Severe Thunderstorm Warning 122, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
221 PM CST MON NOV 5 2007

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER THE GREAT LAKES WITH
COLD FRONT TRAILING TO IND AND FSM. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
ACCELERATE LATE TODAY...CROSSING MID TN BY 06Z. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS AR EXPECTED TO FILL IN ALONG BOUNDARY...ALTHOUGH
COVERAGE MAY BE SCATTERED SOME AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
UNIMPRESSIVE WITH RAPID MOVEMENT OF FRONT. AN ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE CELL WITH LARGE HAIL OR BRIEF STRONG WIND REMAINS A
POSSIBILITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

MAIN STORY WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER AIR.
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 70S THIS AFTERNOON...AND READINGS WILL
FALL INTO THE 30S MANY AREAS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. TUESDAY WILL
BE PARTLY SUNNY AND CHILLY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOWER 50S.
THE SOMEWHAT GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL COOLER.

THE COLD DRY AIR MASS ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS
WILL BRING COLD TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...PERHAPS A HARD
FREEZE MANY AREAS. THIS HAS BEEN ADDRESSED IN HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOKS AND SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS.

DRY WX SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER
CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL PASS TO OUR NORTH ON THURSDAY. WE WILL SEE
INCREASED CLOUDINESS BUT NO RAIN EXPECTED FOR NOW. HEIGHTS WILL
RISE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING A LITTLE ABOVE
NORMAL. A SYSTEM TO OUR NORTHWEST WILL SWING A SWATH OF MOISTURE
OVER THE ARA SUNDAY...WITH A SLIGHT RAIN CHANCE. ANOTHER MORE
SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS AND WILL SWING A
FRONT AND BETTER RAIN CHANCE INTO THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      40  54  29  54 /  50   0   0   0
CLARKSVILLE    37  52  28  54 /  40   0   0   0
CROSSVILLE     37  48  25  51 /  70   0   0   0
COLUMBIA       41  55  29  55 /  60   0   0   0
LAWRENCEBURG   42  55  29  56 /  60   0   0   0
WAVERLY        39  53  28  55 /  50   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR TNZ005>011-
022>034-059-062>066-078-080.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1045 AM CST MON NOV 5 2007

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-061130-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DEKALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
1045 AM CST MON NOV 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA TODAY.
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM FOR THE NORTHERN
TWO THIRDS OF THE MID STATE...WHERE WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO ENHANCE FIRE DANGER...SO A RED
FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE MID STATE UNTIL 6 PM.

THE APPROACHING FRONT WILL ALSO BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE NORTHWEST PARTS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
ARE IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THIS SLIGHT RISK INCLUDES
CLARKSVILLE...CAMDEN...DOVER AND WAVERLY. STORMS COULD PRODUCE
STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ANY SEVERE STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN
NORTHWEST MIDDLE TENNESSEE SHOULD WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE FARTHER SOUTH
AND EAST LATE IN THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT AND
POSSIBLY AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING OVER
NORTHWEST MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

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