Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Morristown, TN

000 
WWUS54 KMRX 042328
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
728 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2007

TNC013-050000-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-070505T0000Z/
CAMPBELL TN-
728 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR CAMPBELL COUNTY...

AT 725 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR LA FOLLETTE...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  6 MILES WEST OF WHITE OAK BY 750 PM EDT...
  JELLICO BY 755 PM EDT...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3620 8434 3624 8406 3646 8393 3658 8401
      3660 8421

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2007

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND SATURDAY)...MAIN ITEM IS ACTIVE SHORT WAVE
MOVING ACROSS WEST TN WHICH WILL ARRIVE OVER E TN BY MIDNIGHT AND
TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY, EXITING LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
CURRENTLY, SHOWERS FROM EARLIER HAVE LARGELY EXITED THE NORTHEAST
PORTION OF AREA, AND NEW STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN THE LOW LEVEL
THETA E RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL VALLEY UP AGAINST THE SMOKIES. LIFTED
INDICES NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE SO WHILE THE LOW LEVEL
THERMODYNAMICS MAY GET THINGS POPPING, BELIEVE THAT MOST STORMS WILL
BE BORDERLINE SEVERE AT BEST. MORE A REPEAT OF YESTERDAYS HEAVY
RAINERS WITH LIMITED HAIL AND SOME WIND GUSTS. ADJUSTED POPS UP
TONIGHT FROM LIKELY IN THE SOUTH TO NEAR CATEGORICAL IN THE
NORTHEAST. GIVEN A SLIGHT LOWERING IN THE HOURS AROUND SUNRISE, THEN
BACK UP TO MOSTLY CAT SATURDAY. ADJUSTED TEMPS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
TO MATCH A BLEND.

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...WILL CONTINUE WITH SOME
CHANCE POPS SATURDAY EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF.
BY SUNDAY MORNING...A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
EASTERN MOUNTAINS...OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE AREA
WEATHER FOR DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  MODELS HAVING
DIFFICULTIES WITH TIMING OF NEXT SYSTEM...FOR NOW WILL BRING LOW
POPS IN FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND CHANCE ON FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  62  78  62  81  55 /  60  80  30  10  10
KNOXVILLE AIRPORT, TN    61  73  60  78  51 /  60  90  40  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN            62  75  60  78  51 /  60 100  40  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN   57  70  55  73  46 /  70  80  40  10   0

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

BB/MJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
403 AM EDT FRI MAY 4 2007

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-050815-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
403 AM EDT FRI MAY 4 2007 /303 AM CDT FRI MAY 4 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCATIONS
IN THE SOUTHERN TENNESSEE VALLEY HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
236 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2007

TNZ072>074-041915-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
236 PM EDT FRI MAY 4 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING BLOUNT AND SEVIER COUNTIES...

AT 230 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GATLINBURG....MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GATLINBURG BY 255 PM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SUSTAINED WINDS OR GUSTS UP TO 40 TO 50 MPH...HAIL OF PEA TO LESS
THAN PENNY SIZE...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. ANY FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF THESE
STORMS MAY REQUIRE ISSUANCE OF A WARNING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MJB