE PRECIPITATION MAY
MIX WITH OR EVEN CHANGE TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING THIS EVENING.
ICE ACCRETION FROM ONE-TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF WARM
AIR MOVING IN ALOFT...WHICH WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION
TYPE AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. STRONG WINDS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. IN ADDITION...ICE
ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS COULD LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND
FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 142105
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
405 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM COMING TO AN END...

.THE STRONG COASTAL LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT
WINTER WEATHER EVENT FOR THE TRI-STATE AREA WILL BE MOVING UP
INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING. ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION
WILL COME TO AN END BY DARK.

CTZ007>011-NJZ003>006-011-NYZ071>078-142215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.IS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070214T2200Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-
ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
405 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE ICE STORM
WARNING. 

THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS COMING TO AN
END ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SCATTERED 
SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT
ON GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-142215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
405 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS COMING TO AN
END ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT ON
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.


$$

CTZ012-NYZ079>081-142215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070215T0300Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
405 PM EST WED FEB 14 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS COMING TO AN
END ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW THROUGH 5 PM...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN INITIALLY...
OTHERWISE CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT ON GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. LITTLE
OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
830 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTRY MIX EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.NEAR TERM (TONIGHT)...
COLD FRONT SLIDES SOUTH OF THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT WITH CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND. COULD BE AN
ISOLATED FLURRY BEFORE MIDNIGHT...BUT NOT WORTH MENTIONING IN THE
FCST. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH COLD FRONT THIS EVENING WILL GIVE WAY
TO PARTIAL CLEARING FROM N TO S AFTER 06Z. COLDER AIR WILL BE
USHERED INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S.

FORECAST ON TRACK WITH ONLY MINOR TWEAKS BASED ON LATEST
OBS/SAT/RAD/MOD DATA.
&&

.SHORT TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT AS TO THE EVOLUTION
OF THE UPCOMING EAST COAST SYSTEM. NAM/GFS BOTH SHOW NRN STREAM
ENERGY COMING OVER THE APPALACHIANS...EVENTUALLY PHASING WITH SRN
STREAM ENERGY COMING OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. STILL SOME VARIATIONS
AS TO THE TIMING AND POSITIONING OF THIS PHASING. MUCH OF THE
GUIDANCE NOW DOES SHOW A SFC LOW TRACK NEAR THE BENCHMARK WED
EVENING...ALTHOUGH THE PREFERRED NAM/GEM KEEP MORE ENERGY SEPARATE
FOR A LONGER PERIOD ALONG THE COAST IN THE NRN STREAM SYSTEM BEFORE
PHASING IT OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...STILL LOOKING FOR MAINLY A MIX TUE
NIGHT CHANGING TO RAIN WED FOR COASTAL SECTIONS. THIS WILL BE DUE TO
THE LACK OF COLD AIR REMAINING IN PLACE. UPPER PATTERN OVER ERN
CANADA...WITH CONFLUENCE SHIFTING OFFSHORE...AND SFC PATTERN WITH
ANTICYCLONES FAR REMOVED FROM THE NORTHEAST STATES...DOES NOT FAVOR
THE COLD AIR STAYING AROUND TOO LONG. MODELS SHOW A STRONG SOUTHERLY
850 MB JET DEVELOPING TUE NIGHT AS THE PARENT 850 CENTER MOVES EAST
OF THE APPALACHIANS. THIS DRIVES WARMER AIR INTO THE REGION ALOFT.
NAM DOES HOLD THE COLD AIR IN AT THE SFC FOR A WHILE INTO WED
MORNING...BUT THIS EVENTUALLY ERODES AS WELL IN THE FACE OF THE
MARITIME WIND FETCH.

BOTTOM LINE FOR THE FCST AREA IS A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW INITIALLY
TUE EVENING...MIXING WITH AND THEN CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN VERY LATE TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY WED AM...AND FINALLY CHANGING TO
ALL RAIN FOR COASTAL SECTIONS BY MID MORNING WED. FURTHER INLAND...
SFC COLD AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE LONGER ALLOWING FOR MORE SNOW/SLEET
ACCUM. LOOKING FOR 1-3 INCHES OF SLUSHY SNOW/SLEET ON NYC AND LONG
ISLAND...2-4 INCHES IN INLAND NE NJ AND MOST OF SRN CT...3-5 INCHES
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NRN FAIRFIELD...AND 4-8 INCHES IN ORANGE
COUNTY. LARGER CONCERN FOR MUCH OF THE AREA WILL BE FREEZING RAIN
DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON WED. NOT LOOKING FOR HEAVY ICING...
BUT COULD SEE AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH WHICH WOULD CAUSE TRANSPORT
PROBLEMS. EXPECTED WX SCENARIO REQUIRES NO CHANGE TO EXISTING WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR ORANGE COUNTY. MUCH OF THE REST OF THE AREA WILL
LIKELY NEED WINTER WX ADVISORIES FOR TUE NIGHT AND WED MORNING...BUT
WILL LEAVE ISSUANCE OF THOSE TO LATER SHIFTS.

COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE LOW PRESSURE LATE WED. GFS BRINGS
THIS IN FASTER THAN THE NAM...BUT BOTH MODELS SHOW RAPID DEEPENING
EAST OF CAPE COD. PRECIP WILL LIKELY CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW
SOMETIME LATE WED AFTERNOON OR EARLY WED EVENING...BUT QPF WILL BE
SHIFTING EAST OF THE REGION BY THEN AND NOT LOOKING FOR MAJOR ACCUMS
ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS EVENT. ALL PRECIP ENDS WED NIGHT...THEN THU
SHOULD BE DRY UNDER CHILLY NW FLOW.

FOR TEMPS...USED BLEND OF MOS FOR TONIGHT AND TUE...THEN USED
MODIFIED VERSION OF HIGHER RES NAM 2M TEMPS FOR TUE NIGHT INTO WED
TO REFLECT RISING TEMPS TUE NIGHT AND TRENDS FOR WED AS LOW PASSES
BY.
&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE WEATHER WILL BE QUIET THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND THE FIRST
HALF OF THE WEEKEND.

STRONG NW WINDS ON THUR NIGHT WILL RESULT IN NIGHT TEMPS IN THE
TEENS AND MAX TEMPS ON FRIDAY IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30
DEGREES...WITH A SLIGHT WARM UP TO MID 30S BY SAT AS WINDS SHIFT
AROUND TO A MORE OF A WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SYSTEM. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL APPROACH SUNDAY...AT THIS TIME
IT LOOKS LIKE THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO OUR COLD NORTHERN ZONES
AND A MIX OF SNOW AND RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES. DRY WEATHER
RETURNS MONDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS AT AREA TERMINALS TONIGHT WITH BKN 8-10 KFT DECK
ACCOMPANYING ARCTIC TROUGH SLIDING THROUGH THE AREA. SKIES SHOULD
SCT FROM N TO S AFTER 06Z AS ARCTIC BOUNDARY PUSHES FARTHER SOUTH
AND WITH SUBSIDENCE IN WAKE OF IT...WITH ONLY PERHAPS CITY TERMINALS
HOLDING ONTO BKN MID-DECK.

7 TO 11 KT NORTHWEST WINDS...WILL BECOME NORTH TOWARDS MORNING AS
HIGH PRESSURE NOSES TOWARDS THE REGION...THEN NE 8 TO 12 KT DURING
LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON...TO ENE 12 TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING.
HIGHEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST. WINDS AT KLGA MAY BE ABOUT 3 TO 5 KT
STRONGER THAN THIS DUE TO FUNNELING DOWN LI SOUND.

MID-DECK AND THEN LOW VFR STRATO-CU INCREASE TUES AFTERNOON WITH WAA
AHEAD OF DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. EXPECT LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 20Z AND 24Z ACROSS
WESTERN TERMINALS WITH INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT...WITH CONDITIONS
DROPPING TO MVFR. LOW MVFR CONDITIONS DEVELOP FROM W TO E DURING THE
00Z TO 06Z PERIOD AS LIGHT SNOW OVERSPREAD THE REGION.
&&

.MARINE...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE WATERS TONIGHT...WITH A WIND
SHIFT TO THE NORTH. HAVE INCREASED WINDS AND GUSTS...TO JUST
BELOW SCA ACROSS OCEAN AND EASTERN SOUND WITH LOW-LEVEL CAA BEHIND
THE FRONT. LOOKS LIKE WINDS TURN NORTHEAST AS RIDGE BUILDS SOUTHWARD
TUESDAY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. THEN AS STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES LATER TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDS FROM THE EAST
WILL INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS. CONFIDENCE HIGH FOR SMALL
CRAFT...BUT NOT QUITE AS HIGH FOR GALES AHEAD OF THIS UPCOMING STORM
SYSTEM.

BY WEDNESDAY...MODELS IN FAIRLY CLOSE AGREEMENT IN OVERALL LOW
PRESSURE POSITION WITH SOME OBVIOUS AND SUBTLE DIFFERENCES ON THE
TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW. FAVORING NAM/S SLOWER ENERGY PHASING
WITH OFFSHORE LOW PRESSURE THAN WHAT LOWER RES GFS INDICATES...WHICH
IS QUICK. UKMET...GEM AND ECMWF ALL JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
WATERS WITH CLOSED LOW AS IS GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. NAM KEEPS WEAKER
COASTAL LOW INTACT AND THAT LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVES RIGHT ACROSS
THE WATERS LATER WEDNESDAY...WITH GFS KEEPING OFFSHORE LOW SOUTH AND
EAST OF WATERS...WITH SOME BAGGINESS ACROSS THE WATERS LATE
WEDNESDAY.

THEN...TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PREVAILS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AS THE STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVES AND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA...WITH RIDGE TO THE SOUTH.

AS FOR SEAS...WAVE WATCH III FORECASTS LOOK OK...BUT MAYBE A FEW FEET
LOW FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THEN I EXPECT SEAS IN THE 6
TO 9 FT RANGE THROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. AS WIND FLOW BACKS TO THE
WEST...EASTERN LI SOUND WILL REMAIN QUITE HIGH AS WELL...WHICH WE
HAVE SEEN MANY TIMES THIS WINTER.

STILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON TIDES...BUT THE WEDNESDAY MORNING TIDE
CYCLE WILL NEED OVER 2 FEET ABOVE TO REACH MINOR FLOODING
THRESHOLDS...AND OUT OF REACH 3.5 FEET FOR MODERATE. INITIAL 48 HOUR
GUIDANCE UP AROUND 1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE...SO TIDES MAY BE OK. WILL
HAVE TO WAIT ON GUIDANCE FOR NEXT TIDE CYCLE...BUT WITH LOW MOVING
JUST EAST AT THAT POINT...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT AROUND TO THE
NORTH/NORTHWEST...NOT A FAVORABLE DIRECTION FOR TIDAL PILING.

THIS WILL BE A POTENT STORM...AND MWSOKX WILL BE REISSUED ADDRESSING
THE VARIOUS CONCERNS.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECIPITATION
IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA LATE
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY
START AS SNOW...THEN CHANGE TO RAIN ALONG THE COASTAL AND LIKELY AS
FAR INLAND AS THE NYC METRO AREA AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. FURTHER
INLAND MIXED PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN
CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL LIQUID RANGE FROM
ABOUT THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO ONE AND A QUARTER INCHES.

THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF COLD AND FRIGID TEMPERATURES HAS ALLOWED ICE
TO FORM AND THICKEN ACROSS FAR NORTHERN RIVERS AND STREAMS. RIVER
AND STREAMS FLOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE GROUND HAS ALSO BECOME FROZEN ACROSS THE AREA...THEREFORE ANY
LIQUID FORM PRECIPITATION WE GET WILL RESULT IN RUNOFF. DRY
WEATHER RETURNS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR NYZ067.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 5 PM EST
         WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-350-353-355.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
444 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

NYZ067-131100-
ORANGE-
444 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE COUNTY TUESDAY
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY BEGIN AS EARLY AS LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE SNOW
WILL LIKELY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW WITH
UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. THERE STILL IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS
TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW WHICH WILL AFFECT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
AND TYPES. SEE THE LATEST WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR
SNOWFALL REPORTS.

CTZ005>012-NJZ002>004-NYZ068>071-131100-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-
EASTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
444 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND
SLEET TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET. MUCH OF THE AREA...EXCEPT FOR THE MOST INTERIOR SECTIONS...
WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SLEET...OR EVEN
ALL RAIN...ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES. UP TO A TENTH OF AN
INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL MINOR
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE IMPACTED TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TRACK OF
THE LOW WHICH WILL AFFECT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND TYPES.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SEE THE LATEST SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR
SNOWFALL REPORTS.

NJZ005-006-011-NYZ072>081-131100-
ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
444 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION
CHANGES OVER TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. THE
ENTIRE AREA IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN BY LATE
WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES. UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL MINOR SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION ENDS. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE IMPACTED TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TRACK OF
THE LOW WHICH WILL AFFECT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND TYPES.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SEE THE LATEST SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR
SNOWFALL REPORTS.

ANZ350-353-355-131100-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
444 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
SEAS COULD ALSO BECOME ROUGH WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

WITH A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW WATER PROBLEMS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ330-335-338-131100-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
444 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
SEAS COULD ALSO BECOME ROUGH WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

WITH A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW WATER PROBLEMS.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.